Washington

Published in El Periodico
(Spain) on 19 July 2017
by Joan Cañete Bayle (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Annabel Gill. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
Trump and his party have a relationship based solely on their mutual interest in power.

No matter how much the correspondents and analysts insist, there is a mistake that is often repeated when talking about U.S. policy: The game of majorities between Congress and the president is not like that in Europe. A Republican president, let's say Donald Trump, certainly benefits from having a Congress with a Republican majority, but it's not a toll-free highway like in European democracies. The system of checks and balances, the different electoral periods — two-year terms in the House of Representatives, and six-year terms in the Senate, though not renewed at the same time — and the local character of American politics accountable to districts and states, means the voter never automatically falls according to partisan lines. Hence the importance of a president and his team having a deep understanding of how Washington works.

Neither Trump nor his team has such an understanding. And, in addition, they recklessly display this. The president's inability to overthrow Obama's health care law, approved and even watered-down by a Democrat president with Republican majorities in Congress, is proof of Trump's political inability. But not only that. Trump was the outsider candidate of the Republican Party, but he became the party nominee and then the president, against all predictions. His is a relationship of interest: Trump takes advantage of his position, and he and the Republicans reached heights of power they never dreamed of, against all odds. But neither the president controls the party, nor does the party have influence over the president. Their relationship will continue as long as it benefits them, and not a minute more.

But interest is not enough to pass an unpopular law (which threatens re-election) or to unify a Republican Party with too many souls. Faced with the firm opposition of a Democratic candidate, Trump will merely take out his agenda and learn to treat his own party with the weapon that he claims to hate: Washington. But to do nothing is not political enough — he can’t just tweet.


Washington
Trump y su partido tienen una relación basada tan solo en el interés mutuo por el poder
Hay un error que, por mucho que los corresponsales y los analistas se empeñen, suele repetirse cuando se habla de la política estadounidense: el juego de mayorías entre el Congreso y el presidente no es como el europeo. A un presidente republicano, digamos que Donald Trump, sin duda le beneficia tener un Congreso con una mayoría republicana, pero no es una autopista sin peajes como en las democracias europeas. El sistema de checks and balance, los diferentes periodos electorales (legislaturas de dos años en la Cámara de Representantes, de seis, y sin renovarse al mismo tiempo, en el Senado), y el carácter local de la política estadounidense (los congresistas representan y rinden cuentas a distritos y estados) hacen que el voto nunca caiga automáticamente según las líneas partidistas. De ahí la importancia de que un presidente y su equipo tengan un profundo conocimiento de cómo funciona Washington.
Ni Trump ni su equipo lo tienen. Y, además, hacen temeraria gala de ello. La incapacidad del presidente para derrocar obamacare (aprobada, aunque fuera descafeinada, por un presidente demócrata con mayorías republicana en el Congreso) es una prueba de su incapacidad política. Pero no solo de ello. Trump fue el candidato outsider del Partido Republicano que se hizo, contra pronóstico, con la candidatura primero y la presidencia después. La suya es una relación de interés: Trump aprovecha su plataforma y los republicanos alcanzaron con él contra todo pronóstico cotas de poder que jamás soñaron. Pero ni el presidente controla el partido ni la formación tiene influencia sobre el presidente. Su relación continuará mientras les beneficie, ni un minuto más.
Pero el interés no basta para aprobar una ley impopular (lo que pone en peligro reelecciones) ni para unificar a un partido Republicano con demasiadas almas. Ante la firmeza opositora demócrata, Trump solo sacará su agenda si aprende a tratar a su propio partido con las armas de lo que dice detestar: Washington. Pero para ello hace falta hacer política, no solo tuitear.
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