U.S. and China Should Break Mutual “Addiction”

Published in People's Daily
(China) on 7 January 2009
by Shen Yili (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eugene Tan. Edited by Christie Chu.
A few days ago, South Korea’s JoongAng Ilbo newspaper published an article claiming that over the past ten years, the U.S. and China have become “addicted” to each other. They've enjoyed a very close relationship, but the Korean paper says it's time the U.S. and China break the addiction.

The original text is below:

Making a New Year’s resolution to part with a “sweet addiction” does not apply only to smokers, but also to the U.S. and China. In the past few decades, the U.S. and China have become addicted to each other. Their relationship has become very close and has even gone through a honeymoon period. Because the U.S. continues to buy lots of cheap goods “made in China,” China’s economy has maintained a double-digit growth rate.

At the same time, the massive amount of U.S. foreign currency that China earns through exporting is being reinvested in the U.S. national debt. Thanks to China, Americans can get a step ahead in buying brand-name cars and luxury houses by relying on loans. The American government and the American people do not understand the dangers of debt and continue to live the lives they want by spending other people’s money.

Harvard professor of economic history, Niall Ferguson, calls this phenomenon “Chimerica” (a new term coined from the names of China and America). He also believes that this is one of the important reasons for the economic crisis engulfing the world today. Recently, The New York Times also pointed out that the Chinese only know how to save, not how to spend. America relied on low interest rates when borrowing from China, and that brought about the American consumer craze and the real estate lending boom.

However, trying to decide whether China or America is most responsible for the addiction is absurd. Fareed Zakaria, the editor-in-chief of America’s weekly magazine Newsweek, wrote a book called The Post-American World, which compares the close, unified China-U.S. relationship to the Cold War’s “balance of terror.”

In order to destroy each other during the Cold War, America and the Soviet Union stored up substantial amounts of nuclear weapons. Both sides had enough nuclear weapons to destroy the whole world many times over, but they were only used to deter the other country from using their weapons. The U.S. and China’s economic “balance of terror” is similar, and the peace and prosperity brought about by the “Chimerica” phenomenon is just a non-existent fantasy.

The U.S. and China need to break this addiction and bring back healthy bilateral relations even if the process is painful. Experts say that America should become more competitive with its exports and improve the current trade deficit. China, in turn, should expand its domestic demand and use it to prevent the economic stagnation brought about by the decrease in exports. Although the process will not be easy, it is the right medicine to save the two countries’ economies.


韩报:美国和中国必须摆脱相互“上瘾”

2009年01月07日10:02 来源:人民网-国际频道

 人民网1月7日讯 韩国中央日报日前发表文章,称美国和中国过去十年彼此被对方吸引并“上瘾”,关系走得非常之近,渡过了一段两国关系的蜜月期。但是美国和中国需要摆脱“上瘾”状态,再次找回健康的双边关系。原文如下:

  决心在新的一年里和“甜蜜的上瘾”决裂的不仅仅是吸烟者,美国和中国也处于这样的情况中。在过去的数十年里,中美两国彼此被对方吸引并“上瘾”,关系走得非常之近,渡过了一段两国关系的蜜月期。因为有美国一直大量购买价格便宜的“中国制造”的产品,中国的经济维持了两位数的高成长率。同时,中国通过出口赚取的巨额美元外汇又投资于美国国债。托中国的福,美国人可以先一步靠贷款购买名车豪宅。美国政府和美国人民都不了解债务的危险性,靠挥霍别人的金钱一直生活下来。

  哈佛大学经济历史学教授尼亚·佛格森教授称这种现象为“Chimerica”(由中、美英文国名引申出的新词),并且认为这是导致现在席卷全球的经济危机重要的原因之一。最近《纽约时报》也指出:“中国人只知道储蓄而不知道消费,美国依靠低利率向中国借款以后,反而诱发了美国的消费热潮和房地产市场的泡沫。”

  然而,过分地追究中国和美国谁的责任更大是十分可笑的。美国时事周刊——《新闻周刊》 的总编辑法利得·扎卡利亚撰写的《后美国时代》一书中,将中美步调一致的密切关系比喻成冷战时期的“恐怖平衡”。冷战中,美国和苏联为了相互毁灭对方都储备了相当数量的核武器,而双方足以将地球毁灭好几次的核武器数量反而起到了核威慑的作用。美国和中国经济上的“恐怖均衡”也与此类似。由“Chimerica”现象带来的和平和繁荣只不过是虚无的幻想而已。

  美国和中国要摆脱“上瘾”状态,再次找回健康的双边关系,哪怕这个过程要经历阵痛。专家提出,美国应提高出口竞争力,并改善经常性收支赤字;中国则应扩大内需市场,以此来防止由于出口萎缩导致的经济停滞。虽然过程并不轻松,但这是拯救两国经济的良药。 (作者:申艺莉)
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