President Trump Faces Unprecedented Backlash

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 5 February 2017
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jake Eberts. Edited by Rachel Pott.
On Friday, Feb. 2, United States District Judge James Robart challenged President Trump’s executive order, which had halted the entrance of citizens into America from seven Islamic nations, and issued a restraining order that prohibited the very prohibition itself. Trump and the White House fiercely attacked the judge’s decision; however, America’s 50 states have already begun to cast aside the executive order. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security announced on Saturday, Feb. 4 that it would implement Judge Robart’s ruling.

Although the White House said that it would challenge Robart’s decision through the Department of Justice, the U.S. Court of Appeals on Sunday refused the department’s request to overturn Robart’s ruling.

With Trump’s alarming performance, he is in the process of upsetting the balance of the three branches of American government. He has suffered the most extensive array of initial setbacks in the courts of any new president in American history. The American checks and balances system is highly active, sounding the alarm through mutual coordination on the unyielding president’s restrictive measures.

The new president has lost even more ground in public opinion. Some anti-Trump joint signatory letters have already drawn significant attention, and opinion polls show more people are opposed to Trump than are supporting him. Yet Trump has only been in office for two weeks. Such a situation is unprecedented in American history. Mainstream American media criticism of Trump is growing harsher, and European media is all the more severe. The German weekly Der Spiegel’s cover illustration showed Trump as a butcher without eyes, holding the decapitated, bloody head of the Statue of Liberty.

Such an opening page for a newly-seated president is more or less disastrous, showing that forces from all over America are rising up. There is a latent danger that resistance to the president will have a domino effect. If this kind of conflict re-emerges, America will be heading for a grave constitutional crisis, at which point anything could happen.

The present situation appears to be telling Trump that if he wishes to manage the country in the same manner he did his business, with the entire government implementing his “dictatorial” orders, it will simply not be practicable. America does not exist for one certain goal or mode of thought; it is inevitably governed as a product of diverse powers and a compromise of interests. This is true on the international stage as well.

Without overwhelming popular support, the changes Trump wants to push forward are probably unattainable. His character may well have a negative impact on public opinion and fail to constitute a genuine force that can break through obstacles. Obama’s eight years were practically fruitless; the arduously assembled health care reform effort will still be upended by Trump. This is not to say Obama was weak, but more so that the American political system itself determined the outcome.

Trump seems to consistently believe that America and the rest of the world will buy into his ill temperedness; that as soon as he speaks and announces his position, the domestic and international powers that be will submit. In his companies this was the case, but having grabbed political power, it is an entirely different world. Judge Robart has taken an antagonistic lead against Trump; his rousing call truly did set in motion the necessary resistance to push back against Trump. The effective significance and inspiration to anti-Trump groups that this matter provided will prove to be greatly outside the norm.

Moreover, beyond his “temperament” and stark difference from the people, Trump also lacks any sort of special political capital. The actual portion of the popular vote he received falls short of one half, lower than that of Hillary Clinton, and the American elite have not been amenable to him even as he takes office. While he might not be a weak president, at the very least not while he stood on the inaugural platform, he still lacks the resources to be a strong one.

It is easy enough to pierce through the grandeur in which Trump has established himself. Robart’s challenge probably offers a lesson. The battle lines Trump drew at the beginning of his administration were far too broad, provoking core interests on all sides; resistance and protest were inevitable. Opponents of protest are growing weaker, and Trump is relatively more likely to lose; if he loses even once or twice, it will be difficult for many to accept the president’s authority.

We believe that in the present circumstances, if Trump seeks to open up another “battlefront” with China, like the one he opened before his ascent to office, he will have to do so after serious consideration. The Chinese must in turn make adequate preparations, lest Trump does aim the tip of his spear toward us, in which case we must confront him head on and not back down. But we need not stand in as prominent a place as the flag bearers of his detractors. If Trump grows too vexed with protest, he will gradually realize that China is a good partner for cooperation.


  美国联邦法官詹姆斯·罗巴特星期五挑战特朗普总统暂停7个伊斯兰国家公民入境美国的行政令,发出了对该禁令的禁令。特朗普和白宫猛烈抨击该法官的判决,然而美国各州开始将特朗普的行政令束之高阁,美国国土安全部星期六宣布执行罗巴特法官的判决。
  尽管白宫表示会通过美国司法部来回击罗巴特法官,但联邦上诉法院星期日驳回了司法部要求推翻罗巴特判决的要求。
  特朗普似乎正在输掉美国“三权分立”制衡体制这一惊魂般的演出,他遭到了美国历史上罕见的司法机构给予新总统的下马威。美国的权力制衡机制被充分激活了,对这位桀骜不驯总统的限制性措施正在呼啸出现,并有相互呼应之势。
新总统在舆论上输得更多,一些反特朗普的联署签名已经引起注意,民调显示反对总统的人已经高于其支持者的比例,而特朗普上任刚刚两周,这种情况在美国历史上绝无仅有。美国主流媒体对特朗普的抨击变本加厉,欧洲媒体更是同仇敌忾,德国《明镜》周刊的封面漫画甚至将特朗普画成没有眼睛、一手拎着用刀割下的血淋淋自由女神像头颅的屠夫。
  这样的开张对一位新总统来说差不多是灾难性的,它预示了美国各种力量“揭竿而起”、对总统的抵制出现“多米诺骨牌”效应的潜在风险。如果这样的斗争反复出现,美国就将走向严重宪政危机,到那时“什么都可能发生”。
  迄今的情况似乎在告诉特朗普,他想如同治理公司那样治理美国,整个行政体系无条件执行他这位“总裁”的指令,这是不现实的。美国不是为某个单一目标或者某种理想主义而存在的,它注定是多元力量和利益妥协的产物。到了国际上,情况也是一样的。
  除非有压倒性民意的坚定支持,特朗普要想在美国推动一项重大变化,大概做不到。他的个性更可能是供舆论消费的某种东西,而构不成突破障碍的真正力量。奥巴马8年任期几乎一事无成,好不容易要搞成的医改还被他特朗普推翻了,并不是因为奥巴马“懦弱”,而是美国的体制决定了这一局面。
  特朗普似乎一直相信,美国和世界都会买他“脾气”的账,他一说重话,表现出决心,国内外的力量都会害怕、屈从。在他的公司里,的确会是这样,但拿到政治领域,走向全美国和全世界,情况一定是大相径庭的。 罗巴特法官先带了一个与特朗普作对的头,他的振臂一呼真的就启动了抵制特朗普总统的逆向权力运转。这件事所提供的效仿意义和对反特朗普群体的心理鼓舞都将不同寻常。
  其实特朗普除了“脾气”与众不同之外,并没有什么特别的政治资源。他获得的实际普选票还不到选民总数的一半,低于希拉里,而且美国政治精英群体直到他上任,也不接受他。即使他不算“弱势总统”,他至少在刚上台的时候,并无做“强势总统”的资本。
  特朗普为自己营造的“气势”很容易被捅破,罗巴特的挑战大概提供了一个教训。特朗普上任伊始拉开的战线太长了,四处捅核心利益,遭到抵制和反抗是必然的。在那些对抗中,对手越低,相对于他来说越输得起,而他输一两次,都是总统权威的难以承受之重。
  相信在这种情况下,特朗普若要另外开启他在上任之前所预示的“中国战线”,需认真掂量。中国方面则应做好准备,一旦特朗普的锋芒真逼向我们,就坚决与他对峙,决不后退。但我们没必要站到与他对抗的“旗手”的突出位置。他的麻烦太多了,他会逐渐发现中国是“多么好的合作者”。

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