Countermeasures for Global Warming Need Bold Concessions from the US and China

Published in Nikkei
(Japan) on 26 November 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ethan Ferraro. Edited by .

Edited by Jane Lee

The 18th session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change will be held on Nov. 26 in Doha, Qatar. All of the countries of the world will participate and engage in the lowering of greenhouse gas emissions, and international discussions aiming to implement a new system of cooperation will start.

This meeting takes place immediately following the re-election of President Obama in the United States and a new leadership taking over in China. As the two major producers of greenhouse gases, they should be making bold concessions in order to build a practical system for stopping global warming.

The making of this system was supposed to have started after the 15th session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change that was held in Copenhagen, Denmark in 2009. However, questions over whether countries such as China and India, which have rapidly increased carbon dioxide emissions, should be obligated to participate in this reduction resulted in it ending with intense disagreements between advanced and emerging nations.

The full-fledged negotiations that are set to begin at the end of the year are going forward under the premise of putting this new system into place by 2020, and so they are aiming for the new system’s framework to be agreed upon by 2015. However, the fact that these countries are still trying to push the obligations of stopping global warming onto each other has not fundamentally changed, and future prospects look grave.

Nevertheless, products and technologies that place smaller burdens on the environment such as natural energy sources and environmentally friendly automobiles are steadily spreading, and green industries are showing growth globally. In the United States, natural gas taken from shale is substituting for oil in the production of electricity and is producing new circumstances that are affecting their attitude in negotiations. These countries must have more constructive discussions.

Japan is in the position where lowering their greenhouse gas emissions a significant amount is difficult due to the experience of suffering through a large earthquake and nuclear accident.

The problem is the lack of policies from the government. The former Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama stated, “We will reduce emissions by 25 percent of the 1990 level by 2020.” This statement has been changed somewhat to conform to reality, but energy policy has not been decided. And even now, no debates on new objectives have started. Moreover, the draft for the fundamental laws for global warming countermeasures was rejected during an extraordinary session of the Diet, and so new laws have lost their legal backing.

It is necessary for new targets for long-term energy policy and reduction of greenhouse gases, which have become divided issues, to be quickly decided upon, and necessary measures must be taken domestically. International commitments with no serious intention of being put into practice will lead to international negotiations that do not go the way we need them to go.

This summer, the loss of ice throughout all areas of Greenland in the Arctic Circle was confirmed. Climate-related disasters such as the enormous storms that have assaulted North America are increasing in frequency. Even while international negotiations are at a standstill, global warming is steadily advancing.


 国連気候変動枠組み条約の第18回締約国会議(COP18)が26日にカタールのドーハで開幕する。世界のすべての国が参加し温暖化ガス排出削減に取り組む、新たな協力体制の実現を目指す国際交渉がスタートする。

 米国でオバマ大統領が再選され中国で新指導部が発足した直後の会議である。温暖化ガスの二大排出国である米中には、温暖化を止める実効性のある体制づくりに向け大胆な歩み寄りを求めたい。

 新体制づくりの交渉は2009年にデンマーク・コペンハーゲンで開いた第15回締約国会議(COP15)から始まるはずだった。しかし二酸化炭素(CO2)排出が急増する中国やインドなどが削減義務を負うべきかどうかをめぐり、先進国と新興国の対立が激しく物別れに終わった。

 3年遅れで始まる本格的な交渉は、20年からの実行を前提に、15年までに新体制の枠組みで合意することを目指す。しかし温暖化抑止の責務を互いに押しつけ合う図式は基本的に変わっておらず、前途は厳しい。

 ただ、自然エネルギーやエコカーなど環境負荷が小さい技術や製品が着実に普及しグリーン産業が世界的に成長している。米国では国産の天然ガス(シェールガス)による発電が石炭火力を代替し、CO2削減に貢献する兆しがみえるなど交渉態度に影響を与える新たな状況も生じている。関係国には建設的な議論を期待したい。

 大震災と原発事故を経験した日本は短期的には温暖化ガスを大きく減らすことが困難な状況だ。

 問題は政府の無策である。鳩山由紀夫元首相が3年前に示した「20年に90年比で25%削減」という目標は現実に即して見直す方針だが、エネルギー政策の腰が据わらず、新目標の議論さえできていない。さらに温暖化対策基本法案が臨時国会で廃案となり、新たな政策の法的な裏付けも失った。

 長期のエネルギー政策と表裏一体になった温暖化ガス削減の新目標を早く決め、必要な対策を講じられる国内体制をきちんと築く必要がある。真剣に実行する気もない国際公約だけでは、国際交渉もままならないだろう。

 今夏に北極圏のグリーンランドのほぼ全域で氷の融解の進行が確認された。米国を襲った巨大暴風雨など気象災害も頻発している。国際交渉が足踏みするうちにも温暖化は着実に進んでいる。
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