Santiago: Free Trade and the U.S. Democratic Candidates

Published in El Mercurio
(Chile) on 4/2/2008
by Andres Oppenheimer (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Enzo Ferroggiaro and Carolyn French. Edited by .
Santiago- The aspiring Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, who seem to be competing to see which is the fiercer critic of the free trade agreements with Mexico and other Latin American countries should take a visit to this South American capital. It would take them only a couple minutes to realize how wrong they are.

They would only have to leave their hotels and look at the traffic on the streets to see the American-made Jeep Cherokee, Ford Explorer and Chevrolet that have been seen more and more in Chile since January 1, 2004, the date that the free trade agreement began between the United States and Chile.

“Today, every businessman that prides himself on this country buys his wife a Jeep Cherokee (imported from the U.S.),” the former President Richard Lagos, who negotiated the free trade agreement, told me, half serious, half joking. “You see North American cars that you didn’t see before.”

One would never imagine something like this after listening to Clinton and Obama. During the last couple weeks, especially since the Democratic primaries in Ohio, where the economic situation is tense, both have intensified their criticism toward free trade agreements.

Obama’s official website says that he “will stand firm” against free trade agreements that “undermine our economic security,” and that try to “correct” the free trade agreement with Mexico in 1994.

Clinton, who voted for the treaty with Chile but later criticized it, says on her website that she will “revise” NAFTA, and that she will take some “time” before negotiating new trade treaties until a new “pro-worker” and “pro-American” trade policy is developed.

But from the perspective of this part of the world, all of this is cheap populism. NAFTA, the free trade agreement with Central America and the treaty with Chile, although they have harmed some industries, have been in general terms highly successful for all countries involved.

American exports to Mexico have increased 228% since the approval of NAFTA, offering new opportunities for dozens of North American industries.

Mexican exports have increased 428%, thanks to the parts supply that has allowed American industries to be more competitive in the rest of the world, same as finished products have helped lower prices for American consumers.

Perhaps most importantly, if it wasn’t for NAFTA and the U.S. free trade agreement with Central America, the U.S.’s closest neighbors would have been much closer to economic crises and political upheaval that would have increased illegal immigration even more and could have threatened oil supply to the American market.

In Chile’s case, U.S. exports to the country have practically tripled, reaching $7.3 million since the trade treaty came into effect four years back, while Chilean exports to the United States have doubled to reach a value of $8.7 million during the same period. In fact, the U.S. trade deficit with Chile has been reduced in the past few years.

And judging by the type of products that the United States is exporting to Chile, it’s evident that it’s all about goods that create well-paid employees in the United States. North American exports of car parts to Chile grew 45% in 2006, and U.S. car exports grew 23% in the same year, according to the latest numbers from the Chilean government.

“Chile is a good export market, that has produced good quality jobs for U.S. workers,” Washington’s ambassador to Chile, Paul Simons, told me. “If we hadn’t signed this agreement, our presence in the Chilean market probably would have continued being reduced. Now, however, it’s increasing.

In the past few years, Chile has signed free trade agreements with more than 50 countries, including China, Japan, South Korea and Mexico. Without a trade agreement with Chile, North American companies would not have been able to compete with the other countries that have preferential access to the Chilean market, added Simons.

Wrong Approach

My opinion: the Democrats are being too populist with the topic of free trade like the Republicans with immigration. As the former President Lagos told me, “our Democratic ‘friends’ are approaching the role of the United States in the world badly. Instead of defending jobs that are bound to disappear in the United States, they should concentrate on training American workers for more sophisticated and better paying jobs.”

Obama and Clinton are both deceiving voters, and themselves, with their anti-free trade rhetoric.


Santiago, el libre comercio y los candidatos dem�cratas de EE.UU.

Si visitaran la capital chilena, Obama y Clinton, feroces cr�ticos de los tratados con M�xico y otros pa�ses latinoamericanos, ver�an su error.

ANDR�S OPPENHEIMER

SANTIAGO.- Los aspirantes dem�cratas Barack Obama y Hillary Clinton, quienes parecen estar compitiendo para ver cu�l es el cr�tico m�s feroz de los acuerdos de libre comercio con M�xico y otros pa�ses latinoamericanos, deber�an hacer una visita a esta capital sudamericana. S�lo les llevar�a unos minutos darse cuenta de cu�n equivocados est�n.

S�lo tendr�an que salir de sus hoteles y mirar el tr�fico de las calles para ver los Jeep Cherokee, Ford Explorer y Chevrolet de fabricaci�n estadounidense que se ven cada vez m�s en Chile desde el 1 de enero de 2004, fecha en que se inici� el acuerdo de libre comercio entre Estados Unidos y Chile.

