The Five Weak Points of Obama’s Soft Diplomacy

Published in Oriental Morning Post
(China) on 29 April 2009
by Ding Gang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yung-Ting Chang. Edited by Katy Burtner.
Soft power has highlighted President Obama’s first 100 days of diplomacy. It seems the whole world, even those countries who have been regarded as enemies, is immersing itself in the current U.S. president’s charisma and sees the dawn of change. The image of the U.S. is improving. So is its influence on several international issues.

To summarize Obama’s initial 100 days of diplomacy, the main characteristic is its flexibility, with more friendliness and easier accessibility. What this policy really means is the U.S. is attempting to establish a wider and higher stance of moral influence by using “soft and smart methods,” such as goodwill, and occupying the commanding post of moral status in international society.

It is still difficult to depict a clear and complete panorama of Obama’s diplomacy, yet the current U.S. administration seems to be more and more dependent on the use of soft power. Generally speaking, it is mainly used to improve public relations, which would be a plus for their national image. Nevertheless, uplifting America’s image in international society is not the sole reason. What’s more is to rebuild the icon of a world moral leader.

By adjusting its diplomacy policies, the Obama administration could “pay” less, while completing its goal of achieving maximum benefit. Emphasizing moral influence does not necessarily mean that the U.S. would hand over its leading power on global issues. In the past, America tended to show its super military power to achieve this strategic goal, which could be instead fulfilled by exerting its moral rallying power.

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter, expressing disapproval toward the Bush administration, has said: “A country will have authority and influence because of moral factors, not its military strength; because it can be humble and not blatant and arrogant; because our people and our country want to serve others and not dominate others. And a nation without morality will soon lose its influence around the world."

To affect international issues by using moral power does not mean discarding the hard-line methods and only brandishing rewards. Whether it is sugarcoating tough tactics or the “carrot first, stick later” strategy, the U.S. will never forsake its strong military support. However, moral influence, like military force, is also a power.

More and more, America is using soft power in international affairs. In the foreseeable future, there will surely be a controlled power led by the U.S. over international public opinion.

However, under current international circumstances, as the power of newly booming economies are rising, the economies of America and other Western countries are starting to decrease, relatively. The whole world’s politics, economies and security patterns are in an unstable interim from mono-power to becoming dominated by multi-powers. Thus, the soft diplomacy of the Obama administration will face severe challenges in at least five ways.

First, soft power cannot be the panacea for every difficulty. What is the bottom line of “soft diplomacy?” For some thorny issues, especially when facing unprecedented security threats like terrorist attacks, can the Obama administration counter back with this new diplomacy? Will it then lessen its emphasis on soft diplomacy and turn back to strengthening military power?

Second, whether soft diplomacy affects policy or not depends on how far the Obama administration will go. There is no free meal in the world. Even if the price of soft diplomacy costs less than military interference, it is still not a free of charge deal. How much could or will the U.S. pay? What kind of compromise will they make with what kind of countries? That is undoubtedly not a simply question.

Third, if they keep using soft diplomacy, will this method advance America’s capability to bargain with its competitors? How to distinguish “friend or foe” of America has aroused concern within the U.S. diplomatic circle. Some think this Obama-style diplomacy could worry U.S. allies and delight rivals. What if rival countries took advantage of this soft diplomacy to improve their hidden agendas? Could that situation happen and provoke existing conflicts rather than soothe them?

Fourth, we can draw up measures based on America’s moral standard, which might appeal to some allies, but may also bring some new troubles to international society, such as the newly formed distrust among different countries about their various societies, cultural aspects and political systems.

Fifth, the expansion of exerting soft diplomacy also represents the shrinkage of hard power, and if this happens in the U.S., it will cause significant changes in global politics, the economy and security patterns. There is neither any country in the world willing to take over, nor could any sufficient mechanism take responsibility over from America. Many areas still lack security patterns, and the cutting down of U.S. military power might result in new instability in some countries.

Based on the five challenges above, we can only say that there are concerns about Obama’s diplomacy. Whether it could effectively work as planned to solve problems is still hard to tell.


