Chest-Thumping and Missile Launches Will Change Nothing for North Korea

Published in Mainichi Shimbun
(Japan) on 26 March 2021
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Joseph Santiago. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Yesterday, for the first time since March of last year and since President Joe Biden took office in January, North Korea fired multiple ballistic missiles into the Sea of Japan, surely as a show of force to the new administration, which is currently reviewing America’s policy toward the country. This is in clear violation to the United Nations Security Council’s resolution barring the launch of such missiles by North Korea.

Just five days prior, short-range cruise missiles were also launched as the Biden administration carefully monitored the situation. Though not a violation of said resolution, this, too, is an alarming development. While former President Donald Trump may have turned a blind eye due to their inability to reach the continental United States, these cruise missiles could cause devastation in Japan or South Korea. It seems as though North Korea is ramping up the extent of its provocations to see how Biden, who has promised to uphold America’s alliances, responds.

At the 8th Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea in January, officials dubbed America “Enemy #1,” promising to build up North Korea’s nuclear capabilities, in addition to developing nuclear submarines, hypersonic glide vehicles and other infeasible, cutting-edge weapons, all to convince the world of the power North Korea possesses.

The party also continues trying to drive a wedge in the American-Japanese-South Korean axis. When the U.S. and South Korea held joint military exercises for the first time in two years this spring, Kim Yo Jong, the younger sister of North Korea’s supreme leader Kim Jong Un, condemned the South. Avoiding direct criticism of America, Kim’s reiteration of the North’s long-standing desire to repair relations with the South was a clear attempt at shaking Moon Jae-in’s government. Japan, America and South Korea must maintain strong relations to prevent North Korea from gaining leverage.

Aiming to strengthen his power base, Kim is trying to improve the lot of North Korea’s citizens. Reality, however, is very grim. On top of sanctions over the country’s development of nuclear missiles, COVID-19 regulations have cut off international trade, furthering the country's seclusion. In reviewing America’s policy toward North Korea, the Biden administration has tried to take a diplomatic approach and open talks. As of yet, North Korea hasn’t accepted. These talks, however, are the only way for the country to resolve its nuclear issues and emerge from international isolation. Kim Jong Un must redress the state of his country, as these repeated provocations will get him nowhere.


北朝鮮がきのう、日本海へ向けて弾道ミサイルを発射した。昨年3月以来で、今年1月の米バイデン政権発足後初めてだ。

 バイデン政権は対北朝鮮政策の見直しを進めている。発射には、米国をけん制する狙いがあるのだろう。

 国連安全保障理事会の決議は、すべての弾道ミサイル発射を北朝鮮に禁じている。発射は明白な違反行為である。


 5日前にも短距離巡航ミサイルを発射したが、バイデン政権は静観した。安保理決議違反ではないが、危険な挑発だ。

 北朝鮮の短距離弾道ミサイルは日韓にとっては脅威だが、トランプ前米大統領は米本土には届かないと問題視しなかった。北朝鮮は同盟重視を掲げるバイデン政権の反応を見ながら、挑発の度合いを少しずつ高めているようだ。


 1月の朝鮮労働党大会では米国を「主敵」と呼び、核戦力の増強に加え、原子力潜水艦や極超音速滑空兵器を開発すると主張した。実現可能性の低い最新型兵器まで並べ立てたのは、自らが脅威であるとアピールするためだ。

 日米韓の連携にくさびを打ち込もうとする動きも続けている。

 春の米韓合同軍事演習が2年ぶりに実施されると、金正恩(キムジョンウン)総書記の妹である金与正(キムヨジョン)氏が韓国を非難する談話を発表した。直接的な対米批判は避けており、南北関係改善を宿願とする韓国の文在寅政権を揺さぶる意図は明白だ。


 日米韓3カ国は、北朝鮮に付け入るすきを与えないよう緊密に連携する必要がある。

 金総書記は、自らの権力基盤を固めるために国民生活を向上させようとしている。だが、現状は極めて厳しい。核・ミサイル開発問題で経済制裁を強化されたうえ、新型コロナウイルス対策で外国との貿易まで止める事実上の鎖国を強いられてきたからだ。

 バイデン政権は政策見直しにあたって外交ルートを通じて北朝鮮と接触しようとしたが、北朝鮮が応じなかった。

 しかし北朝鮮には、米国との対話を通じて核問題を解決し、国際的孤立から脱する以外の道はない。挑発を繰り返しても展望は開けない。金総書記は、厳しい現実を直視すべきである。
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