Hard Times for North America

Published in Excélsior
(Mexico) on 14 April 2016
by Jessica de Alba Ulloa (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Louisa Devine. Edited by Melanie Rehfuss.
The candidates for the U.S. presidential nomination have been campaigning for several months in their quest to win the majority of delegates required to run for president in the upcoming November election.

Now, Democrats and Republicans at both ends of the political spectrum are denouncing free trade. This attitude is commonplace among liberal candidates who, with the support of trade unions, have always opposed any agreements that may mean job losses in certain protected sectors. An honorable exception was President Bill Clinton, who supported the North American Free Trade Agreement. Both of the current Democratic candidates, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, have attacked free trade and have come out against the most important contemporary agreement, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which Mexico is part of along with its two North American associates.

Running contrary to Democrat rhetoric, Republican ideology has always favored initiatives that aim to open up markets and generate competition between businesses. However, here lies another exception — Republican candidate Donald Trump, who has displayed an astonishing level of ignorance not only in terms of foreign policy, but also regarding the importance of international trade.

Through his incendiary rhetoric, Trump has included Mexico, its government, its migrants and finally NAFTA, which he has declared he would put an end to if he becomes president, on his blacklist of the “misfortunes” of the United States.

Given the situation, it is not easy for those who promote increased North American integration to make themselves heard. An opportunity has finally arisen for further dialogue and action now that former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, with whom Obama had a cold and distant relationship, has been replaced by the liberal Justin Trudeau, with whom he shares more similarities, at least in theory. However, Obama, who has also shown little interest in the subject, only has a few months left in the White House, and both Mexico and Canada must therefore adjust their policies to deal with the new president. Those who currently have a chance of being that new president, both Democrats and Republicans, are opposed to all of the benefits that a bigger and better relationship with their partners could bring.

In this context, it is essential to continue to promote the benefits that already exist, as well as highlighting those that could result from increased competitive trade integration, the harmonization of processes, etc. This was highlighted by experts from the three countries in question at the Third North American Symposium, organized by Anahuac University, the University of Calgary and Arizona State University: Jaime Serra, Eugenio Terrazas, Luis Téllez, Agustín García-López, Francisco Suárez-Dávila, Anthony Wayne, Laura Dawson, Duncan Wood, Colin Robertson, John Maisto, Gaétan Caron, Dave Collyer, Gary Dirks, Stephen Blank, and many others who support a better regional relationship between the countries. While stubborn voices demand that we close borders, this forum analyzes the main obstacles and opportunities to generate greater integration, which will result in greater benefits. We just need decision makers to support them.


Los candidatos a la nominación presidencial de Estados Unidos llevan varios meses en campaña, en búsqueda de ganar la mayoría de delegados que les permita ser designados para competir por la Presidencia en las elecciones de noviembre.

De un lado y otro del espectro político, están demócratas y republicanos, con retóricas en contra del libre comercio. Esta actitud es normal entre los candidatos liberales, quienes apoyados por los sindicatos, siempre se han opuesto a acuerdos que puedan significar la pérdida de trabajos en determinadas industrias protegidas. Honrosa excepción fue el presidente Bill Clinton, al apoyar el Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte (TLCAN). Actualmente, ambos candidatos demócratas, Bernie Sanders y Hillary Clinton, han atacado el libre comercio y se han pronunciado en contra del acuerdo contemporáneo más importante, el Acuerdo Transpacífico de Cooperación Económica (TPP, por sus siglas en inglés), del que México es parte, junto con sus dos socios de América del Norte.

Contrario a la retórica demócrata, la ideología republicana siempre ha privilegiado iniciativas dirigidas a una apertura de mercados y generación de competitividad entre las empresas. Sin embargo, también aquí se encuentra una excepción: el candidato a la nominación republicana Donald Trump, quien ha demostrado una impresionante ignorancia, no sólo en temas de política exterior, sino también en lo que compete al comercio internacional.

En su retórica incendiaria, Trump ha incluido en la lista negra de los “males” de Estados Unidos a México, su gobierno, sus migrantes y, finalmente, el TLCAN, tratado que ha declarado suspenderá de llegar a la Presidencia.

En este contexto, no es fácil que los impulsores de una mayor integración en América del Norte sean escuchados. Finalmente se abría una oportunidad para mayor diálogo y acción, ahora que el primer ministro de Canadá, Stephen Harper –con quien el presidente de EU, Barack Obama, tenía una fría y distante relación–, habría dejado su lugar al liberal Justin Trudeau, con quien hay –en teoría– mayor afinidad. Sin embargo, a Obama –quien también demostró poco interés en el tema– le quedan pocos meses en la Casa Blanca, y tanto México como Canadá deberán ajustar políticas para lidiar con el nuevo inquilino. Quienes ahora parecen tener oportunidad de lograrlo –republicanos y demócratas–, son opuestos a todos los beneficios de una mayor y mejor relación con sus socios.

En este contexto, es imprescindible seguir apuntando a comunicar los beneficios ya existentes, así como los posibles con una mayor integración comercial competitiva, la armonización de procesos, etc., como lo mencionaron expertos de los tres países reunidos en el Tercer Simposio sobre América del Norte, organizado por la Universidad Anáhuac, la Universidad de Calgary y la Universidad Estatal de Arizona: Jaime Serra, Eugenio Terrazas, Luis Téllez, Agustín García-López, Francisco Suárez Dávila, Anthony Wayne, Laura Dawson, Duncan Wood, Colin Robertson, John Maisto, Gaétan Caron, Dave Collyer, Gary Dirks, Stephen Blank y muchos otros que apuestan a una mejor relación regional. Mientras voces obcecadas piden cerrar fronteras, en dicho foro (www.northamericanprocess.org) se analizan los principales obstáculos y oportunidades para generar una mayor integración que resultará en mayores beneficios. Falta que los tomadores de decisiones las apoyen.
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