Would the United States Permit It?

Published in El Financiero
(Mexico) on 12 November 2021
by Guido Lara (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tom Walker. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
A lot of things happen in the world that are contrary to the interests and wishes of the United States, things they are unable to prevent.

The United States would not permit it! This is a phrase we hear often. Those who say this do so with blind faith, a quasi-religious certainty.

This phrase is a myth. A lot of things happen in the world that are contrary to the interests and wishes of the United States, things they are unable to prevent.

Like every idea that gets raised to mythical status, this did not come from nothing, and it is supported by facts and realities which seem to give it sustenance: the work of gathering intelligence, interventionism, economic, political, and on occasion, even military pressure.

The United States has influence, but not absolute power.

Perhaps we need more proof. Look at Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, North Korea, Russia, Iran, Hong Kong, or closer to home, Cuba, Venezuela and now Nicaragua.

Last Sunday, Daniel Ortega celebrated an electoral farce. In elections that were clearly bogus, given that the opposition was in prison, and candidates were banned, harassed or exiled.

The first president of the Sandinista revolution that overthrew the dictator Anastasio Somoza, Ortega will now start his fifth term (his fourth consecutive term) at the head of the Nicaraguan government, leaving no doubt as to who the dictator is now.

And what do they think? That the United States permitted it.

It is not that it likes what is happening in the second poorest country in Latín America, but it demonstrates once again that U.S. power is not absolute.

The countries of the world have room to maneuver. They can challenge and confront the superpower depending on the the costs and the risks. At the same time, they have a certain guarantee that the “weapons” that the United States will use and the weapons even the international community as a whole will use, are of limited scope.

This is evident in President Joe Biden’s own words, released by the White House after the election:

“We call on the Ortega-Murillo regime to take immediate steps to restore democracy in Nicaragua, and to immediately and unconditionally release those unjustly imprisoned for speaking out against abuses and clamoring for the right of Nicaraguans to vote in free and fair elections. Until then, the United States, in close coordination with other members of the international community, will use all diplomatic and economic tools at our disposal to support the people of Nicaragua and hold accountable the Ortega-Murillo government and those that facilitate its abuses.”

In short, calls, declarations, diplomacy and economic pressure, but that’s as far as it goes. We can see that this “arsenal” is wet powder for the tyrants whose only goal is to cling to power, regardless of the harmful effects they have on their countries.

It serves as a warning to all citizens interested in protecting and defending democracy in our countries. This is a domestic responsibility, and it is of little or no use to light a candle to a saint who, on the one hand, is not even that powerful, and on the other hand, is focusing its gaze on its own domestic fractures and, if anything, on the world’s big geopolitical problems.

Looking at Mexico, it is essential to understand that the defense of democracy in our country is an issue for all of us, and especially for the institution we have built together to make sure votes count.

That is why it is essential to consider how relevant the political work carried out by the directors of the National Electoral Institute, led by Lorenzo Córdova, is, as well as the work of thousands of officials and employees of the federal and local agencies that professionally and honestly conduct such work.

We are the millions of citizens who have participated actively in elections — (voters, party representatives, vote counters, presidents of the polling places, etc.) who will be able to stop current and future political figures who want to impose their will over what the voters say during fair and competitive elections.

If we are to maintain and build democracy in our country we can no longer have faith in the “supernatural” power (the myth that the United States would prevent a dictatorship in Mexico). We must realize it is up to us. There are only calls, proclamations and penalties of limited scope out there.



¿Estados Unidos no lo permitiría?
Muchas cosas pasan en el mundo, contrarias a los intereses y deseos de Estados Unidos, sin que puedan impedirlas.

¡Estados Unidos no lo permitiría! Es una frase que escuchamos frecuentemente. Quien lo afirma, lo hace con fe ciega, con una certeza cuasi religiosa.

La frase es un mito… muchas cosas pasan en el mundo, contrarias a los intereses y deseos de Estados Unidos sin que puedan impedirlas.

