Xi Jinping Is Challenging Trump

Published in El País Brasil
(Brazil) on 21 May 2017
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Conor Lane. Edited by Margaret Dalzell.
Reactions to China’s still vague-on-details announcement regarding its proposed plan to commit major investments into the construction of a “New Silk Road,” which would link Europe, Asia and Africa, have been quite reticent.

China is seeking to usher in the largest infrastructure program in history by injecting close to 110 billion euro (404 billion reais and approximately $122 billion) into it — in addition to public and private investments that could reach $26 billion (85 billion reais and approximately $29 billion) — in order to cement a trade union among the three continents, which would allow for the construction of ports, railroads, highways and logistics platforms in 65 countries. This megalomaniacal project would, if completed, encompass a third of the global gross domestic product, and, according to the official Chinese narrative, guarantee global trade and cooperation.

Will it be possible to coordinate a project of this magnitude and complexity? Without the firm cooperation of Europe, Japan and the United States, probably not.

Brussels, Tokyo and Washington have interpreted Xi Jinping’s announcement as an attempt by Beijing to increase its influence in the world. China needs a physical conduit through which it can purchase primary materials and export its products. The Chinese leader’s assertions that the Asian giant doesn’t seek to “interfere in the affairs of other countries” are hard to believe; whoever controls the flow of investments — in particular in emerging, underdeveloped countries — certainly has a greater degree of influence in that sphere. It’s impossible to separate economic power from political influence.

But Xi Jinping has made a strategically intelligent move: Just because his global plan is hard to implement doesn’t mean that it isn’t capable of attractive investments. What’s more, he’s placed his political challenge out on the table: Beijing is responding to Trump’s protectionist rants with a program of its own that could come to symbolize the defense of globalization.

Global trade has been horror-struck by the [power] void; what China wants is to step in and compete with the United States in order to assume global economic leadership.


Xi Jinping desafia Trump

Editorial

21 Maio 2017

"Nova Rota da Seda proposta por Pequim aumentará a influência chinesa no comércio global."

O anúncio, ainda impreciso, do grande plano de investimentos proposto pela China para construir uma rota ligando a Europa, a Ásia e a África (a nova Rota da Seda) provocou reações muito reticentes. A China pretende realizar o maior programa de infraestrutura da História, injetando cerca de 110 bilhões de euros (404 bilhões de reais), mas com investimentos públicos e privados que podem chegar aos 26 bilhões de dólares (85 bilhões de reais) para selar a união comercial entre os três continentes com a construção de portos, ferrovias, estradas e plataformas logísticas em 65 países. O plano megalomaníaco englobaria um terço do PIB global e, segundo a versão oficial chinesa, garantiria a cooperação e o comércio do planeta.

É possível articular um projeto dessa envergadura e complexidade? Sem a colaboração decidida de Europa, Japão e Estados Unidos, provavelmente não. Bruxelas, Tóquio e Washington interpretam o anúncio de Xi Jinping como uma tentativa de aumentar a influência de Pequim no mundo. A China precisa de uma conexão física para comprar matéria-prima e exportar seus produtos. As afirmações do líder chinês de que o gigante asiático não pretende “interferir nos assuntos de outros países” são difíceis de acreditar. Quem controla o fluxo de investimentos aplicados, sobretudo em sociedades emergentes e pouco desenvolvidas, certamente tem o maior grau de influência nessa zona. É impossível separar o poder econômico da influência política.

Mas Xi Jinping fez um movimento estratégico inteligente. O fato de que o plano global seja complicado de implementar não significa que não tenha capacidade de atrair investimentos. Além disso, o desafio político já está sobre a mesa: Pequim responde às bravatas protecionistas de Trump com um programa que pode assumir um caráter de defesa da globalização. O comércio mundial tem horror ao vazio; a China quer preenchê-lo e competir com os EUA para assumir a liderança econômica mundial.
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