U.S. Incentive Will Eliminate Up to $1 Trillion in Bad Loans

Published in Dagsavisen
(Norway) on 24 March 2009
by Heidi Katrine Bang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ramon Broers. Edited by Bridgette Blight.
Barack Obama to cooperate with private investors in order to solve the financial crisis. Up to $1 trillion in bad loans will be taken from U.S. banks.

American banks, which recently were more than willing to hand out loans, are now struggling with borrowers who cannot afford to pay the loans back. These bad loans clog the system, people are fleeing their houses and the banks are not lending out more money. This is what President Barack Obama and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner are focusing on to pull the U.S. out of the financial crisis. The U.S. Treasury is offering financial support to private investors who will buy the banks' bad loans.


Intervening

It will be interesting to see whether investors will buy into this. What will happen to the real estate market? This initiative is directly aimed at helping those who bought expensive properties and cannot manage their loans, said Arne Jon Isachsen at the Norwegian School of Management's department of social economy.

According to the plan, which was presented yesterday at the White House, the state intends to spend between $75 and $100 billion from the stimulus package Congress approved last year on subsidizing private investors who buy bad loans. In that way, the banks will be relieved from unpaid loans mounting to between $500 billion and $1 trillion.


Avoiding heavy losses

The government hopes that this plan will allow people to stay in their houses. However, the question is how much the banks will sell the bad loans for, Isachsen said.

“If you live in a house in the U.S. you bought for $600,000, entirely financed by loans, witch is worth only $400,000 today, of course it is tempting to give back the house to your bank; however, by doing so you exacerbate the housing crisis even further,” he said. “Accordingly, Obama’s plan is to entice private investors to buy the loans from the banks, to decrease your interest rate so that you can keep your house, and to make the banks avoid heavy losses. The private investors are receiving state subsidies.”


Skeptical investors

The hope is that banks will be more willing to provide loans to companies and private individuals. Yesterday, after details about the plan were revealed, the stock market went up in Europe and Asia. However, the plan was not well received by American private investors. Obama recently expressed outrage towards the AIG executives who collected millions of dollars in bonuses while the company received government subsidies to avoid bankruptcy.

"To moralize is something I resent, but I believe Obama does the right thing by making this a question of value,” Isachsen said. “It is not surprising that the private investors are acting hesitant; they are only trying to make the most money out of this. Naturally, they will claim this is a bad deal in order to make a better bargain.”


Vil fjerne råtne lån

Barack Obama vil slå seg sammen med private investorer for å løse kredittkrisen. Råtne lån for tusen milliarder dollar skal fjernes fra bankene.
Heidi Katrine Bang i dag

Amerikanske banker som for kort tid siden var mer enn villige til å låne ut penger, sliter nå med låntakere som ikke lenger greier å betale gjelda si. Slike råtne lån virker som en propp i systemet, folk rømmer fra husene sine som er belånt til over pipa og bankene tør ikke låne ut flere penger. Dette er blant det Barack Obama og hans finansminister Timothy Geithner har satt seg fore å gjøre noe med for å få USA ut av finanskrisen. Nå gir de et tilbud til private investorer om økonomisk støtte til dem som kjøper bankenes råtne lån.

Griper inn

– Det blir spennende å se om private vil være med på dette. Hva vil skje med boligmarkedet? Dette tiltaket griper rett inn i hverdagen til dem som har kjøpt dyre boliger og som ikke klarer å håndtere lånene sine, sier professor Arne Jon Isachsen ved Handelshøyskolen BIs institutt for samfunnsøkonomi.

Ifølge planen som ble presentert fra Det hvite hus i går, skal staten som utgangspunkt bruke mellom 75 milliarder og 100 milliarder dollar fra krisepakken som Kongressen godkjente i fjor høst på å subsidiere private som kjøper dårlige lån. Bankene skal på den måten fris fra lån som ikke betjenes, og som har en verdi på mellom 500 milliarder og tusen milliarder dollar.

Unngår kjempetap

– Myndighetene ønsker at folk skal bli boende i husene sine, spørsmålet er hvilken pris bankene skal selge de dårlige lånene for, sier Isachsen og fortsetter:

– Bor du i et hus i USA som du for ikke så lenge siden kjøpte for 600.000 dollar, fullt ut lånefinansiert, men som i dag bare er verdt 400.000, så er det klart fristende å levere huset til banken. Men hvis du gjør det, blir det ytterligere press nedover på boligprisene. Obamas oppskrift er altså at private aktører skal kjøpe opp lånet fra banken, du skal få betjene lånet ditt med lavere rente og kunne bli boende, og banken unngår et kjempetap. De private får kjøpe lånene med hjelp fra staten.

Skeptiske investorer

Håpet er at bankene dermed skal bli mer villige enn i dag til å låne penger til bedrifter og privatpersoner. Etter at detaljer fra planen ble kjent, gikk børsene opp både i Europa og Asia i går. Blant amerikanske private investorer ble imidlertid ikke tilbudet tatt bare godt imot. Årsaken er at Obama for kort tid siden skjelte ut AIGs toppsjefer som tok ut millioner av dollar i bonus i en tid der selskapet fikk statlige midler for å unngå konkurs.

– Moralisme har jeg lite til overs for, men jeg synes Obama gjør det riktige når han lar dette bli et verdispørsmål. At private har innvendinger er ikke rart, de er jo opptatt av å få en best mulig avtale. De vil jo hevde at dette er dårlig for å kunne forhandle seg fram til gunstigere betingelser, sier Isachsen.
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