Reflecting on Bush’s Record: Really Meritless?

Published in United Daily News
(Taiwan) on 17 January 2009
by Xu Li-Ling (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by John Yu. Edited by Katy Burtner.
America's President Bush will soon leave office, with most holding him to be the nation's worst president. The image of him leaving office appears especially solitary in contrast to the widespread anticipation of Obama. But in the countdown to his White House exit, evaluations of his achievements have taken a mellow turn. Upon careful consideration of the actions of his last eight years, it seems that perhaps history will shed new light on his presidency.

On the eve of his White House exit, Bush in his last press conference voluntarily admitted to having made mistakes, but still strongly defended his political accomplishments. He even became agitated and asserted that he was proud of solid achievements while in office. Revealing concern over negative criticisms during the last few years, and his hope that history will vindicate him, Bush emphasized that the merit of policies must undergo the test of time and cannot be judged in the short-term.

Bush's words bring to memory President Truman, who in his time also failed people's expectations. Truman's 1952 support rating was a mere 22%, a record low. But recent assessments of historians have taken a dramatic turn. Truman's policies, controversial in his time, are today regarded as acts of courage, which has caused him to become one of America's most popular presidents. According to several polls, Bush's approval rating has long since dropped below 30%, just slightly above Truman's.

Bush's most controversial policies during office included the Iraqi invasion, the sluggish relief response to Hurricane Katrina, and the handling of the American subprime mortgage crisis, which led to the global financial crisis. Among these, the Iraq war and the anti-terrorist actions have damaged America's global image, the handling of Hurricane Katrina was the key factor in plummeting Bush's domestic approval rating, and the subprime mortgage crisis not only dragged America and the global economy into recession, it drained the nation's power.

Moreover, apart from the deeply rooted image of helplessness in the face of Hurricane Katrina, which is difficult to lodge from people's hearts, it is now held that Bush's anti-terrorist actions and economic measures will need to stand the test of time in order to be conclusively judged. As far as the Iraq War is concerned, most people believe this decision to be related to Bush's ideology. But the research of international relations professor Frank Harvey of Canada's Dalhousie University questions if Gore had won the presidential elections eight years ago and faced the same 9/11 terrorist attack, would the Iraq war have been avoided? The conclusion is: not necessarily.

Professor Harvey believes that given the pressure created by anger and fear in post-9/11 America, coupled with the serious international concern towards this event, military action must have been the primary choice. Additionally, Gore's foreign diplomatic stance was clearly hawkish, above and beyond Bush. During his term as Bill Clinton's vice-president, he championed taking the toughest line when dealing with Iraq's Hussein, and supported military action in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Even earlier, Gore supported the 1991 Persian Gulf War and America's troop deployment in Libya and Grenada in the eighties. Thus, the Iraq War was not directed by Bush's ideology, nor can it be simply viewed simply as his war.

Subject to many years of fierce criticism were Bush's deployment of troops without UN approval and numerous human rights abuses in the name of anti-terrorism. However, since 9/11 America has not yet experienced another terrorist attack, which was perhaps deterred by anti-terrorist actions. In the future historians may intepret the success or failure of Bush's policies in a new light. Analysts believe that while the Iraq War caused Bush to be roundly criticized, his future historical position will be tied to Iraq's future. If Iraq is able to take a stable path of free democracy and maintain good relations with America, it will become an important American ally in the Middle East. In the future, upon reflections on the Bush administration's Iraq policies, we may discover that they were America's positive turning point in the Middle East, and then history will have a different assessment of Bush.

In the economic realm, the subprime mortgage crisis, which evolved into the global financial crisis, made the Bush government look very bad, and became the worst spot on his record in his final days before leaving office. But in fact, Bush was continuing the policies of former administrations. It was actually during the era of the Clinton administration that financial regulations were relaxed, so the blame for the financial crisis cannot be placed solely on Bush. Bush also reminded reporters at a press conference that eight years ago America was in a recession and not only did he end the recession, he also created a record fifty-two straight months of increased employment rate.

Many critics blame Bush for bringing America disaster. However, from a global perspective, this takes on a new meaning. The decline of America's national power is certainly lamentable, but it gave the global community more opportunities and spurred several powers to rise. Anti-terrorist actions spurred America to decrease dependence on Middle East oil, and Canada sprang forward to become the America's primary crude oil supplier, which became an important motivator to grow its economy. The Bush government's firm adherence to free market principles and maintenance of good trade relations with China caused China's economy to soar in the last eight years. China accumulated foreign exchange reserves and took the path toward becoming one of the world's leading powers. During Bush's term, new markets, attracting worldwide attention, have risen up in such places as India, Russia, and the Latin American countries, and they have combined to form to form several new multi-national groups, diverting from America the ability to direct world affairs.

Bush has also had some memorable, yet ignored, political achievements, such as the promotion of “No Child Left Behind”, which narrowed students' educational gap, the 600 million dollars spent on global AIDS prevention (which cared for several million African AIDS victims), and the American health care reform which has enabled hundreds of thousands of low-income elderly people to get free or cheap medicine, lighten their burden, etc. It's just that these achievements have all been overshadowed by the war on terror and the global financial crisis. Therefore, in this hour Bush can hardly shake the image of failure and incompetency, he can only hope that future historians will judge this era from a different perspective.


回顧布希政績:真是一無是處嗎?

