Sword of Damocles Hangs over Sino-U.S. Economic and Trade Relations

Published in News
(China) on 16 October 2010
by Bo Yunwei, He Ying, Liu Yunfei (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Qu Xiao. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced on Oct. 15 its decision to delay the publication of its semiannual international economic and exchange rate policies report to the Congress. Although America hasn’t falsely listed China as a “currency manipulator” yet, such an issue hangs over the Sino-U.S. economic and trade relations like the sword of Damocles, and will impede any further development unless it is cleared up.

America has been arguing for years that China underestimated its own currency in order to take devious advantages in export, which consequently spurred various American domestic problems such as the trade deficit and rising unemployment rate. The facts, however, prove that such claims are false. America’s economic difficulties remain the same — with some domestic issues even worsening — when RMB has already appreciated by more than 20 percent to USD in the five years since the RMN reform. This shows that America’s blaming RMB exchange rate for its own domestic failure doesn’t hold water. Some analysts pointed out that America should admit its wrong stand on the RMB exchange rate dispute, or else the normal economic and trade relations between the two countries will be affected.

In essence, irrelevant to the exchange rate, the unbalanced financial and monetary policy of the U.S. government itself is the cause of the so-called Sino-U.S. trade imbalance. The IMF, World Bank and other international financial institutions generally agree that adjusting the RMB exchange rate will not save America from its huge trade deficit, and the trade problems between China and America can only be gradually solved through structural adjustment.

Now, with the approaching of the midterm election, publicizing the RMB exchange rate dispute seems to have become a gimmick to win votes. So the shouting to exert pressure on China rose one after another across America’s political arena, making the whole economic issue politicized when it could have been solved through rational talk. Compared with China’s open and cooperative attitude towards the RMB exchange rate, America is pushing the issue into a stiff, tough and ever-upgrading dispute.

Threatening and sanctioning is not the most effective way to deal with international relations, let alone the relations between major powers. China and America, as two big countries with a wide range of common interests who each cannot hurt the other without hurting itself, will prosper only through cooperation. This is why the U.S. government dare not tag China too hastily with the label “currency manipulator.” Yet this is far from satisfying for solving the problem. Apart from the faulty accusation on the RMB mentioned earlier, keeping the exchange rate issue from being politicized is the right track for promoting economic and trade relations between the two nations.

During the Great Depression of the 1930s, Franklin Roosevelt said, "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself." Today, when pondering this famous line over again, we have to admit that under the circumstance that the world economy is still recovering on a weak foundation, the most fearful thing is doubtless the words and actions that create tumult and panic among people.

America, as one of the most powerful economic entities in the world, plays a significant role in stabilizing the financial market and reducing the impact of the crisis.

After the outbreak of the financial crisis, governments and officials from many countries have reached a consensus that the only way to tackle the crisis is to unite as one and work with joined hands. Therefore, the most urgent task facing the international community is to make policies in different countries more coordinated, stabilize the financial system, curb protectionism and shore up the hard-earned foundation of the economic recovery. America should live up to its responsibility and join hands with other nations to make constructive efforts on the long-term development of the world economy.


美国财政部15日推迟发表半年一次的《国际经济和汇率政策报告》,虽然美国暂时没有错误决定将中国列为“汇率操纵国”,但是这一问题仍像悬在中美经贸关系上的“达摩克利斯之剑”,隐忧一日不消除,中美经贸关系就难以正常发展。

多年来,美国声称,中国因人民币汇率低估而在对外贸易中占据不当竞争优势,从而加剧了美国贸易逆差以及失业率上升等国内问题。然而,事实证明这是一个伪命题:人民币汇率改革5年多来,人民币对美元汇率升值幅度已经超过20%,但美国经济问题依然存在,有的还有所恶化,这表明美方把国内问题归咎于人民币汇率是站不住脚的。一些分析人士指出,除非美方纠正其在人民币汇率问题上的错误立场,否则两国正常的经贸往来就会受到干扰。

中美贸易中出现的所谓失衡问题从本质上说是美国自身财政货币政策失衡造成的,与汇率问题无关。包括国际货币基金组织、世界银行在内的国际金融机构普遍认为,调整人民币汇率无助于减少美国巨额贸易逆差,中美贸易中出现的问题必须通过结构性调整逐步加以解决。

值得警惕的是,美国国会中期选举在即,炒作人民币汇率问题已成为一些人借以拉票的噱头,美国朝野要求对华施压的呼声此起彼伏,使得本可理性探讨的经济问题被政治化。相对于中国在汇率问题上的开放、合作态度,美方立场却日趋僵化、强硬,进而不断升级争端。

威胁和制裁不是处理现代国际关系的最有效途径,在处理大国关系时尤其不适用。作为拥有广泛共同利益的两个重要国家,中美合则两利,斗则俱伤。鉴于此,美国政府显然不能贸然给中国挂上“汇率操纵国”的标签。然而,这还远远不够。去除伪命题,勿将汇率问题政治化,乃是推动两国经贸往来的正途。

在二十世纪三十年代大萧条时期,时任美国总统富兰克林·罗斯福指出:“唯一值得我们恐惧的,即恐惧本身。”今天,回味这句名言,我们不得不承认,在世界经济复苏基础薄弱的当下,最值得世人恐惧的无疑是制造混乱和恐惧的言行。

作为当今世界最有分量的经济体,美国的立场和表现对稳定金融市场、消除危机影响至关重要。

自金融危机爆发以来,各国政要已经达成共识,应对危机的办法只有共克时艰。因此,国际社会的当务之急是加强政策协调,稳定金融体系,遏制保护主义倾向,巩固来之不易的经济复苏基础。美方应切实负起责任,与他国携手合作,为世界经济的长远发展切实付出建设性努力。


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