Numbers Are Clear: The Economy Is Soaring and Trump Could Win


“Drain the swamp.” Donald Trump promised during his entire presidential campaign. The swamp to be drained wasn’t just the political-financial swamp of the Democratic elites, but above all, the river in which many American citizens had ended up due to the economic crisis.

Just read the statistics: the promises have been kept. In the West, it is clear enough to everyone that the United States and its primacy are back. The theorists of multilateralism – according to whom world geopolitics would have witnessed a hierarchical leveling between six to seven emerging commercial powers from the Great Recession of 2010 onward – cannot fail to notice how the game today is mostly between the United States and the People’s Republic of China.

In November 2020 we will know if American citizens share the same perception. Let’s start with employment data. The last complete figure refers to 2018: The increase in registered jobs is equal to more than 2.64 on a percentage basis. However, it is a number that must be interpreted in light of a general trend, which merely confirms what in literature is called “economic growth.” Within this article you can learn the details of the entire cross section. Then there are the Wall Street records, which have never before boasted such performances as they have under this presidency.

In short, discussions are useful as long as the numbers allow, then it becomes a matter of proving a concept. Trump has adopted Reagan or Keynesian policies, but they are nominalist details. The common thread, as highlighted in another article in Il Giorno written by Cesare De Carlo, is that economic fundamentals suggest that Trump can be reelected in spite of those who considered his election an unexpected historical event. Let’s understand that the Democrats are doing the best they can.

The primaries, which will begin in January 2020 with the Iowa caucuses, will allow voters to choose for real. This time there is no designated winner. There is no Hillary Clinton before whom everyone is forced to bow. Joe Biden is the candidate of the establishment. He has the advantage, though people may overestimate him because of his political history. It is paradoxical, but the tycoon could have more difficulty facing either Bernie Sanders or Pete Buttigieg.

Barack Obama’s former vice president is too tied into the Democratic apparatus that American citizens rejected almost four years ago. Biden, who is aware of this, has asked history’s first African American president not to support him too openly. Biden has declared that he must win on his own merits, but the truth is something else: He wants to avoid being compared to those who, after all, have already been defeated by the populist magnate.

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