A possibility of a new Cold War would make us happy. After all, it was the Cold War that saved the Soviet Union from becoming a nuclear one. From the start, it became clear that nuclear weapons would not be utilized.
Evidently, the USSR lost the Cold War which attracted a systematic catastrophe, or as Vladimir Putin called it, “A geopolitical catastrophe.” I often call it a historical catastrophe. Was the USA at fault? First of all, any great incident occurs due to internal reasons. The question is not how and why the CIA schemed and conspired: the question is why was the CIA able to break the USSR before the KGB got to the U.S.?
Speaking about the present, I am a supporter of building a close relationship with the US without it turning into another systematic catastrophe, aka Perestroika 2. If it is possible to agree without losing our territorial integrity and other regressions, then it needs to be done.
Russia has its concrete interests: the sanctioning of NATO’s further advancement East, the anti-missile defense problem, the rejection of a unilateral military that would allow a U.S. missile attack on our territory, relations with adjacent countries that create obstacles in our alliance with Europe. This is a set of concrete questions demanding regulation that would not completely undermine our residual possibilities. Since the collapse of the socialist camp, in wishing to be on friendly terms with the USA, we have relaxed to some extent, getting nothing in return. And now, what will we receive in exchange? The U.S. will not allow us to work with Europe for fear that it will be stronger. After all, a dangerous country to the U.S. is one that’s comparable in power, regardless of ideology. It has to be confirmed by George Washington. I repeat: America will never let us be allies with Europe. The American opinion is that an association between Europe and Russia means the emergence of a hostile monster. We will not receive any other benefits. The USA will make concessions because it has become weaker. I consider this weakness a bluff. Even if the USA is retreating from battle, it is actually just taking a temporary break, after which its new global offense will begin.
After Obama’s arrival, all of the problems with Russian-American relations were written off onto Bush. And we have all started to embrace each other, but we need a distinct agenda. What is it? Оbама will say nice words to Medvedev, Medvedev will say nice words to Obama. What then?
The energy problem is extremely important to the Americans. They would like us to build propane gas factories, with all the gas (and preferably oil, too) going to the USA instead of Europe or China. But we have long-term power supply obligations to the West and the East, obligations from which we cannot retreat. Even if we did, what would the U.S. offer us in exchange other than some warm rhetoric?
Can we do something to help the USA with Iran? What specifically? In essence, Iran is already a nuclear force. Russian influence there is highly exaggerated. If the United States recognizes Iran as a nuclear military power, they will make allies with each other even without us.
Having made all possible mistakes, America has finally made the right decision. Sooner or they will later, understanding that the collapse of the USSR and the intended collapse of Russia will inconvenience not only the USA’s tactical growth, but also its strategic break. The geopolitical crater created from this will ruin the U.S. and will become the embodiment of a neo-fascist dream of the “Predators of Yalta” destruction.
So how do we make friends with the U.S.? There are three scenarios.
First – Reset. Why not? Let both sides soften the rhetoric and make mutual compromises without infringing on fundamental interests.
Second – Perestroika 2. Our unilateral concessions create a systematic catastrophe.
Third – New Yalta. Is it possible? Basically it is, and more than that, it’s desirable, but I am afraid that it will not happen now.
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