Imminent Confrontation

Published in La Jornada
(Mexico) on 17 November 2014
by Arturo Balderas Rodriguez (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Henry Luis Rentas. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
It appears that President Barack Obama will actually take the necessary steps to amend, as far as the Constitution allows him, obsolete immigration law. A few days ago, he warned the Republican majority in Congress that if it did not fulfill its obligation to legislate on the dysfunctional immigration system and approve a reform that, in essence, contains the necessary elements to give immigration status to millions of undocumented workers, he would do it through executive order.

For months, the Republican majority in the House of Representatives has systematically refused to discuss the reform that the Senate approved and sent to the House for consideration. Only once did the entire House discuss proposed reform, and then, without further action, it was undone. At the same time during that period, healthcare reform was discussed on more than 50 occasions, with the ultimate result of imposing limits on the extent of reform.

The president waited for the recent elections to take place before making his decision, in response to a number of candidates who pressured him to postpone the move in fear of losing the Nov. 4 midterm elections. The elections now past, the president has determined that the moment is here for him to act and fulfill his obligation to correct those provisions that primarily affect immigrant families, and open the door to five million undocumented workers seeking residency. Some 3.5 million of these workers are parents who would avoid separation from their children; children who have U.S. citizenship and for whom separation has ruined many of their families.

As expected, the Republican leaders responded that Obama would “burn himself” if he proceeded in this manner. Emboldened after their election victory, Republicans have stated they will do everything possible to stop the president from achieving his purpose. Some have even threatened to shut down the government and impeach the president.

Willingly or not, Obama’s actions will win support for the Democrats of those who have fought so their parents, siblings and friends can be granted immigration status. Since Obama’s executive order can only be reversed by the next president, Obama will secure millions of votes that will benefit the Democratic presidential candidate in 2016.

This and other sources of discord between the two governing political forces will create political tension in the United States. Approving the budget, the Republicans’ insistence on reversing healthcare reform and the move to send additional troops to the Middle East will all be subject to confrontation. The outcome could cause a breakdown in the conduct of the country’s leaders, the consequences of which are difficult to guess, but which may further polarize American society. One way or another, this may affect relations with Mexico.


Parece que el presidente Barack Obama en serio dará los pasos necesarios para enmendar, hasta donde la Constitución se lo permita, la obsoleta ley migratoria. Hace unos días advirtió a la mayoría republicana en el Congreso que, de no cumplir con su obligación de legislar sobre el disfuncional sistema migratorio y aprobar una reforma que en esencia contenga los elementos necesarios para dar un estatus migratorio a millones de indocumentados, él lo hará mediante una orden ejecutiva.

Durante meses la mayoría republicana en la Cámara de Representantes se ha negado sistemáticamente a discutir la reforma que el Senado aprobó y envió a su consideración. Solamente en una ocasión el pleno de los representantes la discutió, y sin mayor trámite la desechó. En cambio, en ese mismo periodo la reforma al sistema de salud se ha discutido en más de 50 ocasiones, con el fin exclusivo de hacerle enmiendas para acotar sus alcances.

El presidente esperó a que se efectuaran las recientes elecciones para tomar la decisión, debido a la presión que varios candidatos de su partido ejercieron para que la pospusiera. Consideraron que estaban en peligro de perder los comicios, de llevarla a cabo previo al 4 de noviembre. Pasadas las elecciones, el mandatario ha anunciado que llegó el momento de actuar y cumplir con su obligación de corregir aquellas disposiciones que afectan principalmente a las familias. Esta medida abriría la puerta para que 5 millones de indocumentados pudieran obtener la residencia. Tres millones y medio son padres, cuyos hijos tienen la nacionalidad estadunidense, evitando la separación de padres e hijos, lo cual ha causado zozobra en miles de familias.

Como era de esperarse, los líderes republicanos le respondieron que "se quemaría" si procedía de esa manera. Envalentonados después de su triunfo electoral, harán todo lo posible para frenar al presidente en su propósito. Incluso, algunos amenazan con paralizar el gobierno y someter al mandatario a juicio político.

Queriéndolo o no, Obama ganará para los demócratas el apoyo de quienes han luchado para que se otorgue un estatus migratorio a sus padres, hermanos y amigos. Debido a que su orden ejecutiva solamente puede ser revertida por el próximo presidente, asegurará millones de votos, cuyo beneficiario será el candidato a la presidencia de su partido en 2016.

La vida política en Estados Unidos se tensará con este y otros motivos de discordia entre las dos fuerzas políticas que gobiernan. La aprobación del presupuesto, la insistencia de los republicanos para revertir la reforma al sistema de salud y la de enviar nuevamente tropas a Medio Oriente serán objeto de enfrentamientos. Su desenlace pudiera ocasionar un rompimiento en los responsables de la conducción del país, cuyas consecuencias son difíciles de adivinar, pero que polarizarán aún más a la sociedad estadunidense, y de una u otra forma podrían afectar las relaciones con nuestro país.
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