Netanyahu: Bull in a Diplomatic China Shop

Published in Die Zeit
(Germany) on 2 March 2015
by Martin Klingst (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ron Argentati. Edited by Bora Mici.
Israel's prime minister wants to score points at home, but with his planned address to the U.S. Congress, he will be stabbing everybody working toward a Middle East peace compromise in the back.

Despite all the bitter criticism from his own country and from America, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is sticking with it: He will address the U.S. Congress on Tuesday, and with his powerful and sonorous voice, he will warn the world of how dangerous it would be to sign a nuclear agreement with Iran.

With carefully chosen words, Netanyahu will tick off Tehran's numerous ties to international terrorism. He will allege there is new evidence uncovered by Israeli intelligence concerning Iran's secret nuclear weapons program. And he will say the world cannot afford to trust the duplicitous Iranian regime, and that in the end, it's not only about Israel's very existence, it's about global peace and security.

Netanyahu's objections to the Iranian nuclear program can't be dismissed as totally wrong; some of them must be taken seriously. The bottom line is that the negotiated agreement would not permanently rein in Iran's ability to build a nuclear weapon. It would do so only temporarily.

But Netanyahu's objections lose strength due to the fact that so many of his earlier warnings and prognoses missed the mark so widely, such as his support for the Iraq War, which in the end only made things worse in the Middle East. He mistakenly prophesied that it would be inconceivable and futile to hope that Western sanctions against Iran would have any long-term effect in forcing it to return to the negotiating table. He was also mistaken to think the Tehran regime would never abide by an interim agreement.

But Netanyahu's concerns will mainly fall on deaf ears because in addressing Congress, he comes off as a bull in a diplomatic china shop. He is not only alienating the Obama administration, but he is also deceiving the British, French, Russian, Chinese and Germans. Netanyahu is stabbing all those who have been working for years to find a negotiated settlement with Iran in the back.

But that's not important to the Israeli prime minister. The aim of his mission in America is directed squarely at his own people. In two weeks, he faces re-election, and with or without accomplishments to put on display, he at least wants to come off as the ultimate savior of the Israeli people, a macho fighter in war or peace unafraid to face down any threat. The House of Representatives in Washington, D.C. is the perfect stage upon which to act out that presentation.

And Netanyahu thinks nothing is off limits in pursuing his goal. He made a secret pact with Obama's political opponents and finagled – with the help of his Republican friends – an invitation to address Congress without letting the White House know about it. He was aided in that project by the Israeli ambassador, himself a former Republican operative.

Because Netanyahu wanted to deliver his speech from the center of world power, he brushed off all warnings of any possible negative diplomatic blowback. Even his own national security adviser wrote that the well-informed U.S. magazine, The Atlantic, advised against Netanyahu's trip.

The Israeli-U.S. rift goes deep and affects far more than just the already-tarnished relationship between Netanyahu and Obama. Obama's national security adviser, Susan Rice, correctly notes that Netanyahu's appearance would be “destructive” to U.S.-Israeli relations. Ironically, the no-nonsense Rice has always been a dedicated defender of Israel's security concerns. It was she in the government who backed increased U.S. military support to Israel, including the Iron Dome anti-missile shield, which, during the last hostilities in Gaza, successfully took out many Hamas missiles while they were still airborne.

Tensions between the two nations have always existed, but there has never been an Israeli leader who has made such vehement rants against the United States. In solidarity with their president, several senators and representatives plan to boycott Netanyahu's address, a number that has increased since Netanyahu turned down an invitation from Democrats to meet afterward with them.

Netanyahu Also Angers American Jews

The prime minister has also succeeded in alienating many American Jews who voted repeatedly for Obama when he ran. For weeks now, the liberal J-Street organization has been running full-page ads against Netanyahu's visit, and even the powerful American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) is angry and writes in the Times of Israel newspaper that there will come a day of atonement for Israel.

On the same day as Netanyahu's address to Congress, AIPAC will hold its annual meeting not far from Capitol Hill. In previous years, the U.S. secretary of state, vice president or Obama himself attended the meeting. None of them will attend this year's meeting, and it was unknown for some time whether the administration would send any representative at all. At the last minute, they decided to send Security Adviser Rice and United Nations Ambassador Samantha Power to represent the administration.

And so it goes in Israel, just as it does in America: Liberal as well as conservative commentators had warned for weeks about unknown and unintended political consequences that might arise from Netanyahu's unauthorized visit. There are already complaints that the U.S. is no longer sharing all its intelligence with Israel. Perhaps the U.S. might also rethink its UN veto strategy and no longer cast vetoes that always benefit Israel.

