Gingrich’s Rise Alarms Republican Establishment

Published in El Pais
(Spain) on 16 December 2011
by Antonio Caño (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Laura L. Messer. Edited by Louis Standish.
Is Newt Gingrich a candidate capable of beating Barack Obama? This is the most frequently asked question in Washington since the former Speaker of the House has become the top hopeful for the Republican presidential candidacy. The conservative “establishment” fears that the nomination of Gingrich, a temperamental and undisciplined personality with a controversial past, would serve reelection on a silver platter to the current president.

For this reason, Gingrich was the principal object of his companions’ and rivals’ attacks in the presidential debate on Thursday, the final one scheduled before the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses. Gingrich assured that he is perfectly capable of defeating Obama, among other reasons because he [Obama] “will not have a leg to stand on in trying to defend a record that is terrible and an ideology that is radical,” but he left many doubts about his own viability up in the air.

Gingrich is the current favorite in Iowa and several other states slated at the beginning of the Republican primary season calendar. As opposed to other Republican hopefuls who topped the polls in previous months, Gingrich has maintained his position for several weeks and has demonstrated himself to be a tough competitor against the man who has always been the candidate: former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.

But, the Republican field remains very open and in the midst of the current uncertainty, anything could happen, including a victory in Iowa for the latest personality on the rise, Congressman Ron Paul, a libertarian conservative who greatly arouses Tea Party sympathies for his radical combat against the State, and like in Occupy Wall Street, for his opposition to any war and his criticism of financial elites.

However, at this time, Gingrich is the man to beat. He unites the most conservative votes, those suspicious of Romney’s supposed centrism and he possesses the experience and intellectual capacity to come out of the debates unscathed and respond brilliantly in interviews.

This experience and intellectual resources are, at the same time, the motivation behind the doubts about his presidential candidacy. During the mid-'90s, Gingrich became the most powerful man in Washington thanks to his conservative revolution that ended in giving the Republicans control of Congress.

Not long after, however, this power came back to hurt him. His work as speaker was chaotic and provoked a mountain of enemies among his own ranks. They organized what was then known as a coup d’état within the party. Among those promoters was a young Ohio representative, John Boehner, who now occupies the role that Gingrich possessed at that time.

Gingrich’s final die was cast upon making up his mind to reveal that, while participating vehemently in the accusations against President Bill Clinton during the Lewinsky matter, he himself was carrying on an extramarital relationship with a young member of his team of aides named Callista, who today is his third wife. Callista exercises a great influence over his campaign and personality, such that she convinced him to convert to Catholicism.

But this episode is not the worst of his history. There are others that worry many Republicans, such as his doings of having received several million dollars by consulting for Freddy Mac, the firm that is at the origin of the real estate bubble that caused the 2008 crisis, or the opening of a half-million dollar account in his name at the jeweler Tiffany’s¸ apparently for payment of favors.

In this campaign, Gingrich has made suggestions as polemical as eliminating the prohibition of child labor and has incurred numerous contradictions with proposals defended in the past.


Su controvertido pasado empaña su carrera por la presidencia

¿Es Newt Gingrich un candidato capaz de batir a Barack Obama? Esta es la pregunta más frecuente en Washington desde que el antiguo presidente de la Cámara de Representantes se ha convertido en el principal aspirante a la candidatura presidencial republicana. El establishment conservador teme que la designación de Gingrich, un personaje temperamental y anárquico con un controvertido pasado, sería entregarle en bandeja la reelección al actual presidente.

Por esa razón, Gingrich fue el objetivo principal de los ataques de sus compañeros y rivales en el debate electoral de este jueves, el último previsto antes de los caucus de Iowa, el próximo 3 de enero. Gingrich aseguró que está perfectamente capacitado para derrotar a Obama, entre otras razones porque “la gestión y la ideología radical de Obama son indefendibles”, pero dejó en el aire muchas dudas sobre su viabilidad.

Gingrich es actualmente el favorito en Iowa y en varios de los Estados situados al comienzo del calendario de la temporada de primarias. A diferencia de otros aspirantes republicanos que estuvieron al frente de las encuestas en meses pasados, Gingrich se ha sostenido en esa posición durante varias semanas ya y ha demostrado ser un duro competidor contra el hombre al que siempre se ha tenido como el seguro candidato, el exgobernador de Massachusetts Mitt Romney.

Pero el campo republicano está todavía muy abierto y, en medio del desconcierto actual, cualquier cosa puede ocurrir, incluso que la victoria en Iowa sea para el último personaje en ascenso, el congresista Ron Paul, un conservador libertario que despierta tantas simpatías en el Tea Party, por su combate radical al Estado, como en Ocupa Wall Street, por su oposición a cualquier guerra y sus críticas a la élite financiera.

Gingrich es, sin embargo, en este momento el hombre a batir. Reúne los votos más conservadores, que sospechan del supuesto centrismo de Romney, y posee experiencia y capacidad intelectual para salir airosamente de los debates y responder con brillantez en las entrevistas.

Esa experiencia y esos recursos intelectuales son, al mismo tiempo, el motivo de las dudas sobre su candidatura presidencial. A mediados de los años noventa, Gingrich se convirtió en el hombre más poderoso de Washington gracias a su revolución conservadora, que acabó dándole a los republicanos el control del Congreso.

Poco después, sin embargo, ese poder se volvió en su contra. Su labor como presidente de la Cámara de Representantes fue caótica y provocó un montón de enemigos entre sus propias filas. Tantos, que se organizó lo que entonces se conoció como un golpe de Estado dentro del partido. Entre los promotores de ese golpe estaba un joven representante de Ohio, John Boehner, que hoy ocupa el cargo que Gingrich poseía en aquel momento.

La suerte final de Gingrich acabó por decidirse al descubrirse que, mientras participaba con vehemencia en las acusaciones contra el presidente Bill Clinton por el caso Lewinsky, él mismo mantenía una relación extramatrimonial con una joven integrante de su equipo de colaboradores llamada Callista, que hoy es su tercera esposa. Callista ejerce una gran influencia sobre la campaña y la personalidad de Gingrich, al que convenció para convertirse al catolicismo.

Pero ese episodio no es el peor de su historial. Hay otros que preocupan más a los republicanos, como el hecho de haber recibido varios millones de dólares por el asesoramiento prestado a Freddy Mac, la firma que está en el origen de la burbuja inmobiliaria que dio lugar a la crisis de 2008, o a la apertura a su nombre de una cuenta de medio millón de dólares —aparente pago de favores— en la joyería Tiffany's.

En esta campaña, Gingrich ha hecho sugerencias tan polémicas como la de eliminar la prohibición del trabajo infantil y ha incurrido en numerosas contradicciones con propuestas defendidas en el pasado.
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