Iraqis 'Must Confront Their Fate Alone'

Published in Azzaman
(Iraq) on 13 May 2007
by Fatih Abdulsalam (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Mutasem Sinikrot and Nicolas Dagher. Edited by .
The agreement in principal between Tehran and Washington to hold talks over Iraq means that there is a “piece of the Iraqi pie” that both sides feel they have the right to control, and which in all likelihood spans the entire country. It seems that the dispute continues to revolve around the size of the "pie" and how the slices should be disposed of.

This goes to prove what has been clear for the past four years, which is that Iraq is not a proper state, that it is run by a government unworthy of the name since it was elected illegitimately and doesn't represent the people, that Iraq lacks a proper constitution under which to organize its daily affairs and that no "fatwa" is going to succeed in overcoming its difficulties.

That said, it seems that the armed factions inside Iraq - with the exclusion of al-Qaeda - ignore the need to maintain a balance between Washington and Tehran. In terms of the political horizon, these armed groups are focused on negotiations with the U.S. military in determining Iraq's future, but they lack a sufficient appreciation of the need to deal with the Iranian Party in this equation.

Getting back to Tehran's recent request for talks with Washington in regard to Iraq’s security, we are aware of the condemnation hovering over Tehran due to its involvement in Iraq's instability. This is because Iran, for its own purposes, wants something in exchange for restoring Iraqi security in some kind of deal with Washington.

[Editor's Note: The author says that Tehran asked Washington to hold talks. That is the opposite of what is being reported elsewhere. Most media organizations report that Washington sought talks with Iran].

According to an Arabic proverb, this is “an excuse worse than guilt”; many of the facts that Iranian leaders have tried to keep hidden are now coming to light, and it is now clear that Iran has been the key benefactor of recent events, including the dismantling of Iraq’s infrastructure and its mighty army, and a rebuilding process that is based on division, fragmentation and the allocation of benefits to either side [Shiite and Sunni] in a sick-minded attempt to split the country that has thus-far failed to achieve its ultimate goal [a partition of the country, with a Shiite-dominated, Iranian-friendly southern Iraqi state].

Perhaps the greatest success of Iran's strategy has been the infighting that has so dominated discussions over the Constitution, and that a number of federal agencies now operate under the influence of militias, factions and various [foreign] intelligence agencies.

The fact that the American administration is limiting talks with Iran to the ambassadorial level confirms that there will be no significant results on the ground. The reality is that Iraqis must confront their fate alone - be it in death or as refugees.

It is now evident that until the moment the Americans withdraw, the Iraq issue will remain nothing but a plaything in the cat and mouse game between Iran and the United States.



توقيع

2007/05/13



توقيع
عذر أكبر من ذنب
فاتح عبدالسلام

إقرار مبدأ التفاوض بين واشنطن وطهران حول العراق يعني أن هناك (حصة) في هذا البلد قد تكون بحجمه من أقصاه الي أقصاه يري الجانبان انها من حقهما حصراً. ولكن يبدو ان الخلاف ما زال يدور حول كمية الحصة وأشكال تصريفها. وهذا دليل علي صحة البديهية التي عمرها أربع سنوات وهي أن الشأن العراقي لا دولة له تديره ولا حكومة تنطق باسمه ولا انتخابات تستره ولا دستور يظله ولا فتوي تدير شؤونه.


ويبدو أن الفصائل المسلحة داخل العراق باستثناء القاعدة تعي عبر منظار يكاد يكون أحادياً هذه المعادلة بين واشنطن وطهران. حيث نري انّّ أفقها السياسي يدور حول التمسك بالتفاوض مع القوات الامريكية لتحديد مستقبل العراق مع عدم تقدير كافٍ للتعامل مع الطرف الايراني في المعادلة.


وحين نعود الي طلب طهران التفاوض مع الامريكيين مؤخراً حول أمن العراق نري الادانة تحوم حول تورط ايران في عدم استقرار العراق التي تريد مقايضة أمنه مع واشنطن في صفقة خاصة بها. وهذا عذر أكبر من ذنب يضع كثيراً من الحقائق التي يحاولون طويلاً سترها تحت الأضواء، بل يجعل النظر الي جميع الاحداث في العراق عبر ذلك المنظار المصلحي الايراني بما فيها تفكيك بنية الدول وجيشها الباسل واعادة بنائها علي اساس التقسيم والشرذمة والمحاصصات في محاولة لم تستطع ان تترجل من مخيلات مريضة الي أرض الواقع. ولعلها نجحت في أحسن الاحوال أن تنتقل الي حوار في دستور مختلف عليه حد الاقتتال وبعض القوانين والسلوكيات التنفيذية لاجهزة حكومية تخضع بوضوح لنفوذ مليشيات او مرجعيات أو مخابرات.


حصر الادارة الامريكية التفاوض مع طهران علي مستوي السفراء وعدم رفعه الي مستوي أعلي يؤكد ان لا نتائج مهمة في الواقع أبداً. وان العراقيين عليهم أن يواجهوا اقدارهم بأنفسهم موتاً أو تهجيراً أو وهماً أو حقيقة.


ستبقي الورقة العراقية اداة لاطالة عمر لعبة القط والفأر بين ايران والولايات المتحدة حتي موعد الانسحاب الامريكي.











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