‧徐麗玲 2009/01/17

美 國總統布希即將卸任,一般認為他是美國史上最差的總統之一。對照各方對歐巴馬的熱切期待,布希下台的身影尤其顯得落寞。不過,就在布希離開白宮的日子進入 倒數計時之際,對於其功過的評價也轉趨溫和。仔細回顧布希八年來的所做所為,似乎也不全然是一無是處,布希的歷史地位或許會有從谷底翻升的一天。

在離職前夕的最後一次白宮記者會上,布希雖然選擇性地承認曾犯下一些錯誤,對於自己的施政績效仍強力辯護,甚至一度動氣,堅稱對任內的堅實成就感 到自豪。他並強調,政策的對錯必須經過長時間的驗證,而非短期即可論斷,顯示他對這些年來外界的抨擊貶抑耿耿於懷,並寄望歷史能還給他公道。

布希的說法,令人想起在位時同樣不孚民望的杜魯門總統。1952年時杜魯門總統的支持率僅有22%,為歷來最低記錄,但近年來歷史學家對他的評價卻大幅逆轉。杜魯門時期備受爭議的政策,如今則被視為大智大勇,使他搖身一變成為美國史上最受歡迎的總統之一。根據美國國內的多項民調,布希的支 持率也早已跌破30%,只比杜魯門略高一些。
布希任內引發最大爭議的施政,不外乎是對伊拉克發動戰爭、對卡翠娜颶風的救災行動遲緩,以及美國次級房貸導致全球金融風暴。其中對伊戰爭及反恐行動打擊了美國的國際形象,卡翠娜颶風則是致使布希在國內的支持率一路探底的關鍵,而次級房貸危機不僅拖累美國及全球經濟步上衰退,更是嚴重削弱美 國的國力。
然而,除了卡翠娜風災造成的無能印象根植人心、不易扭轉之外,布希政府的反恐行動和經濟施政,如今都被視為還需時間檢驗才能蓋棺論定。在對伊戰爭方面,世人多認為這項決策與布希的意識型態有關,但是加拿大Dalhousie大學國際關係教授Frank Harvey的研究報告提出,如果八年前的美國總統大選是由高爾獲勝,同樣面臨911恐怖攻擊,伊拉克戰爭是否就不會發生呢?結論是未必。
Harvey教授認為,以當時911之後美國國內憤怒與恐懼交織的壓力,以及國際間的嚴重關切,軍事行動必然成為主要選項。而且高爾的外 交立場是鮮明的鷹派,較布希有過之而無不及,在擔任柯林頓政府的副總統期間,就主張與伊拉克的海珊打交道應採最強硬路線,並支持對波士尼亞和科索沃的軍事 行動。更早之前,高爾也支持1991年波斯灣戰爭,以及80年代美國對利比亞和格瑞納達的出兵。因此,伊拉克戰爭並非由布希個人的意識型態所主導,也不能 僅視之為布希的戰爭。
布希政府未經聯合國同意即逕自出兵,以及以反恐為名的種種違反人權舉措,多年來受到猛烈抨擊。不過,美國在911之後未再遭恐怖攻擊,或 許即是反恐行動發揮了嚇阻作用,日後歷史學家對於布希政策的成敗可能會有不同的詮釋。還有分析家認為,儘管伊拉克戰爭讓布希飽受批判,但未來他的歷史地位 能否提升也正是繫於伊拉克的前途。如果伊拉克能夠走上穩定的自由民主道路,與美國維持良好的關係,未來將成為美國在中東的重要盟邦。若干年後再來回顧布希 政府的伊拉克政策,將會發現這是美國在中東利益的轉捩點,歷史對布希自會有一番不同的評價。
在經濟方面,次級房貸危機演變為全球金融風暴讓布希政府灰頭土臉,也成為布希離職前最不光彩的記錄。但事實上,布希是延續前幾任政府的政 策,真正對放寬金融規範不遺餘力的是柯林頓政府時代,金融風暴似不應完全歸咎於布希一人。布希也在記者會中提醒大家,八年前他上任時美國正處於經濟衰退, 他不但終結了衰退,還創造連續52個月就業成長的記錄,對於美國經濟並非有過無功。
諸多評論都指布希帶給美國災難,但若從全球角度觀察就顯現不同的意義。美國國力衰頹固然令人遺憾,但卻提供全球更多機會,促成多方勢力崛起。反恐行動促使美國減少對中東油源的依賴,加拿大躍升為美國最主要的原油供應國,成為加國經濟成長的重要動力。布希政府堅持自由貿易原則,與中國維持良 好經貿關係,使得中國經濟在過去八年間突飛猛進,外匯存底快速累積,走上真正大國之路。另外如印度、俄羅斯及拉丁美洲國家,也都是在布希任內崛起為全球矚 目的新興市場,並串連組成數個新的多國組織,牽制美國主導世局的能力。
布希還有一些令人感念卻被忽視的政績,像是推動「No Child Left Behind」以拉近學生的教育鴻溝;以60億美元經費在全球進行愛滋病防治工作,照顧了數百萬名非洲病患;並且改進美國的健保措施,讓千萬名低收入老人 得以免費或廉價取藥,減輕他們的負擔等等。只不過這些成績都被反恐戰爭、金融風暴所淹沒, 此刻的布希難以擺脫失敗無能的形象,唯有寄望未來歷史學家能以不同的觀點來審視這個年代。
【2009-01-17 聯合新聞網】
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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