Gains and Losses for US in Boycott of Beijing Games

Published in Zaobao
(China) on 28 January 2022
by Guo Bingyun (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew Buckle. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
Last Dec. 2, the United Nations General Assembly unanimously adopted the Olympic Truce for the Beijing Winter Olympics, with 173 countries taking part in the proposal. This set a new high in the number of countries agreeing to the truce resolution in recent Winter Olympic Games. At the same time, 20 countries cast dissenting votes, including Israel, North Korea, the U.S., the U.K., Australia, Canada, India, Japan and others. Israel and North Korea’s dissent was reasonable given they have been engaged in long-term states of war.

Since World War II and, in particular, the Cold War, the U.K. has followed suit with the U.S. on major diplomatic issues. Japan, Australia and India are significant members of the four-nation Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. The first summit meeting in the Quad’s history was held last September with the intention of improving strategic coordination. The Dec. 2 vote was merely the first test of the strategic rapport among the four nations. The voluntary truce during the Olympic Games has been a standard practice by the international community since 1993, and is a significant expression of respect for the Olympic spirit.

On Dec. 6, the White House declared the U.S. would not send an official delegation to the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics on the grounds that China’s human rights violations in Xinjiang and other areas made it improper for it to host the Winter Games. Afterward, Australia, New Zealand, the U.K., Canada, Lithuania, the Netherlands and other countries followed the U.S., stating clearly that they would boycott the Beijing Winter Games.

The U.K., Australia, Canada and New Zealand are member states of the Five Eyes alliance. They all share an Anglo-Saxon culture, thus it is reasonable for them to stand firm with the U.S. Given Lithuania’s role as a leader of anti-Chinese sentiment in 2021, its relations with China have completely broken down, and so its decision to boycott the Beijing Winter Games along with the U.S. was unsurprising. After renaming its representative organization in Taiwan the “Netherlands Office Taipei” in April 2020, the Netherlands also declared it would boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics, apparently having already determined its policy with regard to China and staying the course.

The depoliticization of the Olympics is just a goal, but politicization of the Olympics is normal. Under the Biden administration’s diplomatic strategizing of “competitive coexistence,” strategic competition between China and the U.S. has grown progressively deeper and more generalized. China attaches an extraordinary amount of importance to the Winter Olympics and became a natural target for U.S attacks. Academics commonly interpret competitive coexistence to mean competition by all means except war and is essentially a zero-sum game between rivals.

In spite of an international convention kept in place for more than 30 years, the U.S. has led an alliance of nations in opposition to the Olympic Truce of the Beijing Winter Games and has ostentatiously shown its true colors in boycotting the games with a single core objective: to diminish the positive influence of the Beijing Winter Olympics. In other words, the U.S. ruined the Beijing Winter Olympics and hurt China’s international image under the guise of protecting human rights. Since the U.S. considers the current China-U.S. strategy to be a zero-sum game, the damage to China’s international image directly benefits the U.S.

The second aim of the U.S. boycott of the Beijing Winter Olympics is to further test and consolidate its ability to rally and lead the international community. It is difficult to assess who wins and who loses with the first objective, but as for the second, the U.S. has been severely disappointed. It is true that Israel is an ally of the U.S. It opposed the Olympic Truce, but hasn’t explicitly declared a boycott of the Beijing Winter Olympics. More importantly, Israel did not dissent in support of the United States, but instead made a decision based on its own survival.

Although India opposes the Olympic Truce resolution for the Beijing Winter Olympics, it has explicitly declared its support for the Beijing Games and will send an official delegation to participate. Even more disappointing to the U.S. is the fact that Poland, its Eastern European ally, a country that served the U.S. in years past as a front-line opponent of China, dramatically announced on the eve of the Beijing Winter Olympics that its president would attend the opening ceremony. Poland is fully aware of the context in which China-U.S. strategic competition is heating up with each passing day and how its high-profile participation in the Beijing Winter Olympics will be repaid.

When compared with the grand spectacle of more than 100 nations taking part in the Biden administration’s Summit for Democracy in early December 2021, one could describe America’s boycott of the Beijing Winter Olympics as a “lonesome” act. Except for the few die-hard “little brothers” of the U.K., Japan, Australia and Canada as well as the opportunistic nations of Lithuania and Netherlands, America’s other allies are considering both sides and avoiding commitment. Compared with democracy, the power of the human rights card to rally support is much less than one might expect. What’s more, to explicitly declare a boycott of the Beijing Games is to explicitly try to embarrass China, and given modern China’s strength and influence, many countries aren’t willing to pay an incalculable and unpredictable price to do so..

