Let’s Finish the TPP Negotiations Quickly, and Help Evolve Global Trade

Published in Nikkei Press
(Japan) on 16 January 2015
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Thomas S. Evans. Edited by Nicholas Eckart.
The economy is a living thing. Technology and transportation, business models, the tides of consumption are always in a state of evolution, and the forward march of globalization, transcending people, things and money will continue whether anyone likes it or not. In order to meet the realities of a changing economy, the framework of our trade must also evolve.

It’s been 20 years since the establishment of the organization that built the global system of free trade, the World Trade Organization. The role its international standards have played in the advancement of the liberalization of trade and the world economy is unfathomable.

However, recently, the terms of the WTO pacts are looking a little dated, and for international law, there are some weak points that are starting to stand out. The reality is the agreements are rife with trade policies that encourage prioritizing one’s own profit without looking back at other nations and loopholes enabling unfair business practices that can’t be regulated under the current system.

Now more than ever, it’s time to revise the rules and reconstruct our trade system. Unfortunately, negotiations in the WTO, which has 150 members comprised of states and territories, are slow-moving. For the time being, all that can be done is widen the net of free trade agreements negotiated by sympathetic nations.

Of those, the plan with the most ambitious objectives is the U.S.-Japan-centered Trans-Pacific Partnership. In supplementing areas in which the WTO agreements are weak — including intellectual property rights, investments, competition policy, government procurements, services, etc. — the TPP has the potential to act as a model for a set of trade rules befitting the 21st century. The pressure is on the U.S. and Japan to show leadership in the construction of this new order.

In light of that, one would think that the U.S. and Japan would share the same determination. It’s pathetic that they’re just getting dragged down by the same old arguments over tariffs, as always. I wish they could take a step back and look at the big picture, and start exhibiting the leadership one would expect from major economic powers. The U.S. and Japan need to conclude their talks quickly and inject a little energy into the flagging negotiations.

Japan’s trade agreement with Australia has officially come into effect. It took over seven long years of negotiations, but the Abe administration and the Australian Abbott administration boldly suppressed their domestic opposition and reached an agreement. This is an example of political leadership striking accord in trade negotiations.

On the other hand, as far as the trilateral talks between China, Japan and South Korea, scheduled to begin in Tokyo this week, are concerned, until now, there has been almost no significant progress. The large-scale economic implications of a China-Japan-South Korea trade liberalization are extremely significant, but none of the involved parties seems to be sincerely interested in reaching an agreement. One cause for the drop in tension is the lengthening of the TPP talks.

Once the TPP takes shape, other trade negotiations — including the China-South Korea-Japan talks — will probably accelerate. Whether or not we will usher in a new era of trade depends on our decisions today.


通商秩序の進化へTPPの早期決着を

2015/1/16付

 経済は生き物である。技術や輸送手段、ビジネスモデル、消費の潮流は常に進化し、ヒト、モノ、カネが国境を越えるグローバル化の流れは、好き嫌いにかかわらず止められない。変化する経済の実情に合わせて、通商秩序の枠組みも進化しなければならない。

 世界を網羅する自由貿易の制度を築いた世界貿易機関(WTO)が発足して20年がたつ。その下での国際標準のルールが、貿易自由化と世界経済の成長に果たした役割は計り知れない。

 だが、今ではWTO協定の内容は時代遅れになりつつあり、国際法としての弱点が目立つようになった。他国を顧みず自国の利益だけを優先する通商政策や、現行協定では規制できない不公正な商取引が横行している現実がある。

 今こそルールを更新し、通商秩序を再構築すべき時だ。残念ながら、世界から約150もの国や地域が参加するWTOの交渉は動きが遅い。当面は有志国が中心となって協議する自由貿易協定(FTA)の網を広げていくしかない。

 その中で最も意欲的な目標を掲げるのが、日米が軸となる環太平洋経済連携協定(TPP)の構想である。知的財産権や投資、競争政策、政府調達、サービスなど、WTO協定の弱点を補い、21世紀型の通商ルールのひな型となる可能性がある。新たな秩序づくりを主導する日米の責任は重い。

 その意志を共有するはずの日米が、昔ながらの関税をめぐる協議でもたついているのは情けない。世界経済の大局を見据えて、経済大国として指導力を発揮してほしい。日米2国間の協議を早く決着させ、漂流の気配も漂うTPP全体の交渉に弾みをつけるべきだ。

 日本とオーストラリアの2国間の貿易協定が正式発効した。7年以上を費やす難交渉だったが、安倍政権と豪アボット政権が果敢に国内の反対勢力を抑え、合意に到達できた。通商交渉は政治指導者の決断で決まるという成功例だ。

 一方、今週都内で開く日中韓3カ国の交渉は、これまで大きな進展は見られなかった。経済規模が大きい日中韓の自由化は極めて重要だが、合意への強い意志が、どの国からも感じられない。緊張感が緩んでしまった一つの要因は、TPP交渉の長期化である。

 TPPが形になれば、日中韓を含めた他の通商交渉も加速するだろう。新たな通商の歴史を開けるか、今こそが正念場である。
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