"Hoy, todo empresario que se precie en este pa�s le compra a su mujer un Jeep Cherokee (importado de EE.UU.)", me dijo medio en serio, medio en broma, el ex Presidente Ricardo Lagos, quien negoci� el acuerdo de libre comercio. "T� ves autos (norte) americanos que antes no se ve�an".

Uno jam�s se imaginar�a algo as� despu�s de escuchar a Clinton y Obama. Durante las �ltimas semanas, especialmente desde las elecciones primarias dem�cratas en el estado de Ohio, cuya situaci�n econ�mica es tensa, ambos han intensificado sus cr�ticas a los TLC.

El sitio web oficial de Obama dice que "permanecer� firme" en contra de los tratados de libre comercio "que socavan nuestra seguridad econ�mica", y que procurar� "corregir" el tratado de libre comercio con M�xico de 1994.

Clinton, que vot� el tratado con Chile pero luego lo critic�, dice en su sitio web que "revisar�" el NAFTA, y que se tomar� "un tiempo" antes de negociar nuevos tratados de comercio hasta que elabore una pol�tica comercial "pro trabajadores" y "pro estadounidense".

Pero desde la perspectiva de esta parte del mundo, todo esto es populismo barato. El NAFTA, el tratado de libre comercio con Centroam�rica y el acuerdo con Chile, aunque han perjudicado a algunas industrias, han sido en general acuerdos altamente exitosos para todos los pa�ses involucrados.

Las exportaciones estadounidenses a M�xico se han incrementado en 228% desde la aprobaci�n del NAFTA, ofreciendo nuevas oportunidades para docenas de industrias norteamericanas.

Las exportaciones de M�xico han aumentado en 428%, gracias a suministros de partes que han permitido que las industrias estadounidenses sean m�s competitivas en el resto del mundo, as� como productos terminados que han ayudado a bajar los precios para los consumidores estadounidenses.

Tal vez lo m�s importante es que, de no ser por el NAFTA y el acuerdo de libre comercio de EE.UU. con Centroam�rica, los vecinos m�s pr�ximos de Estados Unidos hubieran estado mucho m�s cerca de crisis econ�micas y de turbulencias pol�ticas que hubieran aumentado a�n m�s la inmigraci�n ilegal y podr�an haber amenazado los suministros de petr�leo al mercado estadounidense.

En el caso de Chile, las exportaciones de Estados Unidos a este pa�s pr�cticamente se han triplicado, alcanzando los US$ 7.300 millones desde que el tratado de comercio entr� en vigencia cuatro a�os atr�s, mientras que las exportaciones chilenas a Estados Unidos se duplicaron hasta alcanzar un valor de US$ 8.700 millones durante el mismo per�odo. De hecho, el d�ficit comercial de Estados Unidos con Chile se ha reducido en los �ltimos a�os.

Y a juzgar por el tipo de productos que Estados Unidos est� exportando a Chile, es evidente que se trata de bienes que crean empleos bien pagados en Estados Unidos. Las exportaciones norteamericanas de partes de automotores a Chile crecieron el 45% en 2006, y las exportaciones de autos estadounidenses crecieron el 23% en ese a�o, seg�n las �ltimas cifras del Gobierno chileno.

"Chile es un buen mercado de exportaci�n, que ha producido empleos de buena calidad para los trabajadores de EE.UU.", me dijo el embajador de Washington en Chile, Paul Simons. "Si no hubi�ramos firmado este acuerdo, probablemente nuestra presencia en el mercado chileno hubiera seguido reduci�ndose. Ahora, en cambio, est� en aumento".

En los �ltimos a�os, Chile ha firmado tratados de libre comercio con m�s de 50 pa�ses, incluyendo China, Jap�n, Corea del Sur y M�xico. Sin un acuerdo comercial con Chile, las empresas norteamericanas no podr�an competir con las de otros pa�ses que tienen acceso preferencial al mercado chileno, a�adi� Simons.

Enfoque err�neo

Mi opini�n: los dem�cratas est�n siendo tan populistas con el tema del libre comercio como los republicanos con la inmigraci�n. Tal como me dijo el ex Presidente Lagos, "los amigos dem�cratas est�n enfocando mal el rol de Estados Unidos en el mundo. En lugar de defender empleos que est�n destinados a desaparecer en Estados Unidos, deber�an concentrarse en entrenar a los trabajadores estadounidenses para empleos m�s sofisticados y mejor pagados".

Tanto Obama como Clinton est�n enga�ando a los votantes, y a s� mismos, con su ret�rica anti libre comercio.
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