Trump Reloaded

Published in Eje Central
(Mexico) on 2 May 2019
by Luis M. Cruz (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Vogel. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
1.

With the entry of Delaware senator and former Vice-President Joe Biden into the arena, the presidential race in our neighboring country promises a huge confrontation, power to power, between the Democrats and the Republicans.

No wonder. So far, President Donald Trump has overcome everyone in his rise to power, having benefited from the illegal activity of the Russians and their representatives in discrediting the campaign of his opponent, Hillary Clinton. He emerged unscathed from the investigation by Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who strangely was not able to provide documentary evidence of the elephant in the room, visible in the Russian connection, through dealings with emissaries and spies, the investigation leading to the conviction of campaign manager Paul Manafort, the meetings in the Trump Tower with members of his family, the firing of FBI Director James Comey for not being cooperative, the split with attorney Michael Cohen for payoffs to certain extramarital partners, and a long list of et ceteras.

2.

There all form a constellation of abuses and irregularities that, in the non-social media era, would surely have merited impeachment. Therefore, if the imperial presidency has demonstrated anything, it is a lack of respect for the Constitution and the laws when they conflict with the delirium of power.

This is different from the era of Richard Nixon or Bill Clinton – who both faced impeachment – because then, the press and electronic media were truly the Fourth Estate, which directed public opinion and constituted the guide for political behavior.

3.

Now, however, the social media, with its high speed and pervasiveness, and dominated by whoever has the most time and certain resources for disinformation and distortions of reality, surrender to someone like President Trump – skilled at managing post-truth and “alternative facts,” whose Twitter account is well aimed and scathing – who discredits and demolishes anyone he has to confront. Combined with the alliance between the dominant Wall Street consortia and those industries threatened by clean technology, Trump struts around as the defender of a United States threatened by open borders and free trade.

Nationalist protectionism, which uses the slogan “Make America Great Again” to encourage the persecution of immigrants and the extortion of Mexico, gave him his current electoral base, between 35% and 40% of the possible vote.

4.

In light of that situation, the Democrats face various challenges. First, they must emerge united from the primary elections which have already begun. According to a survey from RealClearPolitics, of the 20 aspiring candidates, at least five have what it takes to fight for the nomination. Seventy-six-year-old Joe Biden has the Obama glow, with 30% of the possible vote. He is followed by Bernie Sanders, the senator from Vermont, and glorified as the choice of young voters. Further behind are Sen. Kamala Harris from California, with 8.3% of the vote, Sen. Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts with 6.5%, and the popular Beto O’Rourke, who came close to defeating the Republican Ted Cruz in Texas, with 6.3%.

5.

The second challenge in resolving the primary unknowns will be constructing a platform that can withstand the venom and corrosion that Trump breathes into social media. It seems unlikely that Congress will vote for impeachment for obstructing justice — which is what the Mueller report successfully demonstrated. So, for this reason the contest will be about whether Trump deserves to continue his presidency. This is what Biden, Sanders, Harris, Warren, O’Rourke and other Democrats will have to confront: whether they allow their country to remain in its current medieval shadow, or return it to being a nation capable of propelling the world with humanism, innovation, skills, and setting an example.


1.
Con la entrada al ruedo del exvicepresidente de Estados Unidos y exsenador por Delaware, Joe Biden, la carrera presidencial en el vecino país augura una gran confrontación, de poder a poder entre los demócratas y los republicanos.

No es para menos. El presidente Trump ha superado hasta ahora a todos en su ascenso al poder, cuando se benefició del actuar ilegal de rusos y personeros para envilecer la campaña electoral contra Hillary Clinton; logró salir incólume de la investigación del fiscal especial Robert Mueller, quien insólitamente no logró documentar los elefantes en la sala, visibles en la conexión rusa, desde tratos con emisarios y espías; la condena por ello al coordinador de la campaña, Paul Manafort, las reuniones en la Torre Trump con miembros de su familia, el despido del director del FBI, James Comey, por no serle amigable, la ruptura con el abogado Michael Cohen por el pago de compensaciones económicas a ciertas relaciones extramaritales y una larga lista de etcéteras.
2.
Toda una constelación de afrentas e irregularidades que en tiempos diferentes a los de las redes sociales habrían ameritado seguramente el juicio de destitución o impeachment, pues si algo ha mostrado la presidencia imperial es que no respeta la Constitución ni las leyes en tanto se opongan al delirio del poder. La diferencia con los tiempos de Richard Nixon o de Bill Clinton, ambos en riesgo de destitución, es que entonces la prensa y los medios electrónicos eran verdaderamente el cuarto poder que orientaba la opinión pública y constituía la guía para el actuar en la política.
3.
Ahora, sin embargo, la inmediatez y generalidad de las redes sociales, dominables por quien dispone de más tiempo y ciertos recursos para desinformar y distorsionar la realidad, conceden a alguien como el presidente Trump —hábil en el manejo de la posverdad y los hechos alternativos, cuyo Twiter es certero y lapidario— desacreditar y derribar a quienes debe enfrentar.
Combinado con la alianza construida con los consorcios empresariales dominantes en Wall Street y las industrias amenazadas por tecnologías limpias, Trump se placea como el defensor de los estadounidenses amenazados por las fronteras abiertas y el libre comercio.
El proteccionismo nacionalista que alienta con su lema ”hacer grande a América otra vez”, la persecución a migrantes y la extorsión a México le dan lo que tiene en su base electoral, entre 35 y 40% de los votos probables.
4.
Ante ello, los demócratas enfrentan varios retos. El primero, salir unidos de las elecciones primarias que han empezado ya. Según la encuesta de RearClearPolitics, de la veintena de aspirantes, al menos cinco tienen con qué disputar la candidatura; Joe Biden, de 76 años cuenta con el brillo de Obama, con 30% de posibilidades; le sigue Bernie Sanders, senador por Vermont y glorificado como la opción de los jóvenes; más lejos están la senadora por California, Kamala Harris, con 8.3%; con 6.5% la también senadora por Massachussets, Elizabeth Warren, y el popular Beto O’Rourke, quien estuvo cerca de vencer en Texas al republicano Ted Cruz, con 6.3%.


5.
De resolver la incógnita de las primarias, el segundo reto será construir una plataforma capaz de resistir el veneno y la corrosión que Trump insufla en las redes. Parece poco probable que el Congreso vaya al juicio de destitución por obstrucción de la justicia, que es lo que sí logra demostrar el Informe Mueller, por lo que la contienda presidencial habrá de darse en torno a si Trump merece seguir o no en la Presidencia. Es lo que Biden, Sanders, Harris, Warren, O’Rourke y otros demócratas tendrán ante sí: dejar a su país en el medioevo oscurantista actual o ir una vez más por una nación capaz de impulsar al mundo con humanismo, innovación, capacidades y ejemplo a seguir.
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