Is Trump Launching a ‘Peaceful Evolution’?

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 27 January 2017
by Liu Zhiqin (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
American politicians have wanted China to have a “peaceful evolution” for a long time, hoping to use all sorts of tactics to fracture China, ideally, with economic and cultural means. Yet, after decades, people have realized that not only did China not have a peaceful evolution, China is becoming more confident and powerful with its “peaceful reform.” Lately, the world has discovered that the country that wanted China to have a peaceful evolution is perhaps experiencing its own unprecedented “peaceful evolution.”

A few days after Donald Trump moved into the White House, he made the world see him in an all new way. His drastic executive orders have shocked the once quiet American stock market, generating much reaction. The Dow Jones industrial average has continued to climb, reaching an unprecedented high of 20,000; the market is showing its approval for the new president. If one were to carefully analyze President Trump’s recent actions, we might be able to see how America is moving toward a peaceful evolution under Trump’s leadership.

First, Trump is making America bide its time. He advocates reining in America’s brash style in Europe, NATO, and in conflict-ridden regions of the world, partly due to limited capital and funding, but more importantly, because he does not want the American military to be the scapegoats of the world, always fighting others’ wars, costing both money and lives. There will be no more of these bad deals for America. This policy change is enormous, and the first step America could take to integrate into the world.

Second, Trump has realized that development is key, which is central to China’s view of development. America has realized that concentrating on one’s own affairs and focusing on domestic economic development is what its people really need. Therefore, President Trump has “liberated” the Keystone XL project (which was previously shut down by the Obama administration) for the simple reason that the project would create many jobs as well as revitalize related American industries, such as steel and construction equipment. While the program was previously stopped by the government due to pollution concerns, when faced with the fundamental conflict of environment vs. development, even America, the economically powerful and self-aggrandizing champion of environmental protection, had to prioritize developing employment and put environment on the back burner. Development is the key to everything.

Third, the American government is finally realizing the meaning of “people-oriented.” When China consistently promoted the “people-oriented” philosophy of development, the Western media always treated it as propaganda and ignored its inclusion of Chinese development philosophy. In the 30-plus years of reform and opening-up, China has always maintained and promoted its “people-oriented” beliefs and built a comprehensive, complete and whole system of policies for and benefiting the people. This has helped to generate a high level of identification with the enormous progress of “reform and opening-up” among Chinese citizens, which united the Chinese people in overcoming obstacles and obtaining success.

Trump’s cancellation of the last administration’s health care reform was also based on benefiting the American people. When he began building the wall on the border with Mexico, it was to protect American citizens from harm.* When the American president really serves the 99 percent, the people who do not own most of the wealth, America might truly realize the promise of its constitution.

Fourth, in the last few decades, America has focused a lot of its talent, energy and capital on developing Wall Street; while managing to create the ultra rich 1 percent, the development has left the other 99 percent in the impoverished class, creating an incurable social trauma that is the product of America’s distorted development. Meanwhile, China was able to lift 7 billion people out of poverty in just a few decades, providing education and basic health care for most of its citizens, and is the only country in the world that dared promise to completely eradicate poverty. Fulfilling this promise is not about slogans but years of hard work, and the inevitable result of all citizens rolling up their sleeves and getting to work. In one word, China’s achievement is not a lucky break but the result of hard work and smart decisions. The leadership impact of China’s pragmatic view of development and the role model it provides for America and other countries cannot be underestimated.

Trump’s dealings with the Chinese over the past few decades have made him understand how the Chinese people’s endurance and work ethic is instrumental in developing China. It is a fact that the emphasis China places on the belief that “empty words waste a country and real work grows a country” has touched the world.

We hope to see America achieve a peaceful evolution, to be able to discuss problems and disagreements with the rest of the world instead of using aggressive confrontations, military threats, or forceful sanctions, and that the world becomes more peaceful, harmonious, and gentle.

China is an open country, and China’s economic development is the best free ride for the development of the world. China welcomes all countries, including America, to get onboard with China, to enjoy the journey and overcome obstacles on the way to success. As President Xi Jinping has said, “The most pressing task now is to lead the world economy out of its predicament.” It matters not who helps the evolution of whom, it’s more important whose development beliefs, policies, and principles lead to the evolution of the world. China has spent decades of hard work to create a complete theoretical system suitable for its development, which also benefits the world.

The America under Trump’s leadership might not completely change; it could even reverse course on some core issues, such as trade conflict, currency exchange rates, maritime rights and interests; or even over-use of protectionist policies in some areas, and return to its old path of hurting others and oneself. China should fully prepare itself for such development with its policies, and to try to help America’s peaceful evolution to be as peaceful and as enduring as possible.

China’s vehicle is big enough to accommodate countries that truly seek development, including America, and allow them to travel forward together.

The author is a senior researcher at the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University.

*Editor’s note: Although President Trump has announced his intention to build this border wall, construction has not yet begun.


