The New NAFTA and Its Significance

Published in Excelsior
(Mexico) on 22 June 2019
by Julio Faesler (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Vogel. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
The path has already been cleared. The Mexican Senate has authorized the North American Free Trade Agreement II, which President Donald Trump rechristened as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement. The prior agreement will continue until the new treaty goes into effect, which depends on its ratification by the other two parties.

Although the Democratic Party in the United States, which opposes the current administration, wants to postpone the process, North American industrial and financial interests favor the treaty and they will prevail.

The changes that Democrats want regarding environmental and labor issues could change the text approved by the Mexican Senate, but adding supplements or parallel agreements regarding these matters would resolve the problem adequately. The new treaty appears on an international scene full of political, economic and social contradictions.

President Trump, proclaiming “America First,” withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership under the flag of self-sufficiency and the rejection of multilateral instruments of any type. In contrast, the strategic advantage of consolidating a multifaceted regional force firmly attached to its purposes explains why Trump promotes the continuation of NAFTA in a new version, in spite of all his rhetorical condemnation in his election campaign.

It is wise to mention that there are considerations related to Mexico’s interests:

NAFTA II seeks to merge goals by harmonizing regulations regarding trade and investment. The uniformity of salaries in certain automotive manufacturing sectors and regulations on pharmaceutical issues go side-by-side with the U.S. interest in dominating the continental grain market. Combining the components of our development with the interests of the U.S. is at the center of their conception of NAFTA II.

The agreement includes a disguised policy element that assumes Mexico will inform our partners of any intention to sign an agreement with a country that does not respect the norms of free trade. The U.S. has already taken advantage of tariff issues in the delicate immigration problem, not to resolve those issues but certainly to use them as leverage in our immigration policy, which is contrary to U.S. policy, as President Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador has already noted.

Identifying ourselves in symbiosis with the development and growth of the U.S. does not have to be our destiny. The U.S. has its own agenda, definitely conceived and directed at extending and strengthening its hegemony.

Furthermore, NAFTA II underlines the clear evolution, since 1994, toward undermining our Latin American historical vision. Placing Mexico in North America does not mean that this document chains our perspective to the economic interests of the other two countries that we share the continent with.

Given the reality that the U.S. path does not completely coincide with the Mexican attitude, which is oriented toward what best contributes to international harmony, the U.S. president must know that Mexico does not feel obligated by NAFTA II to agree at all times with Washington’s decisions on matters of regional or international cooperation.

Relationships with Europe on environmental issues, strategies to mitigate immigration challenges and fighting crime syndicates are separate issues. Our international relationships respond to our own viewpoint.

The attitude of President Lopez Obrador is surprising in that he does not take any issue with the insults and broadsides that President Trump has launched against Mexico. To everyone’s amazement, Lopez Obrador has said on numerous occasions that he does not see any reason to be angry at these. Our president's evangelical passivity diametrically contrasts with the reaction that was expected when he was inaugurated.

Some people within our government could go along with the idea that the new NAFTA is one more step in the direction of a true North American community. It must be very clear that NAFTA II is only a trade agreement, expanded as desired, but anchored in the subject that is proper to it.



Ya se dio el paso. El Senado mexicano ya refrendó el TLCAN II que el presidente Trump rebautizó como T-MEC. Su antecesor sigue vigente hasta la entrada en vigor del nuevo, lo que depende de su ratificación por nuestros dos socios.
Aunque el partido opositor demócrata de Estados Unidos desea aplazar el proceso, prevalecerán los intereses industriales y financieros norteamericanos que son favorables al tratado.
Los ajustes que los demócratas quieren en materia ambiental y laboral podrían modificar el texto aprobado en el Senado mexicano, pero bastaría añadir suplementos o acuerdos “paralelos” sobre esos temas para resolver el problema. El nuevo tratado aparece en un escenario internacional repleto de contradicciones políticas, económicas y sociales.
En contraste con la bandera de autosuficiencia y rechazo a instrumentos multilaterales de todo tipo, donde el presidente Trump retira a su país del Tratado Transpacífico y proclama America First, la conveniencia estratégica de consolidar una fuerza regional multifacética firmemente adicta a sus propósitos, explica que Trump promueva, pese a todas sus condenas retóricas de campaña electoral, la continuación del TLCAN en una nueva versión.
Hay consideraciones que atañen a los intereses de México que es prudente mencionar:
El TLCAN II procura la fusión de propósitos al armonizar disposiciones en materia de comercio e inversiones. La uniformidad de salarios en ciertos sectores de manufacturas automotrices, las disposiciones en materia farmacéutica van al lado del interés norteamericano en dominar un mercado continental de granos. La suma de componentes de nuestro desarrollo a los intereses de Estados Unidos está al centro de la concepción misma del TLCAN II.
Un disfrazado elemento político está en el compromiso que se asume de informar a nuestros socios de cualquier intención de suscribir un acuerdo con algún país que no respete las normas del libre comercio. Estados Unidos ya se valió de cuestiones arancelarias en la delicada problemática migratoria, no para ayudar a resolverlas, sino como palanca para forzar nuestra acción en nuestra política migratoria contraria, por cierto, a la que había marcado el presidente López Obrador.
Nuestro destino no ha de ser el de identificarnos en una simbiosis con el desarrollo y crecimiento norteamericano que tiene su propia agenda concebida y dirigida, por cierto, para extender y fortalecer su hegemonía.
Además de lo anterior, el TLCAN II subraya la clara evolución que desde 1994 viene subvirtiendo nuestra visión histórica latinoamericana. La ubicación de México en Norteamérica no significa que estemos anclados por ese documento a las perspectivas de los intereses económicos propios de los otros dos países con los que compartimos el continente.
Ante la realidad de que el camino estadunidense no coincide en todos sus puntos con la manera de pensar mexicana orientada hacia la mejor contribución a la concordia internacional, el presidente norteamericano debe saber que México no se siente obligado por el TLCAN II a coincidir siempre con las decisiones de Washington en asuntos de cooperación regional o internacional.
Las relaciones con Europa en materia ambiental, las estrategias para mitigar los retos migratorios o para el combate contra las mafias son temas distintos. Nuestras relaciones internacionales responden a nuestra propia óptica.
Sorprende la actitud del Presidente de la República de no hacer cuestión alguna ante la andanada de insultos y desprecios lanzada contra México por el presidente Trump. Para sorpresa de todos, López Obrador ha expresado muchas veces que de ninguna manera encontraba en ellas razón de enojo. La evangélica pasividad de nuestro Presidente contrasta diametralmente con la reacción que se esperaba de su investidura.
Algunas personas dentro de nuestro gobierno podrían simpatizar con que el nuevo TLCAN fuera un paso más en dirección a una verdadera comunidad norteamericana. Debe tenerse muy claro que el TLCAN II sólo es un acuerdo comercial, ampliado si se quiere, pero anclado en el tema que le es propio.
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