The Trump Phenomenon: Heaven Help the United States

Published in United Daily News
(Taiwan) on 6 March 2016
by Ruay-Shiung Chang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
Troubled times suit none so well as the ruthless. Perhaps, as some say, the United States is struggling to keep afloat, but its panicked throes have buoyed Donald Trump gleefully onward amid the treacherous eddies of the Republican presidential primaries. Although the outset of his campaign was marked by some degree of titillation as many onlookers waited for the punchline to drop, there is now an uncomfortable and growing realization that the butt of the joke may be none other than those same onlookers themselves, prompting serious questions as to whether Americans will truly endorse such a cutthroat character as president.

It is difficult to imagine a world where towering ramparts line the U.S.-Mexican border, all willingly paid for out of pocket by the Mexican government. However, such a world is, among other things, one of the pillars of the Trump campaign.

That the real estate magnate has been able to wriggle into the good graces of many with such facility is not entirely without reason. In a manner that whispers shades of Ko Wen-je prior to his election, Trump is defiant of power, blunt of speech and has financed his own campaign instead of relying on any political party. As lethargy pervades the U.S. economy, the wealth disparity widens, jobs are snatched away by illegal immigrants and other states around the world look increasingly askance at U.S. leadership, Trump's fiery rhetoric has given the common man an outlet for his frustrations.

However, the more orthodox Republicans have found Trump's antics difficult to stomach, with a bevy of the party's elder statesmen and women recently issuing an open letter forcefully opposing Trump's bid to become the Republican Party's presidential nominee. Within the letter's flowing prose, they exposit upon nine major reasons for their opposition, including charging Trump with dishonesty and advocating unfeasible political policies dictated by emotion, as well as asserting that his election as president would not only make the United States less secure and lower its standing in the world, but would also threaten the very civil liberties beloved by Americans. In conclusion, the signatories to the letter pledge to "commit ourselves to working energetically to prevent the election of someone so utterly unfitted to the office."

Still, popular support may give Republicans little recourse when it comes to Trump. While Taiwan's Kuomintang could opt to retire Hung Hsiu-chu as their candidate, the U.S. Republican Party lacks a corresponding mechanism unless the other primary contenders can together manage to corral more than half of the party's total delegates before Trump does, precluding him from gaining an absolute majority. In the event that no presidential hopeful holds the required majority, the nominee would be selected through multiple rounds of voting at a contested GOP convention in July, something that has not been seen in some 40 years.

But the spirit of democracy is to reap what you sow, and if in November a Trump vs. Clinton head-to-head truly comes to pass, despite the fact that many say Trump is unelectable, the capriciousness of voters and subsequent lack of a guaranteed outcome means that all must steel themselves against the possibility of a United States with The Donald at the helm. Only, why is it that even as Americans remain captains of their fate, the rest of the world can only resign itself to going down with the ship?

This is so despite the fact that when it comes to the economy, Trump talks of levying heavy tariffs on Chinese exports, has similarly callow views on human rights and on the unchecked expansion of government authority which make him out to be, by all appearances, cut from the same silken cloth as the top brass in Beijing. If the core values of freedom and democracy are not among those near and dear to his heart, a Trump presidency would spell a very dangerous future indeed for Taiwan, and it would seem that alongside our prayers for ourselves, we would do well to throw in an afterthought: Heaven help the United States.

The author is president of the National Taipei University of Business.


亂世出梟雄,或許美國正處於亂世,以致共和黨總統初選,川普的聲勢扶搖直上,從大家預測等著看笑話,到現在這些預測都變成笑話,難道美國會出現梟雄總統?
很難想像,美墨邊界要築起高牆,而且墨西哥還願意付錢來建!但這就是川普的政見之一。
川普的竄出,也不是沒有原因,不畏權勢、講話白目、自己出錢選舉不靠政黨,是否有點像選前的柯P?美國經濟不振,貧富差距拉大,工作被非法移民搶走,其他國家也不再視美國為世界老大,川普的麻辣言詞讓百姓不滿的情緒找到發洩出口。
川 普的言行連正統共和黨人都看不下去,一群共和黨大老最近發出一封公開信,極力反對川普成為共和黨總統候選人,洋洋灑灑列舉九大理由反對,包括他的不誠實和 其許多政見都是意氣用事不可行等等,如果當選不但會讓美國更不安全、地位更低落,且會危害美國所最追求的人權自由,所以他們會「盡全力來避免選一個極端不 適合總統辦公室的人。」
但如果民意支持,可能共和黨也拿川普沒辦法,國民黨可以換「洪」,共和黨卻缺乏相對的機制,除非初選階段其他參選人 加起來的黨代表票能比川普先過半,讓川普無法過半;而在沒有單一參選人能過半的情況下,於七月舉行共和黨四十年來第一次的「僵局黨代表大會」 (contested convention),由黨代表經過多輪投票來選出候選人。
不過民主就是自作自受,如果今年十一月果真是川普和希拉蕊的對決,雖然大家都說川普是unelectable(很難被選上),但選民有時選爽的,難保誰輸誰贏,大家必須準備有一個川普當總統的美國。只是為何美國人自作自受,全世界卻都要受苦受難呢?
雖然經濟上川普說要對中國的出口課高關稅,但心裡他是喜歡中國對人權的箝制和政府權力的極大化,所以自由民主可能不在他的核心價值裡面,這對台灣是一個危險的未來。看來除了天佑台灣之外,我們也只能祈禱天佑美國了。
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2 COMMENTS

  1. Donald Trump may win primaries, but he’s -never- going to win a general election. Something like 18% of registered voters in the US support him. If he gets “his” party’s nomination, he will be overwhelmingly defeated by -whoever- gets the Democratic nomination.

  2. One can hardly blame the Taiwanese for feeling nervous about the possibility of a destabilizing influence as leader of its powerful ally/protector. But Taiwan would be well advised to depend a little less on Washington’s rushing to Taiwan’s defense. The Western Pacific definitely does not need America meddling in its business, especially where it concerns Beijing. Just look at what’s happening in West Asia, where whatever Washington does in an attempt to fix things only makes them worse — much worse.

    America’s present political dilemma is one of decades worth of political and economic mistakes coming home to roost. It’s only been very very recently that Americans have woken up to notice that their government for the people, by the people, of the people had perished from the earth. It’s been a long time since the US was a functioning democracy — indeed, it’s been a very long time since the US could hold a free and fair election. The appointment of GW Bush to the presidency by the Supreme Court should have made that clear to them, but it’s also been a long long time since more than half of the American electorate could be counted on to make it to the polls on election day.

    The immediate problem — i.e., Donald Trump — is indeed a difficult one, since it’s not likely that Bernie Sanders will oppose him in the general election, and Bernie is the candidate who would have good chance of beating him. That leaves Hillary, but as a candidate Hillary Clinton is nothing like strong or forceful enough or fast enough on her feet to deal with Trump, should he win the nomination — which he probably will. Moreover, she continues to reinforce the growing view of her as dishonest and untrustworthy.

    It is a serious problem, but both Bernie and Trump are incarnations of a phenomenon that has characterized American politics since at least the election of Reagan, namely the inability of Washington to hear the voices of the electorate because those voices are drowned out by an army of lobbyists making demands and, more recently, the sound of a ton of money filling up the electoral coffers of politicians.

    The Republicans are a deeply corrupted party; the Democrats, while perhaps not quite so corrupt, are the more useless of the two. That leaves the door wide open for either the self-serving Trumps or the revolutionary Sanderses.