US Presidential Election: Competition for Return to Harmony

Published in Chugoku Shimbun
(Japan) on 28 August 2020
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Dorothy Phoenix. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
There are 70 days until the Nov. 3 presidential election. Now that the Democratic presidential and vice presidential candidates have been formally nominated to challenge incumbent Republican President Donald Trump, the upcoming showdown is heating up.

The U.S. is a powerful nation, with its leading global economy and military, and it has forged a close relationship with Japan in a wide range of areas, including economics, culture, and military security guarantees.

The Development of Usable Nuclear Weapons

In the four years since Trump shocked the world by winning the presidential election, the U.S. has touted an "America first" doctrine, and has moved away from a policy of international cooperation. The United States’ withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, aimed at stemming global warming, is emblematic of this position. As for the person who is entrusted with leadership in the next four years, the choice of American citizens will deeply impact all of us.

From the perspective of Hiroshima, which was devastated by nuclear weapons, the Trump administration must not be allowed to pursue its nuclear policy. The role of nuclear weapons has expanded from being limited to a means of deterrence and counterstrike to the promotion of smaller scale, "usable" nuclear weapons. There are also new guidelines for the use of these weapons in actual combat.

The U.S. has withdrawn from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia, and a groundbreaking pact that, for the first time in history established a total ban on certain types of nuclear weapons, was left to expire. At present, the only treaty that remains with Russia regarding nuclear disarmament is the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, which is set to expire next February.

The U.S. seemingly wants to a cultivate a multinational framework for disarmament, but the reality is that it is competing with other countries, including China, in a race for nuclear weapons expansion and military buildup.

There is also continual doubt about policies concerning the unstable Middle East. While the U.S. arbitrarily pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal, which imposed a definite curtailment of Iran's nuclear development activities, the U.S. continues to excessively back Israel, a nuclear power. Why doesn't the U.S. realize the peril of its actions in this region?

Acceleration or Restraint?

Within America, the division of society based on racial discrimination has deepened more than ever. Will this course of events accelerate, or will it be checked? The choices are clear.

The Democratic presidential candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden, is aiming for party solidarity. To this end, he has adopted left-leaning tenets into his policy proposals, such as raising the minimum wage and easing the burden of student loan debt. It appears that he has learned the lesson from the Democrats' defeat four years ago, in which the party failed to bridge an internal gap between moderates and the left.

Sen. Kamala Harris, a Black woman of Asian descent, is the Democratic vice presidential candidate. This choice of a diverse candidate clearly indicates that party is focused on defeating President Trump, who has been criticized for fanning the flames of discrimination.

Moreover, Biden has criticized the current administration as bringing a "season of darkness" over America in the face of racial antagonism and deepening social division. This language and these actions indicate that the party intends to seek harmony and reconciliation for the American people. In reality, police violence against Black people, including brutal killings, has been seemingly endless. It is reasonable to frame eliminating racial discrimination as a key issue.

With the goal of restoring American leadership, Biden is calling for a return to the Paris climate agreement and repairing relationships with allies. It seems that to some extent he will inherit America’s current confrontational position with respect to China, which has conspicuously repressed freedom in Hong Kong and expanded its military. Biden intends to take a strong stand on issues such as the theft of intellectual property and military activity in the South China Sea.

The Concerning Habit of Making Verbal Gaffes

Currently, Biden is leading in the approval ratings. But there are some places for concern. The biggest concern is his age. If he is elected, he will be, at 78 years old, the oldest person in history to take office. He also has a potentially problematic habit of verbal gaffes, and thus, there's an uncertainty about future slipups that can't be ignored. Even though he has earned widespread support, he does not have many enthusiastic supporters, and the irony is that most of his support depends on a hodgepodge of halfhearted backers.

In contrast, Trump is emphasizing a track record of favorable markets and hard-line immigration policy. Regarding China, he has blamed the country for the spread of COVID-19, and has stated that he intends to bring back 1 million manufacturing jobs from China.

Trump has criticized Biden as a "puppet of the radical left," and Trump's reelection bid is strongly backed by a solid conservative voter base.