It may not get that bad that quickly, but the damage Israel has done to its friend and ally is immense. One thing is certain: The next Israeli prime minister will have to sweep up the shards of the American-Israeli relationship and try to glue them all back together. The new prime minister will also be forced to be more conciliatory and ready to compromise. Seen that way, perhaps, this diplomatic catastrophe could still have a positive conclusion.


Netanjahu wütet im Porzellanladen der Diplomatie
VON MARTIN KLINGST
2. März 2015

Israels Premier will in der Heimat punkten. Doch mit seiner Rede vor dem US-Kongress fällt er allen in den Rücken, die sich um einen Kompromiss mit dem Iran bemühen.

Aller erbitterten Kritik aus Amerika und seinem eigenen Land zum Trotz bleibt Israels Premierminister Benjamin Netanjahu dabei: Er wird am Dienstag vor den amerikanischen Kongress treten und mit seiner kräftigen, sonoren Stimme die Welt vor einem Atomabkommen mit dem Iran warnen.

In wohlgesetzten Worten wird Netanjahu Teherans zahlreiche Verstrickungen in den internationalen Terrorismus aufzählen. Er wird von angeblich neuen Erkenntnissen des israelischen Geheimdienstes über Irans heimliches Atombombenprogramm berichten. Und er wird sagen, dass man dem doppelzüngigen persischen Regime nicht leichtfertig trauen dürfe – und dass am Ende nicht nur die Existenz Israels auf dem Spiel stehe, sondern die Sicherheit und der Frieden auf der ganzen Welt.

Netanjahus Einwände gegen einen möglichen Deal mit dem Iran sind nicht sämtlich falsch, einige sollten durchaus ernst genommen werden. Denn nach allem, was man bislang über dieses Abkommen weiß, wird es Irans Kapazitäten, eine Atombombe zu bauen, nicht dauerhaft, sondern nur für eine gewisse Zeit eindämmen und beschränken.

Doch Netanjahus Bedenken werden verhallen. Zum einen weil er mit seinen Warnungen und Prognosen zu oft danebenlag. So unterstützte er den fatalen Irakkrieg, der im Mittleren Osten alles nur noch schlimmer machte. Fälschlicherweise hielt er es für undenkbar wie aussichtslos, dass westliche Sanktionen über eine lange Zeit halten und den Iran an den Verhandlungstisch zwingen würden. Ebenso sagte er fehlerhaft voraus, dass die Regierung in Teheran niemals das Zwischenabkommen einhalten würde.

Doch Netanjahus Bedenken werden vor allem deshalb auf taube Ohren stoßen, weil er mit seiner Rede vor dem Kongress brutal diplomatisches Porzellan zerschlägt. Damit verprellt er nicht nur die Obama-Regierung, sondern düpiert ebenso Briten und Franzosen, Russen, Chinesen und Deutsche. Er fällt allen in den Rücken, die sich seit Jahren bemühen, mit dem Iran einen Kompromiss auszuhandeln.

Doch das ist dem israelischen Premier egal. Denn mehr noch als an die Außenwelt will er sich mit seiner amerikanischen Mission an das eigene Volk daheim richten. In zwei Wochen möchte Netanjahu wiedergewählt werden und bar innen- oder außenpolitischer Erfolge will er sich den Wählern darum als letzter Garant ihrer Sicherheit präsentieren, als einer, der im kriegs- und krisengeschüttelten Mittleren Osten mannhaft sämtlichen Bedrohungen und Anfechtungen trotzt. Der Kongress in Washington ist für diese Botschaft die beste und wirkungsmächtigste Bühne.

Dafür war Netanjahu jedes Mittel recht. Heimlich schloss er einen Pakt mit Obamas politischen Gegnern in Washington und fädelte gemeinsam mit den rechten Republikanern die Visite ein – brachial am Weißen Haus vorbei. Geholfen hat ihm dabei sein Botschafter in Amerika, der einst selber bei den Republikanern tätig war.

Weil Netanjahu unbedingt im Zentrum der Weltmacht sprechen wollte, schlug er auch alle Warnungen vor einem diplomatischen Gau in den Wind. Selbst sein eigener nationaler Sicherheitsberater, schreibt das gut informierte US-Magazin The Atlantic, soll von dieser Reise abgeraten haben.
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