The US and ‘No First Use’ of Nuclear Weapons: Providing Support as a Nuclear Victim Nation

Published in Tokushima Shimbun
(Japan) on 28 August 2016
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Chris Hennessy. Edited by Melanie Rehfuss.
Will the United States – the largest nuclear weapon state – announce a “no first use” of nuclear weapons? The world is watching to see President Obama’s decision.

A “no first use” policy calls for a nation’s non-use of nuclear weapons on an enemy, unless that enemy conducts a nuclear strike first. Successive U.S. administrations have firmly maintained a stance of not adopting this policy. If the U.S. were to adopt this policy now, it would reflect a major policy change.

Japan, which advocates for the abolishment of nuclear weapons as the sole nuclear victim nation in the world, should welcome U.S. policy change in this direction.

However, it seems the central government, which depends on the “nuclear umbrella” provided by the U.S. through security treaties, is moving back on this position. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe denies the claim, but an influential U.S. newspaper reported that Prime Minister Abe expressed concerns over the proposed policy to a commander of the United States Pacific Command.

There is strong opposition within President Obama’s own administration and advocates for shelving a decision on the issue. Particularly in light of this situation, Japan should show leadership and urge policy change to the U.S. Our stance as the nuclear victim nation is being tested.

The reason for the U.S. not taking a “no first use” policy up to this point is because it would neutralize the nuclear umbrella, which would weaken deterrent force, and, thus, increase the risk of conflicts. In other words, by making other nations think that the U.S. might use nuclear weapons first, the U.S. maintained the effect of deterrent force.

Japan and South Korea, both exposed to a North Korean threat of continued nuclear and missile development, and the Western U.S. alliance, which faces off with Russia’s nuclear arsenal, are skeptical of this policy probably because of the anxiety over lowered deterrent force.

However, the U.S. has the ability to retaliate by annihilating an opponent that uses nuclear weapons. And if that opponent – who feared such an attack – did not have a “first use” policy, then the U.S. would be alone with such a policy.

A “no first use” policy can also prevent an accidental nuclear war from occurring.

China has already announced this policy, but all nuclear states should adopt it. And the significance of the U.S. adopting a “no first use” cannot be overstated.

Forty people, including former Japanese Foreign Minister Junko Kawaguchi, former cabinet-level politicians and senior military officers from the Asia-Pacific region, all strongly urged the Obama administration to adopt a “no first-use” policy through a joint statement this month.

The group concludes that such a policy would encourage change in existing nuclear coordination policy from the current “high-risk” state. Also, it is argued that if all nuclear states were to adopt the change, it could be the central axis of a world system in which nuclear weapons are limited. This paper endorses this view.

In 2010, President Obama, who advocates for a world free of nuclear weapons, announced a revamp of U.S. nuclear strategy, in which the U.S. would not conduct nuclear strikes on non-nuclear states in compliance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

With this further limitation of the role of nuclear weapons, if a “no first use” policy was adopted, nuclear weapons would be reduced even more. This paper is anticipating with great hope the decision to be given by President Obama, who newly affirmed his determination for a world free of nuclear weapons by being the first sitting U.S. president to visit Hiroshima, site of the first nuclear-bombed area.

This paper also wants Prime Minister Abe, who accompanied President Obama to Hiroshima and stated at the time, “we cannot allow a repeat of this tragic experience,” to actively support President Obama in this endeavor. That is the mission of a nuclear victim nation in response to demands of its citizens for nuclear abolition.


米の核先制不使用 被爆国として後押しを

最大の核兵器保有国である米国が、核の「先制不使用」を宣言するかどうか。オバマ大統領の決断に世界が注目している。

 敵の核攻撃を受けない限り核を使わないというのが先制不使用政策である。歴代米政権はこれを採用しない立場を堅持してきた。決定すれば大きな方針転換となる。

 唯一の被爆国として核兵器の廃絶を訴えている日本とすれば、その実現につながる政策は歓迎すべきことである。

 しかし、安全保障を米国の「核の傘」に依存する日本政府は後ろ向きのようだ。安倍晋三首相は否定したが、米有力紙は、首相が米太平洋軍司令官に反対の意向を伝えたと報じた。

 オバマ政権内でも反対意見が強く、決定は見送られるとの見方もある。そうした状況だからこそ、日本は率先して米国に政策変更を促すべきではないか。被爆国の姿勢が問われている。

 これまで米国が先制不使用政策を取ってこなかったのは、核の傘が無力化し、抑止力が弱まって紛争リスクが高まるといった理由からである。「先に核兵器を使うかもしれないと思わせることで、抑止効果が保てる」というわけだ。

 核・ミサイル開発を進める北朝鮮の脅威にさらされている日本、韓国や、ロシアの核と向き合う欧州の米同盟国が否定的なのも、抑止力の低下を懸念するためだろう。

 だが、米国は核を使った相手を壊滅する報復力を持っており、それを恐れる相手が先制使用することはないと指摘する米国の専門家もいる。

 先制不使用政策は、偶発的に核戦争が起きるのを防ぐことにもなる。

 中国が既に宣言しているが、全核保有国が宣言すべきであり、米国が決定する意義は計り知れない。

 川口順子元外相らアジア太平洋地域の元閣僚や軍高官など40人が今月、連名で出した声明は、オバマ政権に先制不使用の採用を強く促した。

 先制不使用は「リスクの高い」現行の核運用政策の変更を後押しすると評価し、全ての保有国が採用すれば「核を制限する世界的体制の中核となり得る」と訴えている。これを支持したい。

 「核兵器なき世界」を提唱するオバマ氏は2010年、核拡散防止条約(NPT)を順守している非核国には核攻撃を行わないとする「核体制の見直し」を表明した。

 核兵器の役割を限定したもので、先制不使用を宣言すれば、さらに低減させることになる。今年5月、現職米大統領として初めて被爆地・広島を訪れ、「核兵器なき世界」への決意を新たにしたオバマ氏の判断に期待したい。

 広島訪問に同行し「悲惨な経験を繰り返させてはならない」と述べた安倍首相には、オバマ氏の背中を押してもらいたい。それが、核廃絶を願う人々の思いに応える被爆国の使命である。
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