US Is the South Sea Arbitration Secret Manipulator

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 23 June 2016
by Xue Li (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Mak Wen Yao. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
According to statistics by Chinese media and research institutes with regard to media from 21 countries, U.S. media has ranked first so far this year in covering the South China Sea issue, issuing a total of 60,076 reports. Among them, 4,674 pieces were on the South China Sea arbitration, accounting for 7.8 percent of the reports. Corresponding figures from the Philippine media, which ranked fourth in its coverage, included 2,764 reports; 660 pieces were on the arbitration, accounting for 23.8 percent of its reporting. The Philippine coverage was understandable, but why has there been such large-scale coverage by the U.S. media of the South Sea issue and arbitration?

Some people believe that under peaceful circumstances, such a topic with multiple newsworthy elements combining contests between big nations, the rise of China, military clashes, international arbitration, East Asia affairs, etc., is hard to come by. Enthusiastic reporting by the U.S. media is not unusual. But is it really like this? As this author, a scholar who has closely followed the South Sea issue for many years, has realized, in covering many South Sea issues, the U.S. media have made strong assumptions; so-called objective reporting is missing, the frequently used balanced reporting model has disappeared, and inappropriate lapses of knowledge have also appeared in many reports. The overall reporting standards have had an obvious “quality reduction.”

Where is the problem? In fact, U.S. media strongly emphasize “political correctness.” In their usual coverage, U.S. media appear capable of criticizing the government and mocking politicians, but on major issues, they tend to use "their own ways" to cooperate with the government. The U.S. media have been very "enthusiastic" about South Sea issues, and they have taken sides when it comes to reporting. This is because fundamentally, the U.S. government is like this.

Take the South China Sea arbitration, for example. Many diplomats from host countries informed their Chinese counterparts that American diplomats asked them to express support for the arbitration results. This indicates that the arbitration was first a political affair, and secondly a regulatory affair. Furthermore, it was a so-called regulatory affair with systemic errors and severe flaws. When it came to any mistakes, the U.S. was guiding the development of the arbitration and it didn’t hesitate to complain directly.

U.S. diplomats and scholars in touch with this author also have not denied the facts mentioned above. However, they insisted that the U.S. approach helped to maintain impartiality, South Sea stability and freedom of navigation. But is it so? This author’s view on South Sea issues is considered to be relatively neutral by both local and international counterparts. However, I realized that by October 2015, the U.S. had become the key factor in the continuous escalation of tension in the South China Sea. U.S. behavior in the South China Sea has been mixed with obvious selfish intentions, and evidently the U.S. has been siding with one party.

For example, the typical freedom of navigation mentioned by countries involves commercial freedom of navigation. However, the U.S. version of freedom of navigation also includes military freedom of navigation, which is the freedom of movement for naval ships in the exclusive economic zone and territorial waters of other countries. In addition, the U.S. version of freedom of navigation includes implementation of freedom of navigation operations to ensure such freedom.

There is additional evidence of bias besides the actions mentioned above, including at least the following: using multilateral mechanisms such as the European Union or Group of Seven leading industrial nations, etc., to put pressure on China; directly pressuring countries within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations group which does not want to be very involved in South China Sea affairs; providing technical support, manpower and favorable public opinion to the Philippines in order to initiate arbitration; making one-sided accusations against China’s land reclamation and defense arrangement surrounding the South Sea island reefs; and the freedom of navigation declaratory action which only targeted island reefs controlled by China being expanded from Nasha to Xisha.

U.S. activities in the South China Sea region in recent years originated from the strategic need to hasten the pivot to the Asia-Pacific region, and to this end, the U.S. has undertaken strategic planning on a macro-level and operations on a micro-level.

On the macro-level, in the context of global strategic contraction, but also to strengthen its military presence in East Asia, the U.S., it was confirmed, will deploy 60 percent of its navy ships and 60 percent of its overseas air force to the Asia-Pacific region before 2020. At the same time that it is strengthening military deployment in the second island chain, the U.S. is increasing military cooperation with allies such as Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, and increasing military support to partner countries such as Singapore and Vietnam. The U.S. has published four strategic documents including one titled “Asia Pacific Maritime Security Strategy,” describing affairs in the South China Sea, and declaring that it will make China pay the price.

On the micro-level, the orientation of the U.S. military operation against China has become more apparent, which is consistent with U.S. policy adjustments. Various deterrence tactics and provocative actions have become more frequent. In February 2014, when Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Russel testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs’ Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific, he accused China of advocating the “nine-dash line” which, he said, “lacked apparent basis under international law.”* Secretary of State John Kerry openly made a “three-terminations” demand during the ministerial meeting of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in Naypyidaw, Burma.** The U.S. also began to flex its muscle more frequently against China as close military aircraft reconnaissance missions against China in the South Sea increased from more than 260 sorties in 2009 to more than 1,200 sorties in 2014 and military vessels even entered China’s territorial waters in a declaration of the so-called freedom of navigation.

With Ashton Carter as U.S. secretary of defense, the military went further on this issue. When, for example, military aircraft passed through the surrounding areas of Huangyan Island, they executed some very provocative maneuvers. Even more critically, two destroyers separately came 12 nautical miles into the territorial waters surrounding Triton Island and the Yongshu reef. When the U.S. Navy enters into the 12 nautical mile area of coastal China, it typically must act in accordance with Chinese law, but the Navy did not obtain permission in these two high-profile moves. This was clearly in violation of Chinese regulatory rights and interests, and completely disregarded the minimum respect due between great nations. The U.S. action caused the tension in the South Sea to spiral upward.

