Free Trade Negotiations between Europe and America Are Oriented toward Reshaping the West

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 22 June 2013
by Wang Yiwei (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jingman Xiao. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Recently, the EU Commissioner for Trade announced that it grants the European Commission the right to launch negotiations for a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) with America. The EU claimed that the aim of the negotiations is to increase bilateral trade and investment through market admission, regulation and coordination, and to build a global standard to promote employment and economic growth.

In the beginning, the public thought that it would be hard to reach agreement with the U.S. with no additional articles, as France was pulling the EU behind. The newly announced authorization does not include negotiations with the film and music industry, but the European Commission reserves the right to increase authorization and to come up with suggestions. This indirectly indicates that the TTIP is not merely an economic matter — it is a strategy. The European and U.S. economies are heavily interdependent and have a small gap between each other in terms of development. Thus, the TTIP was reached prior to the Trans-Pacific Partnership and generates strategic spillover effects. China's attention should not be directed at America's return to the Asia-Pacific region and the TPP. Evaluating the TTIP's prospects and strategic influence is urgent.

The biggest strategic effect of TTIP is to reshape the West. Such trade talks between Europe and America might establish the most important trade zone area and would revive the transatlantic relations. Apart from TTIP, the EU is also opening up a full range of economic and trade negotiations with Canada. Europe and America take up nearly 50 percent of the world's gross domestic product, a third of total global trade. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also said that America was not going to shift its focus from Europe to Asia. After all, not only is the free trade agreement between the two confined to trade, it will also create an internal market with profound political influences. A series of talks will be devoted to eliminating trade barriers in the bureaucracies in both markets to promote simultaneous development in Europe and America.

During the Cold War period, it was America that chased after the EU, trying to establish a transatlantic free trade zone. Now, it is the other way around. What signals does it send?

First, the EU feels deeply unsafe in global competition, with the existence of a “tiger” (America) and a “wolf” (rising countries). Choosing to ally with the tiger will help the EU maintain existing interests. Politicians in particular count on the TTIP in order to gain political capital and thus rule the world by flaunting its powerful connections. The EU is estimated to gain $156 billion every year from this, $708 per family on average, which turns out to be the best economic stimulus plan for now. Besides economic benefits, the agreement also has relevance to the European Union's position in the world. Europe and America have common values and belief in open trade, and thus it will shape their future.

Second, America is harvesting strategic gains from the global finical crises and the European debt crisis. Among the three carriages that pull the economy forward — investment, consumption and exports — the EU can only reply on exports, which is why it has been trying very hard to support the agreement, especially the TTIP, which is seen as the magic weapon that helps it escape economic and strategic dilemmas. The EU is too sick to look carefully for help, which necessarily corresponds with America's “return to Asia” strategy.

Third, globalized rules are reset to raise the cost for China to get involved. Globalized rules resetting has seen three trends: The free trade agreement strategically makes the World Trade Organization a mere figurehead: It is not only confined to trade but ties itself up with investment; regionalization is developing in its entirety. The TTIP gives consideration to all three aspects. Apart from reducing and eliminating tariffs, the TTIP negotiations will emphasize solving three problems: market entry and supervising regulation, non-tariff barrier and market regulation. If reached, the TTIP will be the new basis of international trade and investment regulation. This will further affect the formulation of globalized regulations and significantly raise the cost for China to take part in globalization.


 近日,欧盟贸易部长理事会宣布授权欧委会启动与美国“跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴关系协定”(TTIP)谈判。欧盟称其谈判目标是增加欧美双向贸易和投资,通过市场准入、规制协调、树立全球标准等三种方式,促进就业和经济增长。

  原来外界认为与美国达成全面协定,不能有例外条款,而且因为法国拖欧盟后腿,TTIP可能难产。刚宣布的授权不包括影音产业的谈判,但欧委会保留今后可以就增加授权提出建议的权利。这从一个侧面表明,TTIP不只是经济问题,而是一项战略举措。欧美经济相互依存度大,且发展差距小,故而TTIP将先于TPP达成协议,产生战略溢出效应。中国的眼光,不应只盯着美国“重返亚太”而关注TPP。评估TTIP的前景与战略影响,刻不容缓。

  TTIP的最大战略效应是重塑西方。欧美此类自贸谈判或将创建世界上最重要的自贸区,并可能重振自冷战结束以来跨大西洋关系。除TTIP外,欧盟还与加拿大进行全面经济和贸易协定谈判。欧美约占世界GDP的一半,世界贸易额的1/3,美国前国务卿希拉里也表示,美国并不准备把重点从欧洲转向亚洲,而是联合欧洲面向亚洲。总之,欧美自贸协定不仅是贸易协定,同时也是在创造一个具有深远政治影响的内部市场,谈判将致力于消除两大市场在行政领域的贸易障碍,促进欧美共同发展。

  冷战时期,是美国追着欧盟要搞跨大西洋自由贸易区。如今,则是欧盟追着美国搞包含贸易与投资的TTIP。这中间释放了怎样的信号呢?

  其一,欧盟在国际竞争中深感前有虎(美国)后有狼(新兴国家)。选择与虎结盟可以维系既得利益。政客们更是指望借TTIP捞取政治资本,希望再次狐假虎威领导世界。欧盟预计每年将从中获益1200亿欧元,平均每个家庭获益545欧元,这是目前最实惠的经济刺激方案。除经济利益外,协定也关系欧盟在全球的地位,欧美拥有共同价值观和开放贸易信念,协定将塑造欧美的共同未来。

  其二,美国在收获全球金融危机、欧债危机战略果实。在投资、消费和出口三驾拉动经济增长的马车中,欧盟只能寄希望于出口,因此铆足了劲把自贸协定,尤其是TTIP当做走出经济与战略困境的法宝。欧盟病急乱投医,客观上策应了美国“重返亚太”战略。

  其三,全球化规则重置,提升中国融入成本。全球化规则制定出现三个趋向:一是自贸协定战略化,架空WTO;二是自贸协定并非单纯局限在贸易领域,而是与投资捆绑;三是地区一体化向全面综合方向发展。TTIP可谓三者兼顾。除减免关税外,TTIP谈判将重点致力于解决市场准入和监管法规、非关税壁垒以及市场规则等三个关键性问题。如果达成,TTIP就将成为新的国际贸易、投资规则的基础,进而影响整个全球化规则制订,这将大大提升中国参与全球化的成本。
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