How Should China and the U.S. Discuss Security Strategies?

Published in Wenweipo
(Hong Kong) on 12 May 2011
by Zhang Jingwei (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sharon Chiao. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The Sino-U.S. Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED) is something both countries have to deal with; however, with regards to people who are filled with uncertainty, one always hopes to receive news or hope from the dialogues between these two superpowers. China and the United States also hope that these mechanized dialogues would have more meaning and be full of vigor. Thus, during this round of the S&ED, discussion of security strategies was incorporated for the first time. China’s Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Cui Tiankai, was very frank about China and the U.S. discussing security strategies for the first time.

Or rather it should be said that it is the first time during the luxurious discussion lineup of the Sino-U.S. dialogues that highest ranking military officers did not attend. China sent the People’s Liberation Army’s Deputy Chief of Staff, General Ma Xiaotian; however, the United States sent U.S. Pacific Command Commander Admiral Robert Willard. (Note: This was the first time an officer from China attended; this is not the case for the United States) This means that the first security strategy dialogue was only symbolic in meaning. However, if one analyzes the mechanized formation of the Sino-U.S. S&ED, it cannot be ignored that future China-U.S. securities strategy dialogues will become more important, topics will be clearer and may even become as important as strategy and economics.

In September 2005, former U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick interpreted Sino-U.S. relations to be like “stakeholders” — this is also recognized by China’s politicians and media as the expression of the evaluation of Sino-U.S. relations. Many believe that Sino-U.S. economic relations are closely fused together; there are some parts linked together that prevent Sino-U.S. relations from deviating from the normal direction. There is some truth to this; however, last year’s U.S. return to Asia Strategy provoked confrontations between Chinese and U.S. troops in Southeast Asia and the South China Sea. The excitation on the Korean Peninsula caused dangerous interactions between China and North Korea and the United States and South Korea. China and Japan’s boat collision added to the dispute over sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands, which caused a showdown between China, the United States and Japan. Military conflicts between China and the United States in the Asia-Pacific region are not only potential, but carry the danger of reaching the brink of war at any time.

China and the United States openly holding security strategy discussions is not only keeping up with the times, but is quite imperative. Therefore, sensitive observers will believe that the hot topic of this round of S&ED was the security strategy discussions. The former White House National Security Council Director for Asian Affairs, Jeffrey Bedford, currently a scholar at the China Center’s Brookings Institution, believes that Sino-U.S. security talks are below the level of “U.S.-Soviet” talks. The key is how China and the United States discuss these issues.

First, identify the point of intersection to be able to have fruitful discussions as opposed to being at opposite poles with both sides trying to say what they want to say. The U.S. points of interest include missile defense, strategic weapons, Internet safety and space. China’s points of interest are Internet safety and maritime affairs, which include America claiming to be doing reconnaissance activities in exclusive economic zones. Under these circumstances, Internet safety could be a point of intersection for both countries; from here they can engage in deep discussions.

Additionally, China and the U.S. also have plenty to discuss on the topic of missile defense and space. However, due to the great difference between China and the U.S.’s military strength and the U.S.’s feelings on China’s rigid geo-spatial constraints, it will take a long time before China and the United States find a safe discussion point.

Secondly, global hot issues like North Korea and Iran going nuclear, the war on terror, the Middle East and North Africa offer broad cooperation opportunities for China and the United States; these should be the main points of the bilateral dialogue.

Thirdly, are the bilateral discussions regarding cooperation on the war on terror “after the bin Laden era.” After bin Laden died, the global community was full of discussion regarding the direction of Sino-U.S. relations. China and the United States ought to clearly tell the international community that there is still a long way to go on the road of Sino-U.S. cooperation on the war on terror and it should be mutually cooperative.


中美戰略與經濟對話,雖然是中美雙邊的事,但對於充滿不確定感的地球人而言,總希望從中美兩強的對話中探尋一些信息,尋求一點希望。中美兩強也想讓這樣的機制性對話更有意義和充滿活力。因此,這次戰略與經濟對話,首次增加了戰略安全的對話內容。中國外交部副部長崔天凱則直言,中美將首次舉行戰略安全對話。

 應該說,在中美兩強的豪華對話陣容中,首次出現的軍方人士層級並非最高。中方派出人民解放軍副總參謀長馬曉天上將,而美方將領是太平洋司令部司令羅伯特.威拉德上將。(備註:中國軍方首次出現,美國不是)這也意味著,所謂首次戰略安全對話,僅具象徵意義。但如果從中美戰略與經濟對話的機制形成歷程分析,不排除未來的中美戰略安全對話,會層級更高,主題更鮮明,甚至與戰略和經濟同等重要。

 前美國副國務卿佐利克於2005年9月,曾將中美關係解讀為「利益攸關方」—這也是中國政界和媒體界較為認可的評價中美關係的表達。很多人認為,中美經濟關係融合密切,有此紐帶,中美關係不會偏離正常方向。這固然有理,但從去年美國重返亞洲戰略挑起的中美在東南亞和南海的對抗,朝鮮半島激發的中美韓朝四方的危險互動,以及中日撞船事件加釣魚島主權爭議所引發的中美日三國演義等看,中美在亞太區域的軍事衝突不僅僅是潛在的,而且隨時會有擦槍走火的風險。

 中美兩國展開戰略安全對話,不單是與時俱進,而且是勢在必行。所以,敏感的觀察家咸認為,本輪中美戰略與經濟對話的熱點是安全對話。白宮國家安全會議前亞洲事務主任、現任布魯金斯學會中國中心學者的傑夫里.貝德認為中美安全對話低於「美蘇水平」。關鍵是如何對話。

 一是找準交集,才能有效對話,而不是南轅北轍、各說各話。美方關注的主題包括:導彈防禦、戰略武器、網絡安全以及太空;中國感興趣的是網絡以及海上事務,包括美國對中國所宣稱的專屬經濟區進行的偵察活動。在此情勢下,網絡安全可謂雙方交集,是可進行深入對話的。

 此外,在導彈防禦及太空層面,中美亦有可討論的空間。不過,由於中美軍力差距太大,加上美國對華地緣空間的限制過死,要找到安全對話的契合點,中美還有很長的磨合期。

 二是在全球熱點問題方面,譬如朝核、伊核、反恐和中東北非地區,中美兩國有著廣闊的合作空間,應是中美對話的重點。

 三是探討兩國「後拉登時代」的反恐合作。拉登死後,國際社會充滿了對中美關係走向的討論,中美兩國應明確告訴國際社會,中美合作反恐的道路依然任重道遠,應該和衷共濟。
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