America and Japan Are the Ones Who Covet and Fantasize

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 29 April 2015
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Emily France.
The growth of China’s military influence is obviously less than the rapid growth of its economic influence in the global arena.

The newly revised Guidelines for U.S.-Japan Defense Cooperation was released on April 27. Not only does it reiterate that the Diaoyu Islands are part of the U.S.-Japan security alliance, it also clearly says that the two countries will strengthen maritime security in Southeast Asia. The new guidelines emphasized that the U.S.-Japan military relationship will be a “seamless” and “global” partnership. When U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry spoke at the joint press conference after the “two-plus-two” meeting, he hinted at China with his mention of those countries who covet and fantasize, and his tone was quite aggressive.

America and Japan seem to be hysterical in imagining a security challenge from China. China has only conducted some island construction within its sovereign rights in the South Sea, it has not acquired new islands under the Philippines’ and Vietnam’s control, nor did it imply any sort of conflict resolution by force. China is focused on “One Belt, One Road,” and most of its diplomatic strength is devoted to the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). China has not tried to create a military alliance based on “hidden enemies”; the growth of China’s military influence is obviously less than the rapid growth of its economic influence in the global arena.

If China publicly created a military alliance in the area that America and Japan are sensitive about, or announced a targeted military plan, then how would America and Japan feel? It’s a good idea for these two countries to think about their actions.

If the security alliance was allowed to grow unchecked, it would become a very strategically challenging variable in East Asian territorial politics. More importantly, since it is not a by-product of economic growth, it would not be diluted and eased by forces of boosting economic growth. What it represents is simply naked military ambition; other than increasing regional tension, it is hard to tell what positive things it could bring.

Sea and air traffic over the South Sea are free, but America is not welcome to boast its military might in the region; Japan’s maritime security platoon is even less welcome. If Japan only wanted to protect against China in strengthening its security alliance, then it worries too much. China would not interfere in Japan and America’s repeated military exercises on the islands, but if Japan leads the way in American provocation of China in the South Sea, then without a doubt, it will be strongly rebuked.

If Japan feels that with America’s support and indulgence, it could receive approval from the international community and be the police and guard in the South Pacific, then it is mistaken. When the U.S.-Japan alliance is about showing aggression, Japan will not be safer as a result — rather, it will sustain extra risks with its game-playing.

China needs not be alarmed over the strengthening of the U.S.-Japan alliance; this move is a purely military one and is completely against the current trend of partnership for prosperity in the region. It is quite limited in its daily efficacy. America’s use of Japan in East Asia, an unrepenting World War II criminal, really shows America’s lack of confidence in the area.

As China’s military strength naturally grows, there will be more and more American military strategic moves made around China. We need to realize that while foreign tactics will be robust during this time, as long as China is growing, the strategic initiative is with us, and the strategic period for China’s peaceful rise will not end because of these troubles.

China should have principles and be willing to fight, but it also needs to stay away from anxiety, and not be easily provoked by anger. China needs to develop some tactics toward the U.S.-Japan alliance and counteract with subtle moves; neither open confrontation nor retreating are the right solutions.


中国军事影响力的增长显然远低于自己经济影响力在全球范围的快速增长。

  新修订的《日美防卫合作指针》于美国时间27日公布,它不但重申钓鱼岛适用于美日安保条约,更明确双方将就东南亚的海上安全加强合作。新“指针”强调美日军事关系将是面向“全球”的“无缝”合作。克里在美日“2+2”会晤后的联合记者会上以“那些心存觊觎和幻想的大国”之说影射中国,口气颇具进攻性。

  美日似乎在有些歇斯底里地想象来自中国的安全挑战,而中国不过是在南海搞了一些主权范围内的岛礁建设。中国既没有为此从菲律宾、越南的控制下夺取新的岛礁,也没向任何一方做要用武力解决争端的暗示。中国最着力宣传的是“一带一路”建设,大量外交精力投向了亚投行。中国没有谋求建立针对“潜在敌人”的军事同盟,中国军事影响力的增长显然远低于自己经济影响力在全球范围的快速增长。

假如中国公开在美日敏感的方向构建军事性对外关系,或者宣布有针对性的军事计划,那么美日将有什么样的感受呢?还是请它们好好想想自己正在干些什么。

  美日更像是心存“觊觎和幻想的大国”。美日同盟如果无限制地强化,将成为东亚地缘政治极具战略挑衅的变量。重要的是,它不是经济发展的伴生物,没有促进经济繁荣的相应动力对其做冲淡和润滑。它所代表的就是赤裸裸的军事野心,它除了增加本地区的紧张,真看不出还有什么积极的东西。

南海的海上和空中通行都是自由的,但美国到南海炫耀武力不受欢迎,日本海上自卫队出现在南海更不被接受。如果日本仅仅想“防范中国”而加强美日同盟,那么劳其多虑了。中国不会干日美反复演练对付的“军事登岛”。但如果日本冒头替美国跑南海来向中国挑衅,那么它将遭到中方强有力的反制,就不是什么悬念。

  日本如果以为有美国的支持和纵容,它就是得到国际社会的许可,从此在西太平洋当起警察和宪兵,那么它就走进了误区。美日同盟加强到突出进攻性的时候,日本大概不会因此而更加安全,相反,它将因为自己“狐假虎威”玩了一些“悬的”而承担额外风险。

  中国没必要因为美日同盟的“历史性加强”而“惊慌”。正如前文所说,美日加强同盟是纯军事行为,与东亚区域以合作谋繁荣的时代潮流背道而驰,它能发挥的日常作用相当有限。而且美国提前放出日本这个“没改造好的二战元凶”,也表明前者在东亚的确已经力不从心,不得不把日本往前推。

看来随着中国军事能力的自然增长,美国将有越来越多的军事布局围绕中国展开。我们需要看到,这时候外部的“布点活动”将很活跃,但只要中国是继续成长的,战略主动权就把握在我们的手里,中国和平崛起的战略机遇期也不会因为这些麻烦而结束。

  中国应当有原则,敢斗争,但也需不急不躁,不被轻易激怒。针对美日同盟,看来中国需要研究一些有针对性的杠杆,与它打“太极拳”。这当中与之迎头对撞或者一味忍让也许都不是办法。
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