The Philosopher Who Obama Admires

Published in Sankei Shinbun
(Japan) on 13 December 2008
by Hiroshi Yuasa (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yota Mukaiyachi. Edited by Louis Standish.
Admiring Neibuhr

President-elect Obama, who has adopted the slogan of 'change,' is said to respect Reinhold Niebuhr (1892-1971). This is as surprising considering Obama's landslide victory in the presidential election.

Niebuhr was a father of realism and his theories are very similar to thoughts of the Realist-Centrist Republicans. As a theologian, he pointed out that Christian insight can work in modern world and severely criticized left-wing liberalism.

Mr. Obama was thought to be closer to Democratic Liberals, but he let out that he is a follower of Niebuhr, and even used his philosophy as a guiding principle for his speeches.

According to Miki Kato, a visiting researcher at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank, the person who first found out Obama's regard for Niebuhr was David Brooks, a columnist for the “New York Times” (April 26th last year).

Niebuhr stressed that sinful men rely on the good faith of God and sought to establish Christian-based social ethics. After World War II, he participated in government as an adviser to the State Department. He thought that the use of force would imperil oneself as well as others and endorsed realistic diplomacy. His strategic argument was to avoid making strong nations your enemy while recognizing the America's limit of power.

International Political Science in the U.S. has two giants who looked up to Niebuhr as a teacher. One was Hans Morgenthau, who explained the balance of power by analyzing power politics, and reigned as theoretical leader of Realist Politics. Another was George Kennan, who was known as the father of containment policy against the Soviet, and a theorist of the liberalism camp during the Cold War. They both warned American politicians not to show off morality by advocating unrealistic interventions, and to get rid of diplomacy that is manipulated by domestic politics.

Obama’s Realist Lineage

This school of thought was carried on by Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who worked under the Nixon administration. He directed reconciliation of the Sino-American relationship as a 'China Card' against the Soviets in diplomacy game and brought the Vietnam War, often called the loss of idealism, to an end. The National Security Advisor under George H. W. Bush, Brent Scowcroft, succeeded him.

Under George W. Bush, Secretary of State Colin Powell was a part of the family tree. He was exhausted by opposition from the conservatives on progress in the beginning of Iraq War and left the administration. He is a Republican but turned around to support Mr. Obama, suggesting that he was bipartisan.

The “Economist” of the U.K. argued that Mr. Obama's logic is surprisingly as conservative as Mr. Reagan's, which makes sense if Mr. Obama is in Niebuhr's camp. On first sight the main candidates for the new Obama administration are conspicuously realist.

Current Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has a link to the Scowcroft group, while incoming Secretary of the Treasury Tim Geithner and Commerce Secretary Bill Richardson belong to a think tank run by Mr. Kissinger.

In the relationship with Russia, who invaded Georgia, Mr. Obama said calmly that Russia is "neither our enemy nor our close ally" and the U.S. "shouldn't shy away from pushing for more democracy, transparency and accountability." It echoes Niebuhr's theory that states not to make strong nations our enemy recklessly.

Mr. Obama has denied he wants to deploy missile defense systems in Czech and Poland. He does not seem in a rush to extend NATO membership to Georgia and Ukraine. Perhaps he is waiting patiently for Russia to be a respectable country, a falling ripe persimmon, given the declining oil price. He also expressed an understanding of the removal of North Korea from the U.S. terrorist state list, saying there has been some progress.

A Snare of the Strategy to Make no Enemies

However, there is a trap in this cooperation policy. It would send the wrong signal that a corrupt state whose leader is an extreme believer in power. If Russia and the North Korea interpreted Mr. Obama's policy, "change," as weakness, they may persist in a strong anti-America policy. In domestic politics, if Mrs. Clinton were entering the new administration in order to avoid making her his enemy, it would be counterproductive to let her have her own way.

If Mr. Obama is a true realist, he would not deny attention to these nations. It would not be a plus if high-level officials in the Japanese government paid a visit to Mr. Obama without fulfilling their role as a close ally. No longer can they deceive the U.S. by saying we adapt, but do not use collective defenses.

Will President-elect Obama adopt a realist line, to proceed, with courage and calm -- which Niebuhr's famous "Serenity Prayer" mentions -- and wisdom to distinguish one from another?