美国的政治家多少年来一直处心积虑的想“和平演变”中国,期望用各种软硬兼施的手段分化中国,最好用经济和文化的手段来实现“和平演变”中国的目的。然而,几十年过去了,人们发现中国不仅没有被“和平演变”,却是在“和平改革”中越来越自信,越来越强大。最近世界发现,当初那个想“和平演变”中国的国家,可能正在经历着前所未有的被“和平演变”的过程。

  特朗普入住白宫仅仅几天时间,就令世界对他刮目相看:他大笔挥舞,连续签署总统令,使得沉寂多日的美国市场为之一震,纷纷做出反应。尤其是道琼斯指数一路高攀,达到从未有过的20,000点。市场用高分给新任总统的表现给予赞许。如果仔细分析特朗普总统所做的几件事,我们或许可以看出,美国正在特朗普的领导下走在“和平演变”的方向上。

  首先,特朗普让美国也采取了美国式的“韬光养晦”政策:他主张在欧洲,北约,及世界发生冲突的传统区域收缩美国的“张扬”,这或许是有金钱和资金短缺的考量,但是最主要的是特朗普不想让美国兵充当“替罪羊”,总是出头露面替别人家打抱不平,既劳民又伤财,赔本赚吆喝的傻事不再干了。这个政策的转变是巨大的,也是美国真正融入世界的第一步。

  其次,特朗普意识到“发展是硬道理”这个中国式“发展价值观”才是治国真谛。美国意识到集中精力“做好自己的事”,把精力放在国内经济发展上才是民众所需。所以,特朗普总统优先“解放”了被奥巴马封杀的美加石油管道的建设项目。理由十分简单,这个项目可以增加许多就业,而且可以使美国相关产业如钢铁,建筑机械等获得重生。这个最中国的真理终于被美国认可并被悄悄采用,不能不说是“和平演变”的最大亮点。

尽管这个项目当初是因为环境污染等问题被上届政府叫停,但是,在面临“环境与发展”这个基础矛盾时,连经济最强大,自诩环保最严格的美国也不得不优先“发展”就业,而把环保问题放在第二位。“发展是硬道理”

  第三点,美国政府终于开始认识到“以民为本”的真正含义。当中国一再宣传“以民为本”的发展理念时,西方媒体总是把它当成政治宣传,而忽视了它所包含的中国式发展观的内涵。中国改革开放三十多年,始终坚持和推动“以民为本”的理念,并制定出完整,完善,完全的“为民”,“利民”的政策措施,使得民众对改革产生的巨大进步具有高度的认同感,才能产生万众一心的合力,共赴艰难,取得胜利。
  特朗普取消上届政府的“医改”,期望还益于民;他在墨西哥边境砌墙,目的是为了保护本国公民的权益不受无辜伤害。当美国总统真的在为不掌握财富的99%的民众服务时,美国或许真的实现了其宪法的承诺。

  第四,美国在前几十年中,把人才,精力,资金放在发展华尔街的经营中,虽造就了1%的富人,却形成了99%的“留守穷人”,这个成为美国的畸形发展和无法治愈的社会疼痛。而中国正好相反,在短短几十年中令7亿人口脱离贫困,让绝大多数人受到教育和基本医疗,并且是世界上唯一一个敢于承诺彻底消除贫困人群目标的国家。做到这一点,靠的可不是口号山响,而是靠的常年埋头苦干,是全民“撸起袖子,干起来”的必然结果。一句话,中国的成就,不是搭便车的结果,而是苦干实干真干巧干会干的结果。中国式的实干发展观,对美国和其它国家的示范,引领作用不可低估。

  特朗普在几十年中和中国人打交道的过程中,深知中国人的吃苦耐劳精神是推动国家进步的内在因素。最近中国反复强调的“空谈误国,实干兴邦”的精神令世界感动,是不足为奇的事实。

  我们欢迎美国能够实现真正的“和平演变”,能够和世界各国人民讨论问题和分歧,而不再咄咄逼人,或以武力相威胁,或以制裁相逼迫,世界将变得更加和平,和谐,和顺。

  中国是个开放国家,中国的经济发展为世界发展提供了最好的“顺风船”,中国欢迎包括美国在内的世界各国能够登上中国发展的“顺风船”,一路乘风破浪,克服颠簸,绕过暗礁,共同达到胜利彼岸。正如习近平主席所说的:“当前,最迫切的任务是引领世界经济走出困境。”谁演变谁并不重要,重要的是谁的发展理念,谁的发展政策,谁的发展规则能够“演变”世界。中国用几十年的勤奋努力,创造出了符合自身发展的完整理论,让世界获益。

  特朗普领导下的美国,不可能真正得到彻底的改变,在许多核心问题上甚至会出现反复,例如在处理对外贸易纠纷,处理货币汇率,海洋权益,甚至在某些领域过度使用保护政策,就会回到“损人利己”的老路上去。中国对此,应当有足够的政策准备,努力帮助美国的“和平演变”足够和平和持久。

  中国的“顺风船”足够大,容得下包括美国在内的真正寻求发展的国家,共同前行。

  (作者是中国人民大学重阳金融研究院高级研究员)
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