Three candidate debates are scheduled beginning at the end of September. The presidential debates of four years ago, which degenerated into a volley of personal attacks, were panned by one major American newspaper as being part of the basest election campaign in history. To avoid another such performance, the candidates must run on policy. At a time when social divisions continue and international cooperation stands out among great divides, what should be done? The debates must address concrete plans.


米大統領選 融和取り戻す政策競え

11月3日投票の米国大統領選まで70日を切った。共和党現職のトランプ氏に挑む民主党の正副大統領候補が正式に決まり、対決は熱を帯びてきた。

 米国は世界有数の経済・軍事大国であり、日本とも経済や文化、安全保障など幅広い分野で密接な関係を結んでいる。

 ▽「使える核」開発

 世界に衝撃を与えたトランプ氏当選からこの4年間、米国は「自国第一主義」を掲げ、国際協調に背を向けてきた。その象徴が温暖化防止に向けた「パリ協定」からの離脱だろう。次の4年間のかじ取りを誰に託すのか、米国民の選択は私たちにも深く関わってくる。

 被爆地広島から見れば、トランプ政権の核政策は到底許せない。核攻撃の抑止と反撃に限っていた核兵器の役割を広げて、「使える核」として小型核の開発を推進。実戦使用を想定した作戦の新指針もまとめた。

 ロシアと結んでいた中距離核戦力(INF)廃棄条約から離脱し、史上初めて特定分野の核兵器全廃を定めた画期的な条約を失効に追い込んだ。今やロシアとの間の核軍縮関連条約は新戦略兵器削減条約(新START)を残すだけ。それも来年2月には期限が切れる。

 多国間の軍縮枠組みづくりに意欲は見せるが、中国も含めて核軍拡や軍備増強を競い合っているのが実情だと言えよう。

 不安定な中東を巡る政策も疑問が消えない。イランの核開発に一定の歯止めをかけた「核合意」から一方的に離脱、核保有国であるイスラエルには過度の肩入れをしている。地域の危うさを増していることに、なぜ気が付かないのだろうか。

 ▽加速か歯止めか

 米国内では、人種や性別による社会の分断が一層深まった。この流れをさらに加速させるのか、それとも歯止めをかけるのか。選択肢は、はっきりしている。

 民主党の大統領候補に選ばれたバイデン前副大統領は、党内結束を目指す。そのため最低賃金引き上げや学生ローン返済の負担緩和といった左派の主張の一部を政策に取り入れた。党内の中道派と左派の溝が埋まらず敗北した4年前の教訓を生かそうとしているのだろう。

 副大統領候補には、アジア系で黒人の女性ハリス上院議員を指名した。多様性のある人を選ぶことで、差別をあおっているとの批判を受けるトランプ氏との対立軸が鮮明になった。

 さらに、人種対立や社会の分断が進んだ今の米国は「暗黒の時」だと現政権を批判。自らは国民の融和に努める考えを示した。実際、黒人暴行死事件をはじめ警官らによる黒人への過剰な暴力が後を絶たない。差別解消を重視するのは当然だろう。

 バイデン氏は、国際的には米国の指導力回復を目指し、パリ協定復帰や同盟関係の修復を訴えている。香港の自由抑圧や軍備増強の目立つ中国への対決姿勢は、ある程度引き継ぐ考えだ。知的財産の窃盗や南シナ海での軍事活動に強い姿勢で立ち向かう、としている。

 ▽失言癖気掛かり

 今はバイデン氏が支持率でリードしている。しかし気掛かりな点も多い。何より年齢だ。当選すれば歴代最高齢の78歳での就任となる。失言癖もあり、先行き不安は拭えない。幅広い支持を得ているが、熱狂的な人は少なく、消極的支持による寄り合い所帯とも皮肉られる。

 対するトランプ氏は、好調な株価や強硬な移民政策を実績として強調。中国に対しては、ウイルスを拡散させた責任を取らせ、100万人分の製造業の雇用を取り戻すと訴えている。

 バイデン氏については「過激な左派に操られている」と非難。強固な支持基盤である保守層固めに走っている。

 9月末からは、候補者同士の討論会が3回予定されている。4年前の前回は、個人攻撃の応酬で「史上最低の選挙戦」と米国の主要紙に評された。そうならないよう、政策で競い合わなければならない。分断が進んだ社会や、ほころびの目立つ国際協調をどうするのか。具体策を基にした論戦が求められる。
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