Trump-Xi Meeting: Why Did the United States and China Report It Differently?

Published in Radio Free Asia
(China) on 5 Dec 2018
by Wei Pu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jessica Yu. Edited by Eric Stimson.
The Group of 20 Summit of leading rich and developing nations that had been in the world spotlight had wrapped up. Donald Trump and Xi Jinping had shaken hands. The whole world was relieved, as there was finally no need to worry that the sudden changes in U.S. tariffs on Jan. 1 of next year would trigger a global storm.
There was continuous news about the meeting between Trump and Xi. White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi released statements respectively, and both said the meeting was highly successful but the two statements were hardly the same. So, sharp-eyed Bloomberg News was suspicious, and asked, why did the U.S. and China have different versions of the meeting?
Let us first look at how the U.S. and Chinese statements differed. The United States indicated that if no agreement were reached within the next 90 days, the tariff would rise to 25 percent, while Beijing did not mention the 90-day deadline. The United States said China would e immediately purchase agricultural products from the United States, and Xi Jinping would reconsider the approval of the Qualcomm-NXP merger. the Chinese side did not mention it. The Chinese statement did not mention these conditions. The Chinese talked about the One China policy, market access and Chinese international students, none of which the U.S. mentioned.
Some people say there is no need to make a fuss the statements issued separately are inconsistent. I do not agree with this point, as there are reasons that the statements do not match.
First, from the Chinese perspective, U.S.-China trade issues in mainland China are a politically sensitive topic. . The Communist Party of China does not allow people to discuss trade issues publicly, something I learned from some friends in mainland China. Several influential experts and scholars within and outside the system have been banned from talking. The CPC is trying to control how news about the Trump-Xi meeting is disclosed and interpreted.
Second, China was not willing to have Chinese people know that it was forced to make big concession. China did not want its people to know they were only able to get a 90-day delay by promising to buy $1.2 trillion worth of American products. The CPC hopes that in the eyes of its people, China is still a rising power and a strong country, and that Xi is still a powerful leader.
Third, with respect to the specific agreements reached at the meeting, by talking about it in general terms, avoiding the main points and just mentioning unimportant issues, the CPC highlighted the areas that were beneficial to China and understated the areas which were not.
Based on the parts of the meeting disclosed by the United States and China, the issue which China played down the most was the fact that the United States pushed China to begin immediate negotiations regarding forced technology transfer, intellectual property protection, non-tariff barriers, cyber intrusions and cyber theft. China mentioned that the United States and China will work together to reach consensus on trade issues. China also downplayed the fact that when the U.S. claimed China would purchase substantial amounts of agricultural products energy, industrial goods and other materials from the United States, China stated that it would be willing to expand imports according to the needs of the domestic market and the Chinese people, including the purchase of marketable goods from the United States.
Despite this, the China still believes that it has won. Bloomberg News and The Wall Street Journal reported that Xi was most concerned about whether the U.S. would l adjust the tariff from the current rate of 10 percent to 25 percent on Jan. 1 of next year. Now he can feel relieved. China has 90 additional days to decide how far it will go to make concessions to the United States. Therefore, it does make some sense that Xi believes he has won.
From the United States’ perspective, the 90-day delay was good news for all parties. The big rise in the American and global stock markets on Monday was evidence of this.
Interestingly, Trump had been unsure about postponing the 25 percent tariff before the G-20 summit. Why, then, did he do so?
He did so because Trump himself really needed good news. The Financial Times said that Trump has had nothing but bad new back in the United States, so he would be looking for a victory. This is especially so in light of the Russia investigation conducted by Special Counsel Robert Mueller, whose work has already led many of Trump’s close confidents to plead guilty and cooperate with the Mueller team.
Trump also believes he won. He described the trade war truce as "the largest deal ever, "on his way back from the G-20 summit. It’s an incredible deal. It goes down, certainly — if it happens, it goes down as one of the largest deals ever made."
White House trade adviser Peter Navarro added, “The U.S didn't make any concession in the Trump - Xi meeting, it just gave China 90 days, to do what they should have done during past 20 years."*
This is interesting. Both Xi and Trump think they have won!
In my opinion, the U.S giving in to a 90-day delay is just an intermission. If the deep problems with China’s economic structure are not resolved, the conflict between the United States and China will continue to grown, . But the serious problems with China’s economic structure will be very difficult to resolve as long as the Communist Party is in power.
*Editor’s note: Although accurately translated, the quoted remarks could not be independently verified.


