America to be the World’s Center as English Enters an Outbreak Era

Published in People's Forum
(China) on 11 June 2009
by Unknown (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by James Don. Edited by Katy Burtner.
Recently, the performance of America on the world stage has been disappointing. Wall Street was humiliated by the financial crisis. Leaders of countries called for a multipolar world at the G20 summit meeting in London. Even a committee in America concluded from their 2005 world trend report that America will gradually lose its right of dominion over the world, Diplomatic Policy of America reported on June 8th.

But as the influence of English gradually strengthens, it is likely that America will become the world’s center once again.

America will become the world’s center again by relying on English

For those who have proclaimed that the world has entered a post-America era, they are still facing a big problem: English is taking over human hearts and thoughts faster than politics. According to recent statistics, the English vocabulary has reached one million words, which is twice the number of Cantonese, four times the number of Spanish, and 10 times the number of French. Half of the world’s population will speak English by the year 2015. Analysts have said in the past that once English officially became the paralanguage of the world, then America would return to the center of the world stage. Now, America is the biggest English-speaking country in the world and the number of English speakers counts 20 percent of the world's population.

In the middle of 2007, the International Herald Tribune reported that the number of people in non-English speaking countries who use some kind of English is three times the population of English–speaking countries. Today, nearly 400 million people use English as their mother language, and 300 to 500 million people use English as their second language. 750 million people use English as their first foreign language. The number of people who speak English around the world has exceeded one billion. Each influential newspaper around the world has its own English edition. Over 90 percent of periodicals and magazines are printed in English. And every year, profit made from English training and services reaches 50 billion dollars.

Self-motivation promoted the outbreak of English

Why could English enter an era of outbreak? That is the result of self-motivation. In China, where the public thinks they will possibly replace the status of America, learning English is regarded as the ‘open sesame’ to the middle class, and 300 million people can speak English. In India, 350 million people can speak English. According to the latest report from Global Prudential in Chicago, 96 to 100 percent of people in China, India, Japan, South Korea and Vietnam think that children should learn English. 90 percent of primary schools in Japan have set up English classes and Chinese students begin to learn English when they are in third grade. In addition, there are almost 50,000 English training schools. Chris Gibson, a southern India director in England, predicts that all people in southern India in the future will be able to speak English because English is becoming a generally used language.

Asia is not the only area that worships English. Since 1998, students in Argentina have had two hour English classes each week, after third grade. In the same year, state schools in Chile began to provide students with English training. In many African countries, English is an optional language. Even European countries emphasize the importance of learning English. Mr. Laurent, dean of the Higher College of Business and Economics of France, says that many schools use English to teach classes, since English has become an international language. “Our education enables students from every corner of the world to contribute to every corner of the world after graduation,” said Laurent.

Well, as a matter of fact, there are also a great number of people speaking Chinese, Spanish and Hindi, but they speak English when they communicate with each other inter-culturally. As parents, they also teach their children English so that their children can be world citizens as interaction between countries increases. A majority of scholars think that English can be passed from generation to generation in an international and simplified form. This international and simplified form is called “Global English” or “World Standard English.”

English is becoming a world language

This kind of trend hints that the influence of English will successively increase in the coming decades. McKinsey Global Institute has predicted that by the year 2100, the number of languages will decrease from 7000 to 200, and English will become the main communication medium for many countries. English will also become the second language for countries such as China, Japan, South Korea and most countries in Africa and Latin America.

English has played an important role in the process of human evolution. With language, children can learn, authors can write, consumers can shop, companies can make products, leaders can negotiate, people can travel ... anything you can imagine is related to language.

Hence, when the unipolar world comes to an end, the gradually increasing influence of English will undoubtedly guarantee the status of America on the world stage, rather than make it follow the fate of “the empire on which the sun never sets.”


据美国《外交政策》杂志6月8日报道,近来美国在世界舞台上的表现让人感到很失望:金融危机令华尔街蒙羞;G20峰会上,各国领导人呼吁多极化世界;甚至就连美国国家情报委员也在《2025年全球趋势》报告中得出结论,美国将逐渐丧失全球支配权。

但是随着英语影响力的不断提升,美国可能再次成为世界的中心。

美国将靠英语重成世界中心

对于那些宣称世界已经进入“后美国时代”的人来说,他们还面临着一个大问题:英语正以比政治更快的速度赢得人心和人类的思想。据最新统计,英语单词数量已经达到100万个,是广东话词语的两倍、西班牙语的四倍、法语的十倍。到2015年,世界上将有一半人讲英语。分析人士称,一旦英语重新成为全世界的准官方语言,美国很可能再次回到世界舞台的中心。美国是世界上最大的英语国家,其英语使用人数占世界总数的20%。

在2007年中期,《国际先驱论坛报》曾报道称,使用某种形式英语的非英语国家人数已经是英语国家人数的三倍。目前,已经有4亿人将英语作为母语,3亿到5亿人将其作为第二语言。7.5亿人将英语作为第一外语掌握,全世界讲英语的人已经突破10亿。每种具有全球影响力的报纸几乎都有英文版本,世界90%以上的期刊杂志都用英语印发,全球每年英语培训和服务获利高达500亿美元。

“上进心”促使英语大爆炸

英语为何会进入“大爆炸时代”呢?这都是“上进心”在作怪。在被公认可能取代美国地位的中国,学习英语被认为是进入中产阶级安全的“敲门砖”;3亿中国人能讲英语。在印度,有3.5亿人讲英语。根据芝加哥全球事务委员会最新报告指出,在中国、印尼、日本、韩国以及越南,96%到100%的人认为,儿童应该学习英语。日本90%的小学已经开放了英语课程,中国学校三年级开始开放英语课,此外将有高达5万所英语培训中心建成。英国南印度主管克里斯-吉布森计划,到2010年所有南印度人都能讲英语,因为他认为,英语将成为一种世界通用语言。

亚洲国家不是唯一崇拜英语的地区。自从1998年以来,阿根廷高中学生从四年级开始,每周就有两个小时的英语课。同一年,智利公立学校开始对七年级以上学生提供英语训练。在许多非洲国家中,英语也是可选择的语言之一。即使欧洲大陆也开始强调学习英语的重要性。法国高等经济商业学院院长洛朗-比哈德说,学校正在接受英语授课,因为英语已经成为国际语言。“我们的教学让来自全世界任何地方的学生,毕业后能够前往世界各地”。

说汉语、西班牙语或印地语的人也许更多,但当他们跨越文化交谈时使用的却是英语,他们还教授子女英语,帮助孩子成长为一个相互联系日益增多的世界公民。大多数学者认为英语可能通过某种国际简化形式继续代代相传,这种简化形式有时被称为“全球英语”或“世界标准英语”。

英语将成世界语言

这种趋势暗示,英语的影响力将在未来数十年内继续增加。麦肯锡全球学会预测称:“到2100年,世界上的语言将从7000种减少到200多种,英语将成为许多国家交流通信的主要媒介,将成为中国、日本、韩国、大部分非洲国家和拉美国家的第二语言。”

语言在人类进化过程中起着巨大的作用,孩子们可以通过语言学习、作家们可以用语言写作、消费者可以通过语言购物、公司可以依靠语言实现生产、领导人可以使用语言谈判、人们可以依靠语言四处旅行,几乎你能想象的到的任何事情,都离不开语言。

因此,当单极世界终结时,英语日益增加的影响力将确保美国的强国地位,而不会令其重走“日不落帝国”的老路。
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