The US Must Not Be Given Free Rein on North Korea

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 25 April 2013
by Ding Gang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Mary Young.
The deteriorating North Korean nuclear quagmire is a clear indication that the U.S. is still orchestrating developments in the security environment of Northeast Asia. The U.S. seizing control over the North Korean issue has subsequently made China and other parts of the region subject to its whims.

A long-standing theory posits that events on the Korean Peninsula to this point have been guided solely by the hand of the U.S. This is true; however, the subtext is that problems must be traced to their source before they can be solved, and the U.S. must make concessions before tensions on the peninsula can be alleviated. Superficially, such a statement is merely a criticism of U.S. hegemony, but in reality, it puts the onus of resolving the issue entirely on the U.S.

And if the U.S. holds the reins on resolving this issue, the greater implication is that the security of Northeast Asia is reliant upon U.S. strategy. As long as the U.S. is unwilling to make concessions, North Korea will remain in a deadlock with the U.S., and while those two countries remain at an impasse, Japan and South Korea have no choice but to rely on the U.S. The North uses its hard-line stance toward the U.S. to manufacture tension and paralyze other nations, while at the same time putting itself in a better position in terms of regional security. Meanwhile, the U.S. uses its equally hard-line stance on the North to consolidate its military presence and standing as a leader in the region. To a certain extent Pyongyang has the ability to de-escalate the situation, but the power really lies in Washington’s hands.

That is perhaps the reason why the U.S. is in no hurry to improve relations with the North. When Washington feels that it should ease tensions, it issues a few placating statements; however, when it feels that a hard-line approach is preferable, it does so with complete abandon. Even if it gets to the point where Washington wishes to improve relations with the North, the U.S. is still able to devise stratagems that will preserve its command over strategy in the region.

In sum, challenges from the North have resulted in more frequent requests for U.S. military aid from its Asian allies and cemented the position of the U.S. as a leader. The longer the North locks horns with the U.S., the more reason the U.S. has to strengthen its military presence in East Asia and the Pacific. The standoff has even encouraged a few countries that have less of a stake in events on the peninsula to use U.S. strength to maintain their desired equilibrium.

Washington's Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy is primarily comprised of three parts: rallying support, setting rules and establishing frameworks. It originally incorporated a key point — that of expending less effort to control China while shifting more of the U.S.' burdens onto its allies. The optimal means of achieving this end is obviously to manufacture tension rather than take up arms itself in direct confrontation. Events on the peninsula and other prominent issues have provided the U.S. with sufficient space and pretext to implement its strategy.

Indeed, these events are solely the product of U.S. action; however, let us shift gears for a moment and consider paths toward de-nuclearization of the peninsula. For example, we could bring the U.S. and the North closer to the negotiating table of six-party talks rather than allowing the U.S. and the North to run rampant. We will most likely be unwilling to shoulder the considerable burden of the peninsula's problems; however, as this concerns the security of a region on China's doorstep, we do temporarily bear this burden from time to time. And the best means to rid ourselves of this burden is through the application of our own strength. Regardless of what steps are taken next on the Korean Peninsula, until we free ourselves from the path that the U.S. has chosen, we will remain under the yoke of U.S. leadership.

The author is a senior editor for People's Daily.


  朝核问题的困境表明,美国仍在主导着东北亚地区的安全格局。美国套牢了朝鲜,也就套牢了中国和其他各方。

  长期以来,有一种说法认为,半岛局势走到今天是美国一手造成。这话没错。但其言外之意却是“解铃还需系铃人”,半岛局势要缓和,美国必须先让步。表面看,这是对美国霸权的指责,可实际上,这就把解决问题的责任与出路全都推给了美国。

  半岛问题的“解决权”如果完全掌握在美国手里,那就意味着东北亚的安全要依照美国的战略安排来走。美国不让步,朝鲜就一定要和美国死磕;朝鲜死磕美国,日韩就不得不依赖美国。朝鲜用对美国的强硬制造了紧张,拴住了各方,也提升了自己在地区安全格局中的地位。美国则用对朝鲜的强硬巩固了自己在这一地区的军事存在和主导地位。半岛局势缓和的主动权掌握在平壤手里,更掌握在华盛顿手里。

  这也许就是美国一点也不急着与朝鲜改善关系的原因所在。华盛顿觉得该缓和的时候,会说几句软话的;但它要是觉得该强硬了,就一定会置之不理。即使是到了华盛顿认为需要改善对朝关系的时候,它仍然可以通过可控的手段进行调节,以达到继续在战略上主导这一地区的目的。

  总之,朝鲜的较劲,巩固了盟国对美国的军事需求,巩固了美国在亚洲的主导地位。朝鲜越是与美国较劲,美国就越是有理由在东亚、在亚太加强军事存在。甚至也鼓励了一些与半岛局势不沾边的国家,来借美国的力量维持他们所看重的平衡。

  华盛顿的亚太再平衡战略,大体上是三个部分构成——举旗帜、立规则、建框架。它原本就包含一个重要考虑,即以更小的投入实现对中国的规制,将自己原来不得不承担的负担部分地转移给盟国。要达到这一目的,最好的办法当然是运用谋略,制造紧张,而不是自己冲锋上阵,真刀真枪地干上几场。半岛局势,以及其他一些热点问题,给了美国足够的空间和条件来实施这样的战略。

  半岛今天的局势的确是美国一手造成。但是,我们能不能换一个思路来考虑一下半岛无核化的路径呢?比如,让美朝按照我们的调度向六方会谈的谈判桌靠近,而不是任凭美朝两方在半岛问题上按照自己的意愿折腾。我们可能不愿背上半岛问题这个大包袱,但是,这是中国家门口的安全,有的时候我们恐怕还真得暂时背一下这个包袱。而最终摆脱这个包袱的最佳方式,只能是靠我们自己的力量运用。无论半岛局势下一步怎么走,我们不跳出依赖美国的路径,就仍然会受制于美国的主导。▲(作者是人民日报高级记者)
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