【未普评论】特习会谈,美中两国为何各说各话?
令人瞩目的G20峰会拉下帷幕,特朗普和习近平握手言欢。全球如释重负,终于不需担心,明年1月1日美对中关税的骤变会引发全球风暴。

特习会后,消息不断释出。白宫新闻秘书桑德斯(Sarah Huckabee Sanders)和中国外交部长王毅各自发布声明,都说特习会谈「非常成功」,可是两国的声明内容却鲜有一致的地方。眼尖的彭博新闻社于是「不疑处有疑」地问:为何美中两国各说各话?

我们先来看看,美中两国在哪些方面各说各话?美国列出,如在未来90天内未达成协议,关税将升至25%,而北京方面未提90天截止日期。美方提出的关于中国立即购买美国农产品、习近平将重新考虑审批高通并购案等,中方没有提及。而中方提出的一个中国政策、市场准入,中国留学生等,美方没有提及。

有人说,双方各发声明,内容不一致,无须大惊小怪。对这种说法,笔者不以为然。美中两国各说各话自有缘由。

从中国方面看,第一,美中贸易问题在大陆成了政治敏感话题,中共不准民众妄议。笔者从国内众朋友处得知,中共不许民众公开谈论这个话题,一些体制内和体制外有影响力的专家和学者都被封口。中共试图就此垄断对特习会谈的披露和解读的权力。

第二,中国方面不想让民众知道,中国被迫做出了很大让步。他们不想让中国人民知道,他们承诺1.2万亿美元大量购买美货,只换来了90天。中共希望在民众眼里,中国仍然是一个崛起的大国、强国,习近平仍然是一个强人领袖。因此,中国方面把特习会谈宣传成是特朗普作出的重大让步。

第三,特习会谈的具体条款,中共用大而化之,避重就轻,轻描淡写等方式,最大限度地突出对自己有利的地方,淡化对自己不利的地方。

从美中两国披露的会谈内容看,中国方面最想避重就轻的问题是,美国要中国立即就强制技术转让、智慧财产权保护、非关税壁垒和网路盗窃进行谈判,而中国则虚晃一枪,称「美中两国将共同努力就贸易问题达成共识」。中国声明中最轻描淡写的是,美方称中国将购买「非常大量」的农产品、能源、工业和其他产品,而中方称,愿意根据国内市场和人民的需要扩大进口,包括从美国购买适销对路的商品。

尽管如此,中国方面还是认为自己赢了。从彭博新闻社和《华尔街日报》看,习近平最在乎美方会不会在明年1月1日把关税从现在的10%调到25%。现在他可以松一口气了,中国多了90天的时间来决定到底向美方让步到甚么程度。因此他认为自己赢了,也算有一、两分道理。

从美国方面看,推迟90天对各方而言都是利多的好消息,周一美国股市和全球股市大涨就是明证。

有意思的是,特朗普在参加G20峰会前一直不确定,他是否会推迟征收25%关税的时间。那么,他为甚么这样做了?

因为特朗普本人实在需要好消息。《金融时报》称,特朗普在国内全是坏消息,「所以他会期待取得一个胜利,」特别是特别检察官穆勒(Robert S. Mueller)对通俄案的调查,已经引得特朗普的众多亲信助手选择和穆勒团队认罪合作。

特朗普认为自己赢了。他形容美中暂停贸易战协议是「有史以来最大的惊人协议」。特朗普结束G20峰会返回马里兰州的途中说:「这是个惊人协议,如果顺利执行,若真的发生,将会成为史上最大协议之一。」

白宫国家贸易委员会主任纳瓦罗(Peter Navarro)进而补充,美方在特习会上没有做出任何让步,只是给了中国90天时间,让他们去做过去20年来早就该做的事情而已。

这真是有趣,习近平和特朗普都认为自己赢了!

而我的看法是,美方释出90天宽限期只是剧场休息。中国经济结构的深层问题如果不解决,美中双方的冲突会不断扩大。而中国经济结构的深层问题,只要是当共产党执政,就很难解决。
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