The U.S. Uses TPP to Balance Out China

Published in China Times
(Taiwan) on 16 November 2011
by Huang Yubin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sharon Chiao. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
After battling an “asymmetrical war” for 10 years, Americans have noticed that they were wrong. After the fall of the asymmetrical war opponents — Saddam Hussein, the Taliban and bin Laden — the true opponent has revealed itself by stepping out from behind Japan. You guessed it: It’s China.

This is a huge, complex “opponent” that Americans, at this moment, do not know how they ought to go about dealing with. China is the world’s second largest economic entity, whose aircraft carriers and stealth fighters have already been through their test trials. However, the U.S.’ biggest headache is that China has already entered the world’s economy. Tough measures cannot be used against China; the U.S. even has to ask Beijing to help solve the economic problem.

However, two recent news reports show that the U.S. clearly has found a strategy to deal with China and has begun to implement it. An article from America’s military website, insidedefense.com, reports that on November 14, the Pentagon announced the establishment of an “AirSea Battle” office. This “AirSea Battle” is an operational concept “combining Air Force and Navy assets to overwhelm attempts to limit the U.S. military’s global reach.”

The other article, from last week’s APEC meeting, discusses the TPP [Trans-Pacific Partnership]. Many people believe that the U.S.’ interest in the TPP is solely to balance out China. According to U.S. Secretary of State Clinton’s analogy, the TPP will be the Asia-Pacific equivalent of the established strategic system that Europe and the U.S. have in the West, which spans across the Atlantic. However, the TPP has a subtle hint of the U.S. returning to the Asia-Pacific. The TPP is similar to the “AirSea Battle” strategy; its multi-channel, multi-field and fast-suppression approach will force China’s closest economic partners to, at any time, tango with the U.S., with China having to give in.

The TPP needs to succeed; success without China is unthinkable. The U.S.’ goal is to increase the cost of China joining the TPP. Thus, being confronted with this, Beijing might as well counter by developing a strategy plan for free trade that is an effective response to the TPP’s strategy game.


打了10年「不對稱戰爭」後,美國人發現,他們錯了。那些不對稱的對手:海珊、塔利班、賓拉登,當這些人統統倒下後,真正的對手從日本人身後站了出來──沒錯,是中國大陸。

 這是一個龐大的、複雜的「對手」,美國人一時不知道該怎麼對付。中國是世界第2大經濟體,航母和隱形戰機也已試航、試飛。但美國最感頭痛的是大陸已融入世界經濟體系,不可能對大陸採取強硬手段,甚至還須求助北京來解決經濟問題。

 然而,最近兩則報導顯示,美國已經明確了對付大陸的戰略,並著手實施。美國著名軍事網站InsideDefense.com(國防內幕網站)的一則報導稱,五角大廈11月14日宣布成立「空海一體戰」辦公室,所謂「空海一體戰」是「結合空軍和海軍力量,共同壓制試圖限制美軍全球影響力行為」的作戰體系。

 另一則是來自上周末APEC會議的TPP消息,眾多評論認為,美國對TPP的興趣,在於藉它制衡大陸。正如美國國務卿希拉蕊所作的類比,TPP是美國在亞太構建類似於歐美在西方所建立的跨大西洋戰略體系,其中蘊含著重返亞洲的意味。TPP是典型的「空海一體戰」,多通道、多領域、快速逼近式的壓制,讓大陸最緊密的經濟夥伴都隨美國起舞,大陸不得不就範。

 TPP要成功,缺少中國大陸是不可想像的,美國的目的是增加大陸進入TPP的成本。因此,與其對抗,北京不如制訂邁向全面自由貿易的戰略地圖,有效應對TPP的戰略博奕,才是應對之道。
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