 ≪ニーバーを尊敬する≫
 「変革」を掲げたオバマ次期大統領は、哲学者のラインホルト・ニーバー(1892~1971年)を尊敬しているのだという。オバマ氏が大統領選で地滑り的に勝利したのにも驚いたが、これにはもっと仰天した。
 なぜなら、ニーバーは現実主義理論の始祖であり、その多くは共和党中道派リアリストの考え方に限りなく近いからだ。神学者でもあるニーバーは、キリスト教のもつ洞察力が現代にも通用すると指摘し、左派のリベラリズムを痛烈に批判してきた。
 その民主党リベラル派に近いと思われていたオバマ氏が「ニーバー好き」を漏らし、演説の指針にまでしていたという。
 米国の保守系研究所AEIの客員研究員、加瀬みきさんに聞くと、オバマ氏から「ニーバー好き」を最初に聞き出したのは、ニューヨーク・タイムズ紙のコラムニスト、デイビッド・ブルックス氏だという(昨年4月26日付)。
 ニーバーは罪深い人間が神の善意に依存していることを強調し、キリスト教的な社会倫理の樹立を目指した。戦後は国務省顧問として政策にも関与した。力の行使は他人ばかりか自らをも危険に陥れると考え、現実主義的な外交を推奨した。米国の「力の限界」を認識しつつ、むやみに強国を敵に回さない戦略論である。
 米国の国際政治学には、ニーバーを師と仰ぐ2人の巨人がいる。その一人、ハンス・モーゲンソーは権力政治の分析から「勢力均衡論」を強調し、現実主義政治の理論的な指導者として君臨してきた。もう一人のジョージ・ケナンは、対ソ「封じ込め戦略」の生みの親として冷戦時代の自由主義陣営の理論家として知られる。彼らはともに、米国の政治家がモラルを振りかざして非現実的な介入をしがちであることを戒め、他方で国内政治に操られる外交を排除した。
 ≪現実主義の系譜だった≫
 これがニクソン政権のキッシンジャー国務長官人脈に引き継がれていく。彼はソ連を相手とする外交ゲームで、対ソ「チャイナ・カード」として米中和解を演出し、「理想主義の敗北」といわれたベトナム戦争を終結に導いた。先代ブッシュ政権のスコウクロフト大統領補佐官がこれを継ぐ。
 ブッシュ政権のパウエル国務長官も現実主義の系譜にあり、イラク開戦の経過の中で保守派との対立に消耗して政権を去った。共和党でありながら、今回、オバマ支持に回ったのも彼らが超党派主義であることをうかがわせる。
 英誌エコノミストが「オバマの論法の多くは意外なほど保守的でレーガン的である」と述べたのも、ニーバーの系譜と考えればうなずける。その延長でオバマ新政権の主要閣僚候補を眺めると確かに現実主義者が目立つ。
 留任するゲーツ国防長官はそのスコウクロフト元補佐官人脈であり、ガイトナー財務長官とリチャードソン商務長官はキッシンジャー氏のシンクタンクに関連した系列人脈である。
 グルジアに侵攻したロシアとの関係で、オバマ氏は「ロシアは敵でもなければ、緊密な同盟国でもない。民主主義、透明性、説明責任を求めるのに何の遠慮もいらない」と冷静だ。「むやみに強国を敵に回さない」というニーバー流の響きを感じる。
 オバマ氏はロシアが嫌うチェコ、ポーランドへのミサイル防衛配備にも否定的であり、グルジア、ウクライナの北大西洋条約機構加盟も急ぐ気配がない。ひょっとすると、ロシアが石油価格の下落で、熟柿が落ちるように“まともな国家”になるのをジッと待っているのかもしれない。それは北朝鮮のテロ支援国家指定解除に理解を示し、「一定の前進があった」と述べたことに通じる。
 ≪敵にしない戦略の陥穽(かんせい)≫
 しかし、「敵に回さない」取り込み戦略には落とし穴がある。相手の国家指導者が極端な力の信奉者で、かつ腐敗国家であると、思わぬシグナルを送ってしまう。
 ロシアや北朝鮮がオバマ氏の政策変更を「弱さ」と考え、両者が対米強硬路線を続行する危険がある。内政でも、政敵のクリントン氏を「敵に回さないため」に閣内に入れたとして、彼女の独走を許してしまえば元も子もない。
 オバマ氏がまことの現実主義者であるなら、彼らへの注意を怠らないはずだ。そんなオバマ氏を相手に、日本政府高官が同盟国としての役割を果たせないまま表敬してもプラスにならない。もはや「集団的自衛権はあるが行使しない」というまやかしは通じまい。
 オバマ次期大統領は、ニーバーが有名な「冷静を求める祈り」の中でいう勇気と冷静さと、そしてこの2つを識別する知識をもって現実主義の路線を歩むのか。(ゆあさ ひろし)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Germany: Trump’s Opportunity in Iran

Australia: What US Intelligence and Leaks Tell Us about ‘Operation Midnight Hammer’

Canada: Trump Did What Had To Be Done

Argentina: Middle East: From Nuclear Agreement to Preventive Attack, Who’s in Control?

Australia: Could Donald Trump’s Power Struggle with Federal Reserve Create Next Financial Crisis?

Topics

Germany: Trump’s Opportunity in Iran

Canada: Elbows Down on the Digital Services Tax

Thailand: US-China Trade Truce Didn’t Solve Rare Earths Riddle

Ireland: The Irish Times View on Trump vs the Fed: Rocky Times Ahead

Cuba: The Middle East Is on Fire

Australia: Could Donald Trump’s Power Struggle with Federal Reserve Create Next Financial Crisis?

Taiwan: After US Bombs Iranian Nuclear Facilities, Trump’s Credibility in Doubt

Switzerland: Ukraine Is No Longer a Priority for America: Trump Leaves the Country High and Dry

Related Articles

Japan: Trump’s 100 Days: A Future with No Visible Change So Far

Japan: US Administration Losing Credibility 3 Months into Policy of Threats

Japan: US-Japan Defense Minister Summit: US-Japan Defense Chief Talks Strengthen Concerns about Single-Minded Focus on Strength

Japan: Trump’s Tariffs Threaten To Repeat Historical Mistakes

Hong Kong: China, Japan, South Korea Pave Way for Summit Talks; Liu Teng-Chung: Responding to Trump