[Jerusalem Post, Israel]
Ayande Nou, Iran
Without Wisdom, We Iranians Will 'Lose the Game'
Is Iran's political leadership acting without wisdom and
courting 'catastrophe?' According to this somewhat startling op-ed article from
Iran's Persian-language Ayande-Nou newspaper, 'sloganeering' and bravado on the
part of Iranian politicians will not turn back the threat of the United States
and its allies.
January 13, 2007
Iran - Ayande-Nou Home Page (Farsi)
Given the present circumstances, wisdom and expediency require
taking steps in a more reasonable and well-thought-out manner. We should
neither exaggerate our abilities nor belittle those of the enemy. As a famous
proverb says, "there is no small enemy." Over recent months the trend
of developments has been noteworthy.
When IAEA Chief Mohammad ElBaradei said that the report on Iran
would be referred to the U.N. Security Council, our officials, with respect to
the position of some friendly countries, including Russia, China and the
non-aligned countries, claimed that such a report would not be referred to the
Security Council; yet, we saw that the report was so referred.
In the next stage, our officials said that the issue would not be
put on the Security Council agenda; but then it was. In the third phase, our
officials said that the U.N. would be unable to pass a resolution headlined
"5+1=0;" and yet such a resolution was passed [5+1 is in reference to
the sponsors of the Security Council resolution].
Rather than trying to wisely diminish the threat, reduce
hostilities and increase our small number of allies, we chose an easier way: to
sloganeer and withstand the consequences. And finally, they [Iranian officials]
described the resolution as a piece of mere trash paper.
The London daily, The Times,
recently published an article by Anatole entitled
An Unholy Alliance Threatening Catastrophe , in which he
analyzes the strategy of America, Britain, Israel and Saudi Arabia. unholy alliance
and he predicts a dramatic and alarming future. believes that these four countries have formed an
But in our country, the overwhelming message of Iranian politics
is that there's no need to worry. Some people say that no one can do a damned
thing and that in a nuclear confrontation, America will suffer a defeat.
Interestingly, while all attempts have been made to prove that Iran's nuclear program is
for peaceful purposes only, our security and military officials talk of nuclear
war and Iran's victory in such a
Just like Don Quixote ,
we continue to appear optimistic and disseminate information based on this
vision, trying in vain to keep the morale of the people high. But it's clear
that if we fail to inspect the chess board precisely; if we lack a clear
understanding of the existing atmosphere; if we entertain optimism destined to
lead to crisis and misunderstanding, then we will lose the game.
The prediction of the Times' columnist is noteworthy. He
writes that Israel will again attack
Hezbullah to settle the case in Lebanon; that the Saudi
Arabian army, in coordination with America and Israel, will enter Iraq in favor of the
Sunnis; and finally, that America and Israel will bombard Iran's nuclear facilities.
There is no doubt that we are in a critical situation, and our
words and actions must be chosen extremely wisely. Going ahead as before, based
on a deterministic vision that promises the final victory of good over evil,
shows that we have neither a correct understanding of domestic developments and
changes in the views of the people nor an understanding of regional and
The latest proof of our lack of understanding were statements by
Bush and his secretary of state in regard to America's new strategy in Iraq and
Washington's need to do something to confront Iranian interference in Iraq.
In this already tense situation, attempts are being made to add
fuel to the Sunni-Shiite sectarian flames. The path to turning this problem
into a catastrophe is now being paved. While public opinion in the Muslim world
has been our only strong card, we are losing even this advantage due to our
misinterpretation and ignorance.
While doubts of senior Sunni clerics like Farzawi [a pro-Iran
Egyptian cleric] are growing, rather than hurling insults and humiliations at evil
people, the maraj-e al-taqlid [top rank of Shiite clerics] and the ulema
[Muslim scholars] must do something to address misunderstandings. Since it
seems that wisdom is being expelled from the realm of politics, the seminaries
and senior maraj-e al-taqlid must end their silence and inaction. This is
necessary and inevitable.
*Jamileh Kadivar is a former member of the Majlis [Iranian
Farsi Version Below