In Case of Trump

Published in La Jornada
(Mexico) on 31 July 2016
by Guillermo Almeyra (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tom Walker. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
Editor’s note: The following perspective contains language, translated accurately from the original article, that readers may find offensive.

According to U.S. public opinion polls, 63 percent of voters are opposed to Hillary Clinton; 67 percent are opposed to Donald Trump (but this rises to 77 percent if only women are considered). Although the numbers vary, on average about 49 percent of voters do not vote in presidential elections, since voting is not compulsory.

Clinton, who for a long time carried out Barack Obama’s policies as his secretary of state, stands for continuity in the imperialist, Zionist, pro-war policies of U.S. transnational corporations, in finance, in big money. She is the candidate of the Israeli Nazi-fascists and the U.S. establishment.

Trump, on the other hand, is an international real estate speculator. He has the support of the pro-fascist tea party and of marginal sectors of big business that, like him, are isolationists, because their fundamental interests lie not in the international sphere, but in the domestic market. And he mobilizes the most backward sectors of the white working class—illiterate, reactionary, and nationalist—who feel that they have been damaged by the crisis in the country, as well as by economic and financial insecurity. They would have us believe that they are paying the bill for the benefits of the capitalist system that are going to African-Americans, Latinos, and immigrants.

Labor unions make up only 11.3 percent of the economically active population, 6.6 percent in private industry (50 years ago the number was 35 percent). The establishment of the AFL-CIO (the highly bureaucratic trade union confederation that practices business unionism) supports the Democratic Party. Bernie Sanders, the social-democrat Independent senator, is not associated with this group, but running against Clinton in the Democratic primaries, he got more than 12 million votes, reflecting the rejection of both traditional political parties by a large, more highly educated youth sector, and with strong participation by women.

Through his political campaign, Sanders succeeded in re-opening a space in the political sphere for socialism, which through the candidacies of Eugene Debs had been strong before, and less strong after, World War I. In addition, Sanders showed that it was possible to be an independent and yet have great success outside of, and in opposition to, the capitalists’ two political parties, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party. That independence could give rise to a real third force in politics, not centered in the existing institutions, and not here just for this election. If that were the case, it would be possible to begin to overcome the great tragedy that the de-politicization and acceptance of capitalism by the three major groups of oppressed people and workers in China, in Russia, and in the U.S. represent because that conservatism and that passivity impact European workers, Asian workers, and workers from dependent countries today as powerfully as it influenced workers before the U.S. Revolution, the French Revolution, and, centuries later, the Russian Revolution.

The great waves of history act over many decades, but they lose momentum. On top of these great waves there are other, smaller scale waves, driven by the winds of local, social forces. It is from this perspective that we have to analyze an election victory by the imperialist and Zionist Clinton or by Trump, which would only be a prolongation of the great reactionary wave that has swept over the world since the 1980s. What is new, however, are the 12 million votes cast for Bernie Sanders in a country where ideology is based on individualism and egoism, and where since even before World War I (1914-1918), rejection of socialism and anti-communist repression have been seen.

It’s unlikely that, to take on the challenge of Trump, all those votes will go to Clinton. Given that many African-Americans and Latinos do not meet the legal requirements to vote, and that Trump has the support of the most aggressively reactionary Protestant churches, as well as 63 percent of the poor white working class, it is possible for this “McHitler” to win the election, with terrible consequences for all of us. (Remember: Hitler didn’t come to power by a coup; rather, he won the elections, and then, from within the liberal capitalist institutions, he imposed his dictatorship.)

Putting the brakes on Trump by deciding after thoughtful deliberation to vote for Clinton, in order to fight after the election against the big money that supports both candidates, could be the first step in the creation of a new party. Independent of moneyed interests, this new party could include Sanders’ voters and a large number of workers and intellectuals who can’t vote, or who will choose to abstain.

In the 1930s, when the unions were powerful and workers were radicalized, Trotsky called for building a workers’ party based in the labor unions. In other words, an independent party which, in spite of its bourgeois leadership, would help workers break away from capitalist ideology. A new Sanderist social democratic party would be neither anti-capitalist nor revolutionary. However, it would raise the spirits of European workers, above all those in the United Kingdom, and would be an important ally for Mexican and Latin American workers. Aiding in the building of this is what must be supported beyond the election, in which it will be necessary to vote for monsters in order to avert a worse monster.

The great Argentine writer Leopoldo Marechal said, “We come out of mazes at a higher level.” In other words, we rise above what we are currently facing, in order to open up new horizons. Defeating Trump has to create the basis for leaving the unfriendly and difficult battleground of the election behind, precisely to organize and politicize the oppressed and exploited in the United States, and to directly address economic, political, and social problems. The United States is getting ready for a new, smarter phase in the struggle against capitalism.


En caso de Trump

La Jornada (México)
Por Guillermo Almeyra
Domingo 31 de julio de 2016

Según las encuestas estadunidenses, Hillary Clinton es rechazada por 63 por ciento de los electores y Donald Trump por 67 por ciento (que llega a 77, si se consideran sólo las mujeres). La abstención en los comicios presidenciales oscila, en promedio, en torno a 49 por ciento, ya que el voto no es obligatorio.