Two weeks after the Xi Jinping-Joe Biden videoconference, the U.S. arrogantly boycotted the Beijing Winter Olympics, utterly demolishing some of the positive expectations the international community had for the Xi-Biden meeting. Although the Biden administration’s boycott campaign certainly caused a measure of trouble for China and consumed a good deal of China’s diplomatic resources, it also left the world with the impression that the U.S. is leading the China-U.S. relationship into a new Cold War. At the same time, China’s international influence and appeal have been further tested and improved. The series of boycotts planned by the U.S. will ultimately prove to be a political farce that is not worth the loss.






2021年12月2日,第76届联合国大会协商一致通过北京冬奥会奥林匹克休战决议,173个国家参与共提,创下近几届冬奥会休战决议共提国数量新高。同时,有20个国家投反对票,包括以色列、朝鲜、美国、英国、澳大利亚、加拿大、印度、日本等。以色列、朝鲜长期处于战时状态,投反对票在情理之中。

二战后尤其是冷战后,英国在重大外交问题上对美国亦步亦趋。日本、澳大利亚和印度是四国安全对话机制(Quad)的重要成员,2 021年9月举行了Quad史上第一次峰会,该机制的战略协调性进一步提高,这次投票只是对四国战略默契的一次检验。在奥运会期间自觉休战,是1993以来国际社会形成的一种惯例,是尊重奥林匹克精神的重要表现。

12月6日,白宫宣布美国将不会派官方代表团参加2022年北京冬奥会,理由是中国在新疆等地“侵犯人权”,不适合召开冬奥会。此后,澳洲、新西兰、英国、加拿大、立陶宛、荷兰等国家也紧随美国,明确表态将抵制北京冬奥会。

英澳加新四国是五眼联盟成员,都属于盎格鲁撒格逊文化,向美国表决心乃情理之中。立陶宛在2021年由于充当反华急先锋,而与中国关系彻底破裂,选择与美国一起抵制冬奥会,一点也不令人意外。荷兰继2020年4月将驻台代表机构改名为“荷兰在台办事处”后,又宣布抵制北京冬奥会,似乎已经决心在对华关系“一路走到黑”。

奥运会去政治化只是一种理想,而奥运会政治化则是常态。在拜登政府“竞争性共存”(competitive coexistence)外交战略的作用下,中美关系战略竞争逐步泛化和深化,中国非常重视的冬奥会,自然成为美国攻击的重要对象。所谓“竞争性共存”,学界的普遍解读是使用指除战争以外的一切手段竞争,其本质是零和博弈下的对手关系。

美国不顾30多年来形成的国际惯例,率领一邦盟友反对北京冬奥会奥林匹克休战决议,并旗帜鲜明、大张旗鼓地抵制北京冬奥会,核心目的只有一个:降低北京冬奥会的正面影响。换言之,美国披着“人权”外衣来破坏北京冬奥会、损害中国的国际形象。既然美国认为当前中美在战略上是一种“零和博弈”,中国国际形象所损即美国之所得。

美国抵制北京冬奥会的第二个目的则是进一步检验、巩固美国在当今国际社会中的号召力和领导力。前一个目标谁得谁失,难以评价。对于后一个目标而言,美国严重失望。以色列固然是美国盟友,它反对北京冬奥会休战决议,却没有明确宣布要抵制北京冬奥会;更加重要的是,以色列投反对票并不是出于对美国的支持,而是由它的生存环境所决定。

印度虽然反对北京冬奥会休战决议,但却明确表态支持北京冬奥会,将派官方代表团参加。更令美国失望的是,前几年一度充当反华排头兵的美国东欧盟友波兰,在北京冬奥会即将开幕之际,高调宣布由总统出席开幕式。波兰深知,在中美战略竞争日益白热化的背景下,高调参加此次北京冬奥会将获得多大的回报。

与2021年12月上旬拜登政府举行民主峰会时,100多个国家参加的浩大场面相比,美国抵制北京冬奥会的行为可以说是“形单影只”,除去英日澳加几个铁杆“小兄弟”,以及立陶宛和荷兰两个投机主义国家外,其他盟友“顾左右而言他”。与民主相比,人权这张牌的号召力大打折扣。何况,明确宣布抵制冬奥会就是明确宣布给中国难堪,以当前中国的实力和影响力,没有多少国家愿意付出难以估量和预测的代价。

在习拜视频会议后的半个月,美国高调抵制北京冬奥会,这彻底击碎了国际社会对习拜会的某些美好期待。虽然拜登政府的抵制活动,一定程度上给中国制造了麻烦,也消耗了中国一定的外交资源,但也给世界留下了是美国把中美关系带入新冷战的印象。与此同时,中国的国际影响力和号召力则得到进一步检验和提升。美国策划下的一系列抵制活动,最终将成为得不偿失的一场政治闹剧。
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