Populism Here and There

Published in El Espectador
(Colombia) on 2 July 2016
by Armando Montenegro (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Camden Luxford. Edited by Shelby Stillwell.
What is happening in England with Brexit and the United States with the Republican candidacy is evidence of populism, but with an interesting addition: the working class, unemployed, and marginalized of both countries have been captained by two elitist millionaires who make no scruple of stoking their frustrations, resentments, and fears.

Boris Johnson, the leader of Brexit (who surprisingly renounced his aspiration to become prime minister), a personage educated in Eton and Oxford, with exquisite conservatism and a network of privileged contacts, could hardly appear less like a strongman of the dispossessed. And in the United States, the leader who has achieved the support of millions of the dispossessed – with his promises to build a wall along the Mexican border, dissolve free trade agreements and arm the whites against the Muslims – is none other than the hotel and casino magnate Donald Trump.

The vast majority of those who voted for Brexit are poor whites, with little education, over 30 years of age, and in large part displaced or threatened by technological change. (On the contrary, the more educated, young, and confident in their capacities overwhelmingly opted to stay in the European Union.) The base that supports Trump has a similar profile: working-class whites or the unemployed; people who are afraid, under-educated and full of prejudice against Hispanics and Asians; those who support a ban on imports from China, Vietnam or Mexico (the profile of Trump’s followers is not very distinct from that of those who voted for Bernie Sanders).

The central message of Johnson and Trump’s populism is to recuperate the independence of their countries by closing their borders. Their vague promise is to rebuild a world of yesteryear, a world that in their memory was better than this one, without competition or foreigners. In the case of Britons of an advanced age, Brexit sold the promise of reinvigorating industries that are now dead and the glories of what was a grand empire. In the case of the North Americans, the dream is to return to a world before the arrival of Japanese and Korean cars and household appliances and, of course, before everything came from China, putting in doubt the predominance of the label “Made in the USA.” These promises are, of course, a fraud.

The populism of Latin America, usually of the left, also stimulates and exploits the resentments, fears, and worries of large groups of low-income people. But it has one large difference with the right-wing populism of the U.S. and England. Its leaders – Perón, the Kirchners, the cronies of Chávez and Madura, Lula’s people – don’t arrive to power wealthy although, yes, they do leave government as millionaires. In fact, those regimes are a trampoline to create new dominant classes that compete in wealth and power with their predecessors.

Despite the fact that it is currently in retreat, nothing guarantees that populism won’t again enjoy new opportunities in Latin America. Economic problems, social inequality and, of course, the examples of Trump and Brexit create fertile ground.


Lo que está sucediendo en Inglaterra con el Brexit y en Estados Unidos con la candidatura republicana es una evidencia en favor de esta idea, pero con una interesante adición: los obreros, desempleados y marginados de ambos países han sido capitaneados por dos millonarios elitistas que atizan, sin ningún escrúpulo, sus frustraciones, resentimientos y temores.

Boris Johnson, el líder del Brexit (quien sorpresivamente renunció a su aspiración de ser primer ministro), un personaje educado en Eton y Oxford, con su exquisito conservatismo y su red de relaciones privilegiadas, es la persona menos parecida a un caudillo de los desposeídos. Y en Estados Unidos, el líder que ha logrado el respaldo de millones de desposeídos, con sus promesas de construir un muro en la frontera con México, liquidar los acuerdos de libre comercio y armar a los blancos contra los islamistas, no es otro que el magnate de los hoteles y casinos, Donald Trump.

La gran mayoría de quienes votaron por el Brexit son blancos pobres, con escasa educación, mayores de 30 años, en buena parte desplazados o amenazados por los cambios tecnológicos (en cambio, los más educados, jóvenes y confiados en sus capacidades, masivamente optaron por quedarse en la Comunidad Europea). Y la base que apoya a Trump tiene un perfil parecido: trabajadores blancos, desempleados; gentes temerosas, poco educadas y llenas de prejuicios frente a los latinos y asiáticos; que apoyan el bloqueo a las importaciones de China, Vietnam o México (el perfil de los seguidores de Trump no es muy distinto al de quienes votaron por Bernie Sanders).

El mensaje central del populismo de Johnson y Trump es recuperar la independencia de sus países por medio del cierre de las fronteras. Su vaga promesa es la de reconstruir un mundo del ayer, que en su memoria fue mejor, sin competencia ni extranjeros. En el caso de los británicos de edad avanzada, el Brexit vendió la promesa de reconstruir la pujanza de unas industrias hoy muertas y las glorias del que fue un gran imperio. En el caso de los norteamericanos, el sueño es volver al mundo de antes de los carros y electrodomésticos japoneses y coreanos y, por supuesto, antes de que todo llegara de China y pusiera en duda el predominio de lo “Made in USA”. Estas promesas, por supuesto, son una estafa.

El populismo de América Latina, usualmente de izquierda, también estimula y explota el resentimiento, los miedos y temores de grandes grupos de personas de bajos ingresos. Pero tiene una gran diferencia con el populismo de derecha de Estados Unidos e Inglaterra. Sus líderes —Perón, los Kirchner, la camarilla de Chávez y Maduro, la gente de Lula— no llegan ricos al poder, pero, eso sí, salen millonarios del gobierno. De hecho, esos regímenes son el trampolín para crear nuevas clases dominantes que compiten en riqueza y poder con las antiguas.

A pesar de que está transitoriamente en retirada, nada asegura que el populismo no volverá a tener nuevas oportunidades en América Latina. Los problemas económicos, las desigualdades sociales y, claro, los ejemplos de Trump y el Brexit le abonan el terreno.
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