Como toda noción que se eleva a la estatura de un mito, este no surge de la nada y se apoya en hechos y realidades que parecieran darle sustento: las tareas de inteligencia, el intervencionismo, las presiones económicas, políticas y, en ocasiones, hasta militares.

Influencia tienen, pero no poder absoluto.

Acaso necesitamos más pruebas que Vietnam, Afganistán, Irak, Corea del Norte, Rusia, Irán, Hong Kong o más cercanas como Cuba, Venezuela y hoy Nicaragua.

El domingo pasado Daniel Ortega celebró su farsa electoral. En unas elecciones a todas luces espurias, con la oposición encarcelada, con candidatos proscritos, perseguidos o exiliados.

Quien fuera el primer presidente de la revolución sandinista que derrocó al dictador Anastasio Somoza iniciará su quinto ciclo (cuarto consecutivo) al frente del Estado nicaragüense despejando cualquier duda sobre quien es ahora el dictador.

¿Y qué creen? Estados Unidos lo permitió.

No es que le agrade lo que pasa en el segundo país más pobre de América Latina, pero una vez más se demuestra que su poder no es omnímodo.

Las naciones del planeta tienen margen de maniobra, pueden retar y enfrentarse a la superpotencia asumiendo costos y riesgos, al mismo tiempo tienen cierta garantía de que las ‘armas’ que usará Estados Unidos e incluso el conjunto de la comunidad internacional son de alcance limitado.

Esto es evidente en las propias palabras del presidente Biden difundidas por la Casa Blanca después de la elección:

“(…) Hacemos un llamado al régimen de Ortega-Murillo para que tome medidas inmediatas para restaurar la democracia en Nicaragua y para que libere inmediata e incondicionalmente a los encarcelados injustamente por hablar en contra de los abusos y clamar por el derecho de los nicaragüenses a votar en elecciones libres y justas. Hasta entonces, Estados Unidos, en estrecha coordinación con otros miembros de la comunidad internacional, utilizará todas las herramientas diplomáticas y económicas a nuestra disposición para apoyar al pueblo de Nicaragua y responsabilizar al gobierno de Ortega-Murillo y a quienes facilitan sus abusos”.

En síntesis: llamados, declaraciones, herramientas diplomáticas y presiones económicas, pero hasta ahí. Está demostrado que este ‘arsenal’ es pólvora mojada para los tiranos que lo único que buscan es aferrarse al poder, al margen de los efectos nocivos que causen a sus países.

Sirva como advertencia para todos los ciudadanos interesados en proteger y defender la democracia en nuestros países. Esta es una tarea interna y de poco o nada sirve ‘ponerle veladoras’ a un santo que, por un lado, ni es tan poderoso y por el otro, tiene su mirada puesta en sus propias fracturas internas y, si acaso, en los grandes problemas geopolíticos del mundo.

Enfocándonos en el caso mexicano es esencial entender que la defensa de la democracia en nuestro país es un asunto de todos nosotros y muy especialmente de la institución que históricamente hemos construido entre todos para que el voto se cuente y cuente.

Por eso es clave aquilatar la relevancia del trabajo político realizado por los consejeros del Instituto Nacional Electoral, presidido por Lorenzo Córdova, así como el de los miles de funcionarios y trabajadores de las instancias federales y locales que realizan un trabajo profesional y honesto.

Son ellos y somos nosotros los millones de ciudadanos que participamos activamente durante los procesos electorales (electores, representantes de partidos, escrutadores, presidentes de casilla, etcétera) quienes podremos evitar que se salgan con la suya actuales o futuros personajes políticos que quieran imponer su voluntad por encima de lo expresado en las urnas en procesos justos y competidos.

Para mantener y consolidar la democracia en nuestro país dejemos de tener fe en un poder ‘sobrenatural’ (el mito de que Estados Unidos impediría una dictadura en México) y entendamos que eso nos corresponde a nosotros. Allá afuera solo darían llamados, proclamas y sanciones de alcance limitado.

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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