Evidently, this situation was due to the U.S. “strategic formation and deployment” in and surrounding the South Sea region which has fostered further regional tensions, in addition to causing the position of the South China Sea dispute to be exaggerated in the context of the global strategic layout. The substantial adjustment to the U.S. South Sea policy has led the U.S. to increasingly disregard the façade of “justice.” That the U.S. media went along with these actions, adding fuel to the flames, is no longer considered surprising.

The author is director of strategic research at the Institute of World Economics and Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

*Translator’s note: The “nine-dash line” refers to the demarcation line used by several countries in the South China Sea region to denote their territorial claims there.

**Translator’s note: A “three-terminations” demand refers to the demand by the U.S. that China cease all land reclamation, all construction and all militarization actions.


薛力:美国是南海仲裁案幕后操盘手

根据中国媒体和研究机构对21个国家媒体所做的统计,今年以来,美国媒体对南海问题的报道数排在第1位,达60076篇,其中关于南海仲裁案的报道为4674篇,占7.80%。菲律宾媒体的相应数据为第4位、2764篇、660篇和23.88%。菲律宾的数据不难理解,美国媒体如此大规模地报道南海问题与南海仲裁案,为什么?

有人认为,在和平状态下,像这样融大国博弈、中国崛起、军事角力、国际仲裁、东亚事务等诸多新闻价值要素于一体的题材,实在不可多得,美国媒体热衷报道也没有什么。真的是这样吗?作为多年关注南海问题的学者,笔者发现,美国媒体关于南海问题的许多报道带着强烈的预设立场,所谓的客观报道原则不见了,常用的平衡报道模式没有了,许多报道还出现了不应有的知识硬伤,整体报道水平明显的“有失水准”。

问题出在哪里?事实上,美国媒体是很讲“政治正确”的,在平时的报道中看似可以批评政府、嘲弄政客,但在重大问题上,往往会以“自己的方式”配合政府。美国媒体在南海问题上很“热心”,在报道立场上选边站,本质是因为美国政府就是这样。

以南海仲裁案为例,不少东道国的外交官告知中国外交官,美国外交官要求他们表态支持仲裁结果。这表明:南海仲裁案首先是政治事件,其次才是法律事件,而且是有程序错误和严重瑕疵的所谓法律事件。在这个问题上,美国在下指导棋,并且亲自出马吆喝,甚至都丝毫不加掩饰。

对这一点,与笔者接触的美国外交官、学者也不否认,但坚持认为美国的做法有助于维护公平、南海的稳定和航行自由。真的如此?笔者关于南海问题的观点被海内外同行评价为比较均衡(neutral),但我发现:最迟从2015年10月起,美国已经成为南海局势不断升温的重要因素。美国在南海的行为夹杂着明显的私心,显然是在拉偏架。

比如,一般国家所指的航行自由,是商业航行自由,而美国的航行自由还包括军事航行自由,即军舰在别国专属经济区与领海的活动自由,并通过实施“航行自由行动宣示(FONOPs)”来确保这种自由。

拉偏架的证据更多,除了前面提及的事例外,至少还包括:通过欧盟、七国峰会等多边机制对中国施压;对不愿过多涉入南海事务的东盟成员国直接施压;为菲律宾提起仲裁提供技术、人力与舆论支持;片面指责中国的陆域吹填与在南海岛礁的防卫部署;航行自由行动宣示只针对中国所控岛礁并从南沙扩展到西沙。

美国近几年南海行为的根源在于加快推进“亚太再平衡”战略的需要,为此进行了宏观布局与微观行动。

宏观方面,在全球战略收缩的背景下,却强化在东亚的军事存在,为此确定2020年前将60%的海军舰艇、海外60%的空军力量部署到亚太地区;在强化第二岛链军力部署的同时,加大与日本、韩国、菲律宾等盟国的军事合作,增加对伙伴国新加坡、越南等的军事支持;发布《亚太海上安全战略》等四个战略文件,大篇幅谈到南海,声称要让中国付出成本代价。

微观方面,与美国政策调整相伴随的是,美军对中国的行动指向性越来越明显,各类威慑、挑衅动作愈加频繁。2014年的2月,助理国务卿拉塞尔在众议院作证时,指责中国“断续线”主张“缺乏国际法基础”;国务卿克里在缅甸内比都举行的东盟地区论坛外长会时直接提出“三停止”要求;美国还开始频繁向中国直接“大秀肌肉”,军机对中国在南海的抵近侦察从2009年约260余架次增加到2014年的超过1200架次,军舰甚至进入中国领海进行所谓的航行自由行动宣示。

以卡特为代表的军方则在这个问题上越走越远,如军机经过黄岩岛附近时,做一些挑衅意味很浓的动作。更为严重的是,两艘驱逐舰分别进入中建岛与永暑礁周围12海里水域。美舰进入中国沿海12海里时,通常应按照中国法律行事,这两次却在未经批准的情况下高调进入,明显是在侵犯中国的合法权益,完全不顾及大国之间起码的尊重。美国的行为正在使得南海的紧张局势进入螺旋式上升态势。

显然,正是由于美在南海及其周边的“排兵布阵”,推动地区局势进一步紧张,也使得南海争议在全球战略棋局中的位置被刻意夸大。美国南海政策的大幅调整,让美方愈发不再顾及“公正”的伪装,美国媒体随风起舞、推波助澜,也就不足为奇了。(作者是中国社科院世经政所战略室主任)
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