An Administrative Defeat

Published in Publico
(Portugal) on 02 March 2012
by Rita Siza (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Dorwart. Edited by Hodna Nuernberg.
Rick Santorum’s defeat in the Michigan primary would have been a tie according to the delegate-allocation rules of the state’s congressional electoral districts. Instead, his defeat ended up materializing in an office when — at the last minute — the Michigan Republican Party decided on an alteration that awarded more delegates to Mitt Romney, the winner. Naturally, the former Pennsylvania senator’s campaign is complaining that they cannot change the rules and alter the results after the elections have already taken place. Santorum claims (and let’s say it is) a moral tie.

The reality is that the Santorum campaign needs to act quickly if it does not want to watch the advantage it had just one week ago fade away. With less money and less organization than his main adversary, Santorum had a trump card to play against the favorite, Romney: a message. For some time, the ex-senator’s campaign was saying exactly what the conservative base wanted to hear. That is, until he deviated from the script with his extreme positions on religion, contraception and the importance of higher education, which cost him the support of women and the undecided. After that, he was “bathed” in the reality of Romney, who was ruthless about taking advantage of his rival’s ravings and who managed to redirect attention back to economic questions.

If it is true that the former Massachusetts governor has not yet impressed America’s public opinion, he has already written a new chapter in the narrative of the nomination race with his victories this week, soaring — once again — to the top of the national polls. Ten states will vote next week in an anxious Super Tuesday that may well be the coup de grace for Newt Gingrich’s campaign (or not), and which could confirm (or disprove) Rick Santorum’s fatuous fire while bringing Romney closer (more or less doubtfully) to the nomination. Because if there is one thing that stands out about his campaign so far, it is his ability to stave off the competition.






Derrota administrativa
A der­rota de Rick San­to­rum na primária do Michi­gan, que afi­nal tinha sido um empate por causa das regras de dis­tribuição dos del­e­ga­dos de acordo com os cír­cu­los eleitorais para o Con­gresso, acabou por concretizar-se na sec­re­taria, com a hier­ar­quia do Par­tido Repub­li­cano estad­ual a decidir uma alter­ação de última hora para atribuir mais del­e­ga­dos ao vence­dor Mitt Rom­ney. Nat­u­ral­mente, a can­di­datura do ex-senador da Pen­sil­vâ­nia está a queixar-se que não se podem mudar as regras e alterar os resul­ta­dos depois do fim do jogo. San­to­rum reclama (chamemos-lhe assim) um empate moral.

A real­i­dade é que a cam­panha de San­to­rum pre­cisa de fazer alguma coisa, rápido, se não quer ver esfumar-se a van­tagem que tinha há ape­nas uma sem­ana. Com menos din­heiro e menos orga­ni­za­ção do que o seu prin­ci­pal adver­sário, San­to­rum tinha um trunfo para jogar con­tra o favorito Rom­ney — a men­sagem. Durante algum tempo, o ex-senador disse em cam­panha exac­ta­mente o que as bases con­ser­vado­ras que­riam ouvir. Até que se desviou do guião, com posições extremas sobre religião, con­tra­cepção ou a fre­quên­cia da uni­ver­si­dade que lhe cus­taram o apoio das mul­heres e dos inde­cisos. E depois levou um “banho” de real­i­dade de Rom­ney, que foi implacável no aproveita­mento dos desvar­ios do seu rival, recon­duzindo a atenção para as questões económicas.

E se é ver­dade que o antigo gov­er­nador do Mass­a­chu­setts ainda não impres­siona a opinião pub­li­cada na América, com as suas vitórias da sem­ana já abriu um novo capí­tulo na história da cor­rida à nomeação, cav­al­gando nova­mente para o topo das sonda­gens a nível nacional. Dez esta­dos amer­i­canos votam na próx­ima sem­ana, na ansi­ada Super Tues­day, que pode ser o golpe de mis­er­icór­dia na cam­panha de Newt Gin­grich (ou não), con­fir­mar (ou des­men­tir) o fogo fátuo de Rick San­to­rum, e aprox­i­mar (com mais ou menos dúvi­das) Rom­ney da nomeação. Porque se houve alguma coisa em que a sua cam­panha se desta­cou até agora, foi em afas­tar a con­cor­rên­cia.


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