The Ssu-ma Perspective: The Non-Dominating Superpower

Published in Apple Daily
(Taiwan) on 26 January 2011
by Antonio Chiang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ian Tsung-Yen Lee. Edited by Alex Brewer.
A quietly-released joint statement was made by both American and Chinese presidents in the flat and dull media: no breakthroughs and no new projects are being planned. All in all, Hu Jintao got the reception what the head of a strong nation deserves, which eliminated some worries both U.S. and China had and stabilized bilateral relations. Everything "played as was described in the script" and was without surprise, and the results also met expectations from both sides. This visit could be considered a success for Beijing.


Hu Delivered Goodwill for the U.S. Visit


Despite the backslide of China-U.S. relations, China basically achieved nothing in foreign affairs last year. Yet the real serious issue was the rise of production costs in China in 2010, which stirred up strikes, forcing Beijing to speed up the transformation on its economic structure. This led to the rocketing price of housing and everyday commodities. Municipal governments demolished local villages to acquire farming land and houses in response to the financial pressure, and eventually irritated the people. In the Fifth Plenum of the 17th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, China decided to put aside their ambition of a "peaceful rise" and try its best to stabilize the internal society. Externally, China also decided to be low-keyed and develop the relations with the United States through economic issues.

About a month ago, Dai Bingguo, a State Councilor who is in charge of the foreign affairs, publicly said that "the talks saying that China is to replace the U.S. to be the next superpower is just a fairy tale," and that "China won't be the leader, won't be the superpower and won't strive for being a superpower." Efforts are being made to create a friendly atmosphere in light of Hu's coming visit.


Lee Kuan Yew's New Book Became a Wet Blanket


Coincidentally, Lee Kuan Yew made a comment on China in his new book “Lee Kuan Yew: Hard Truths To Keep Singapore Going.” He thinks that "China is not necessarily the soft superpower," and that "if China is not preparing to dominate the world, why do they even bother telling the world they are not intended to do so? China tells every nation that they are not the one who dominates. And whenever other countries do something unappealing to them, they tell you that you upset 1.3 billion people. What happens when they upset us? You know it's merely some million people. You should know where your positions are. China won't invade other countries by force. They are such a huge market, and they only need to suppress us." It requires some courage for Lee Kuan Yew to be so frank.

In fact, it's not all fairy tales to promote human rights in China if we manage to foster a political platform. And what recently happened in Tunisia just proved that as long as the people within the county are aware of their own rights, the time for changes should arrive.


司馬觀點:不稱霸的霸權(江春男)
2011年 01月26日 蘋果日報
美中兩國元首發表低調的聯合聲明,舉行蒼白無味的記者會,沒有新突破,也沒有展開新項目。不過,胡錦濤此行得到強國元首應有的面子,消除雙方一些疑慮,穩住中美關係,一切照劇本演出,沒有發生意外,符合雙方的預期,對北京而言算是成功的。
為胡訪美營造善意
去年不只中美關係發生倒退,中國外交政策幾乎一事無成,但真正嚴重的是,2010年中國製造因成本上升,罷工迭起,北京被迫加快經濟結構轉型,房產物價齊漲,地方政府基於財政壓力不斷拆村,奪取農民耕地和住宅,導致民怨四起。17屆五中全會決議,暫時收歛和平崛起的雄心,全力對內維穩,用經濟外交和低姿態來改善與美國關係。
1個多月前,主管外交的國務委員戴秉國出面表示「中國要取代美國,稱霸世界的談話是一個神話」,並再三強調「中國不當頭、不稱霸、不爭霸」,為了胡錦濤訪美,營造種種善意氣氛。

李光耀新書潑冷水
巧合的是,李光耀的新書「新加坡賴以生存的硬道理」對此潑了冷水。他認為「中國未必是柔和的霸權」、「如果中國不準備稱霸,為什麼老告訴全世界不要成為霸權」、「中國告訴每個國家我們不是霸權,但當我們做了一些他們不喜歡的事情時,他們就說你讓13億人民不高興,而當他們讓我們不高興呢?你知道那只是讓幾百萬不高興,他們要你清楚自己的位置在哪裡」、「中國不會以武力侵略他國,他們是一個龐大市場,只要從經濟上擠壓我們就行了」。李光耀這種坦率的談話,需要不少勇氣。
其實,推動中國人權,需要在國內構建政治平台,最近突尼西亞事件證明,只要國內民眾的權利意識成熟,改變的機會隨時可能不期而至。
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