Hillary Clinton, quien fue durante mucho tiempo la principal ejecutora de la política de Barack Obama desde el Departamento de Estado (relaciones exteriores), expresa la continuidad de la política imperialista, sionista, belicista de las trasnacionales estadunidenses, las finanzas, el gran capital. Es la candidata de los nazifascistas de Israel y delestablishment de EU.

Donald Trump, un gran especulador inmobiliario, está apoyado en cambio por el fascistizanteTea Party y por sectores marginales del gran capital que, como él, son aislacionistas porque no tienen sus intereses fundamentales en el plano internacional, sino en el mercado interno y moviliza a los sectores más atrasados, iletrados, reaccionarios y nacionalistas de los obreros blancos que son cristianos fundamentalistas y se sienten lesionados por la crisis del Estado, así como por la inseguridad económica y financiera, y pretenden que los platos rotos por el capitalismo los paguen los negros, los latinos, los inmigrantes.

Los sindicatos abarcan sólo 11.3 por ciento de la población económicamente activa y en la industria privada, 6.6 por ciento (hace 50 años llegaban a 35 por ciento) y el aparato sindical de la AFL-CIO (la central sindical ultraburocratizada que practica un sindicalismo de negocios) apoya al Partido Democráta. El senador socialdemócrata independiente Bernard (Bernie)Sanders no pertenece a éste, pero logró más de 12 millones de votos en las elecciones internas del Partido Demócrata enfrentando a Hillary Clinton y expresa el repudio a ambos institutos tradicionales de un amplio sector juvenil más culto y con una fuerte participación femenina. Sanders, con su campaña electoral, logró volver a darle espacio político al socialismo que, con Eugene Debs, había sido fuerte antes y poco después de la Primera Guerra Mundial. Además, Sanders demostró que se podía ser independiente y tener gran éxito fuera de los dos aparatos políticos de los capitalistas –el Partido Republicano y el Demócrata– y contra éstos. Esa independencia podría dar origen a una verdadera tercera fuerza no centrada en las instituciones y en la disputa sólo electoral. Si así fuese podría comenzar a superarse la gran tragedia que representa la despolitización y la aceptación del capitalismo por los tres mayores contingentes de oprimidos y de obreros –el chino, el ruso y el estadunidense– porque ese conservadurismo y esa pasividad inciden tan poderosamente sobre los trabajadores europeos, asiáticos y de los países dependientes como influyeron antes la revolución de Independencia estadunidense, la Revolución Francesa y, siglos después, la Rusa.

Las grandes olas históricas abarcan muchos decenios, pero pierden impulso, y sobre ellas hay otras más pequeñas empujadas por los cambios de los vientos sociales locales. En esa perspectiva hay que situar el triunfo electoral de la imperialista y sionista Clinton o el de Trump, que sería sólo una prolongación de la gran ola reaccionaria que arrastra al mundo desde los años 80. Lo nuevo, en cambio, en un país donde el individualismo y el egoísmo son las bases de la ideología, y el rechazo al socialismo y la represión anticomunista desde antes ya de la Primera Guerra (1914-1918), son los 12 millones de votos al candidato Bernie Sanders.

Es improbable que, para enfrentar a Trump, todos esos votos vayan a Hillary Clinton. Dado que gran cantidad de negros y latinos no están en condiciones legales para votar y que Trump cuenta con el apoyo de las iglesias protestantes más agresivamente reaccionarias, así como con 63 por ciento de los blancos trabajadores pobres, es posible el triunfo electoral de este McHitler con las terribles consecuencias para todos (recordemos que Hitler no se impuso con un golpe, sino que ganó las elecciones y, desde las instituciones capitalistas liberales, impuso posteriormente su dictadura).
Frenar a Trump votando críticamente por Clinton para después de las elecciones luchar contra los grandes capitales que sostienen a ambos puede ser la etapa inicial de la creación de un nuevo partido independiente del capital con los votantes de Sanders y gran cantidad de trabajadores e intelectuales que no pueden votar o que se abstendrán.

En los años 30, cuando los sindicatos tenían fuerza y los obreros estaban radicalizados, Trotsky llamó a construir en Estados Unidos un partido obrero basado en los sindicatos. O sea, un partido independiente que, a pesar de su dirección burguesa, ayudase a los trabajadores a superar la ideología capitalista. Un nuevo partido socialdemócrata sanderista no sería anticapitalista ni revolucionario, pero elevaría la moral de los trabajadores europeos, sobre todo del Reino Unido, y sería un importante aliado de los mexicanos y latinoamericanos. Eso es lo que hay que ayudar a construir más allá de las elecciones, en las que hay que votar por monstruos para alejar un monstruo peor.

De los laberintos –decía el gran escritor argentino Leopoldo Marechal– se sale por arriba. O sea, superando lo que se enfrenta en el momento para abrir nuevos panoramas. Precisamente para organizar y politizar a los oprimidos y explotados de Estados Unidos derrotando a Trump hay que crear las bases para salir del campo hostil y pantanoso de las elecciones pasando a encarar directamente los problemas económicos, políticos y sociales. Estados Unidos se prepara a entrar en una nueva fase aguda de la lucha contra el capitalismo.
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