US Leadership: A Hand from the Shadows, a Knife in the Dark

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 10 July 2014
by Bao Shenggang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Emily France.
The question for the U.S. is not whether or not it is capable of leading the world, but rather by what manner it should lead the world. Former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice used the phrase "leading from behind" to describe President Obama's foreign policy, a policy that amounts to manipulating events from behind the scenes while taking a back seat, in what is essentially an off-shore balancing act.

What appears to be the maintenance of a peaceful state of affairs through preserving balance between every state on the Eurasian continent has in fact been achieved through driving nations to vie against and contain each other, precluding the possibility of a competitor to the U.S. emerging in Eurasia, and thus ensuring for the U.S. the security of its homeland and its ability to lead.

There are, generally speaking, two ways in which to lead the world. One is to make oneself strong, then lead others to develop in tandem; the other is to undermine other countries and push them into decline, thus retaining dominance. The former, leading the community toward collective development, is leading from the front, whereas pulling on puppet strings, in practice, means performing one's misdeeds from the shadows.

The U.S. has been the forerunner in the past, but is now falling ever further toward the rear of the pack. It has increasingly taken to building its own security upon a foundation of strife between other countries, with the natural result being constant upheaval and bloodshed in those regions. By doing so, the U.S. is not only adding to the world's troubles, but also to its own.

The goals of U.S. global strategy are to safeguard its interests and its seat at the apex of the world, and to accomplish this, the U.S. must control Europe and Asia. The best means to do this has been to spread divisiveness throughout Europe, Asia and the Middle East and let regional players keep each other in check. This thereby prevents any move toward unification, as well as the rise of another state that could lead in any of those regions. If unsuccessful, the U.S. is likely to be edged out of Europe and Asia and back to the Americas.

At present, after sowing chaos in the Middle East and Europe, a prosperous Asia and rising China have become the next strategic targets for the U.S. The ultimate objective of the U.S. "return to" and "re-balance of" Asian strategies, therefore, is to contain China's rise and maintain leadership in Asia. To this point, U.S. policy consists of nothing more than promoting the "China threat theory" to raise anxiety and alarm about China's rise among Asian countries. This has become particularly evident as China lifts restrictions on Japan regarding collective defense, which has stirred up disputes between China and its neighbors and internationalized the region's historical grudges that have been passed down from previous generations. One could say the move brings down a veritable flock of birds with one stone.

The intentions of the U.S. are quite clear: First, to extract itself from its own difficulties; second, to decrease its financial stake and investments in Asia and in fact profit from the conflict by selling weapons to Japan and other countries; and third, to launch a full-on smear campaign against China. If China responds in kind, the U.S. will criticize China for throwing its weight around against smaller nations and use this as proof of China's hegemonic aspirations, thereby throwing a proverbial wrench into the gears powering China's peaceful rise.

As soon as the veil is lifted from this offshore balancing act, it cannot be played on any further. But the problem is that, to do this, the world requires a stabilizing anchor, a burdensome role, which only the U.S. is currently capable of bearing. Some 30 years ago, renowned French political theorist and historian Raymond Aron left the U.S. a word of advice: "In the 20th century the strength of a great power is diminished if it ceases to serve an idea." Clearly, however, the U.S. has paid little heed.

The author is a Chinese scholar currently residing in Canada.


美国的问题不是能否领导世界,而是应该如何领导世界?美国前国务卿赖斯用“leading from behind” 来形象地概括奥巴马的外交政策,直译就是“从后面领导世界”,即幕后操作,自己退居二线,实质是离岸平衡术。表面上保持欧亚大陆上各国力量的平衡,维持和平局面,实际上就是让各种力量相互争斗,相互牵制,避免在欧亚大陆出现美国的竞争者,以此确保美国的本土安全与对世界的领导力。

  领导世界一般有两种方法,一种是使自己强大,然后带领大家一起发展;一种是使别国动荡与衰退,自己由此维持强大。前者是在前台领导,即引领大家一起发展;幕后操作实际上就是在别人背后使坏。美国曾经是前者,但是现在美国越来越趋于后者。美国越来越倾向于把自身的安全建立在别国相互争斗的基础上,结果自然是地区的不断动荡与战乱,由此美国不仅是世界麻烦的制造者,事实上也成为自己麻烦的制造者。

  美国全球战略目标是维护其全球第一的地位和利益,而要做到此,美国必须控制欧亚大陆。最好的方法就是让欧洲、亚洲和中东地区处于分裂,内部力量相互牵制,防止它们的一体化,以及在欧洲、亚洲和中东崛起主导性国家。否则美国将可能被挤出欧亚大陆,被迫回到美洲。

  眼下在搞乱了中东、欧洲之后,繁荣的亚洲和崛起的中国就成了美国的下一个战略目标。美国重返亚太,推行亚太再平衡战略,目的就是要遏制中国的崛起,维护美国在亚太的主导地位。对此美国的策略无非是鼓吹“中国威胁论”,引起亚洲国家对中国崛起的警惕和忧虑,特别是放出日本,挑起中国与周边国家的矛盾,将区域性及历史遗留问题国际化,此举可谓一石多鸟。美国的用意很清楚,一可使自己从困境中脱身,二减少投入,相反卖武器给日本和亚洲其他国家,还可发战争财,三可以肆无忌惮地指责中国,如果中国反制,就指责中国欺负小国,证明中国国强必霸的野心,并达到打乱中国和平崛起的进程。

  离岸平衡术一旦被识破,也就玩不下去了。可问题是世界需要一个稳定者,而目前只有美国可以承担。30年前法国著名政治学家和历史学家雷蒙·阿隆曾给美国的忠告:“进入20世纪,如果一个大国停止为一个理念服务,其力量势必受到削弱。”但是,显然美国没有引以为戒。▲(作者是旅居加拿大华人学者)
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