在目前新兴力量群雄崛起,美国力量、西方力量开始相对衰落,整个世界的政治、经济和安全格局处于从单极向多极过渡的极不稳定时期,奥巴马政府的‘柔性外交’至少会受到五个方面的严峻挑战。

  奥巴马百日外交的最大亮点是“柔性”,整个世界似乎都从这位美国总统的微笑中感受到了变化,甚至包括一些历来被美国视为敌手的国家。美国的形象开始改善,美国对一些重大国际问题的影响力似乎也在增强。

  从奥巴马的百日外交看,其政策特点是更具柔性,更富善意,更有亲和力。但究其实质,这种外交政策是在着力塑造一种更为广泛、更为深远的道义影响力,是通过柔性、善意等“灵巧与智慧”的方式,占据国际社会的道义制高点。

  短短百日,要给奥巴马的外交政策一个完整、清晰的勾画恐怕还很难,但这届美国政府看来将会更多地注重软力量的运用。一般认为,软力量的运用主要是有助于推进国家公关,有助于塑造一个国家的形象,但奥巴马政府侧重于软力量运用的目的,不只是要改变美国在国际社会的形象,更是为了重塑美国的全球道德领袖的形象。

  通过外交政策的调整,奥巴马政府可以减少付出的“代价”,但其获取最大利益的目标没有变。重视道德影响力,并非意味着美国会放弃对全球事务的主导权,过去的美国可能更多的是靠武力的炫耀或威慑来达到这一战略目标,现在和未来,它将会更注重通过道义的感召力来控制世界。

  对布什政府持有批评态度的美国前总统卡特认为:“一个国家之所以有权威和影响,是因为道德因素,而不是军事实力;因为它的谦卑而不是傲慢无礼;是因为我们的国家和人民愿意为别人服务而不是控制别人……一个没有道德的国家很快就会失去它在全世界的影响。”

  通过道义力量影响国际事务,不是要甩掉强硬的大棒,只举起香甜的胡萝卜。无论是将大棒裹上一层软软的海绵,还是胡萝卜在前、大棒在后,美国都不会放弃军事力量的强大后盾。但是,军事力量是一种制约力量,道德影响力同样也是一种制约力量。

  美国更主动、更积极地使用软力量,有可能在未来的国际事务中,形成一种以美国为主导的、以国际舆论为空间的制约力或遏制力。

  但是,在目前的国际局势下,特别是随着新兴力量的群雄崛起,美国力量、西方力量开始相对衰落,整个世界的政治、经济和安全格局处于从单极向多极过渡的极不稳定时期,奥巴马政府外交政策的调整至少会在以下五个方面面临严峻挑战。

  其一,仅仅依靠软力量无法解决所有难题,“柔性外交”的底线何在?在解决不了一些难题时,特别是面临像恐怖袭击这样的非传统安全威胁时,奥巴马政府能否用新的外交政策来从容应对,会不会放弃或减少柔性外交的力度,转而采取更多的军事力量呢?

  其二,柔性外交要真正产生效用,还要看奥巴马政府的付出。世界上没有免费的午餐。即便柔性外交的代价要比军事干预更小,但一毛不拔肯定不行。美国究竟愿意或能够付出多少,在什么问题上给什么国家做出什么样让步,肯定不是一个简单的问题。

  其三,过多使用柔性外交,会不会提高美国的敌对国的讨价还价能力呢?现在美国外交界已经出现了这种担心,认为奥巴马的外交是“敌我不分”,会造成盟友担忧、敌对国高兴的局面。某些美国的敌对国今后如果利用奥巴马的柔性外交,试图达到自己的目的,会不会导致原有矛盾的激化,而不是缓和呢?

  其四,按美国的道德准则来划线排队,可能会吸引一些盟国,但也会给国际社会带来新的麻烦,特别是在不同社会、不同文化传统和不同政治体制的国家间制造新的不信任感。

  其五,柔性外交的运用可能意味着硬实力的收缩,美国减少硬实力的付出将会对全球政治、经济和安全格局产生重大影响。目前世界上还没有哪个国家愿意主动承担美国减去的负担,也没有一种更有效的机制来分担这种负担,由于世界上不少地区都缺少一种安全格局,美国军事力量的收缩就可能会给一些地区和国家带来新的不稳定。

  基于这五个方面的挑战,我们只能说奥巴马的外交政策出现了变化,但断言奥巴马外交能否成型,能否有效地解决一些难题,恐怕还为时过早。
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