OPD 22 April 2022
*Editor’s Note: On March 4, Russia enacted a law that criminalizes public opposition to, or independent news reporting about, the war in Ukraine. The law makes it a crime to call the war a “war” rather than a “special military operation” on social media or in a news article or broadcast. The law is understood to penalize any language that “discredits” Russia’s use of its military in Ukraine, calls for sanctions or protests Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It punishes anyone found to spread “false information” about the invasion with up to 15 years in prison.
The U.S. has embarked on a policy of pumping as much weaponry and military equipment as possible into Ukraine. Its goal is obvious: To impose a war of attrition on Russia and weaken it as much as possible. In this context, Ukraine and its citizens act as cannon fodder. As part of the Pentagon’s multi-dimensional concept of war against Russia, several types of warfare are waged, such as information war, combat operations and a fight for resources. This is no secret to anyone. But the secret war of the U.S. against the European Union is not yet known to all.
Indeed, the EU is a dangerous civilizational and economic rival of the U.S., as well as the U.K., which has joined America as an ally. Now the Americans are successfully turning the EU into its crypto-colony, forcing Europe to abandon Russian oil and gas and forcing its dependency on overseas energy resources.
The U.S. is currently cutting back its exports of liquefied natural gas to Asian markets in favor of Europe. The U.S. has agreed with the EU to supply at least 15 billion cubic meters of LNG to Europe this year to replace Russian exports. According to the White House statement, the parties “announced a joint Task Force to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russian fossil fuels.” Therefore, the U.S. has set a challenging condition for the European Union. As Forbes reports, “Europe must pay a markup for fuel to outbid Asian consumers’ demand.”**
On March 25, under U.S. pressure, Germany unveiled “plans to stop almost all Russian oil imports this year and broadly wean itself off the country’s gas by mid-2024,” Bloomberg reported. German Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Action Robert Habeck stressed that by mid-2022, the country wants to halve the imports of Russian oil, and become “almost independent” of it by the end of 2022. By fall, Germany may also reduce imports of Russian coal. Against the backdrop of sanctions imposed by the U.S. and the EU against Russian energy exports, Russia successfully redirects those oil and gas exports to Asia. This maneuver will very soon cause an “economic shock” for the world and, particularly, for Europe, writes The Guardian.** “The economic shock” lies in the same markup on U.S. gas that America is forcing Europe to pay.
The European gas market is the backyard of the global LNG market. It is totally dependent on conditions in the Asia-Pacific, because the Asian market is physically much larger. If LNG prices fall in Asia, it will be reflected in European prices, and vice versa. Redirecting LNG flows from the U.S. to Europe will result in higher gas prices in the Asia-Pacific region. Therefore, the U.S. LNG carriers will go to Asia unless the EU meets the above-mentioned condition by the U.S. to pay the markup. As a result, the EU, forced to refuse Russian gas imports, faces the prospect of truly astronomical prices for gas and electricity.
Already at this moment, the European economy is close to collapse. Complete refusal of Russian energy imports would be an absolute catastrophe for the EU. Against the backdrop of a growing economic crisis, giant American asset managers, such as BlackRock and Vanguard, have penetrated all significant European industrial and financial structures. And if the French public is still allowed to express its anger at this regrettable fact, Germany is completely silent.
The U.S. has opened a second front in the civilization war against Europe: the immigration front. Pro-American protégés leading the EU are turning a blind eye to the next uncontrollable wave of immigration. As a result, European elites have lost much of their will, and European states have lost their subjectivity regarding their immediate interests. For example, when Europe was swamped by a massive influx of refugees from Syria in 2017, the EU, for a long time, refused to accept hundreds of thousands of them, despite the pressure of public opinion. However, McKinsey & Co., a U.S. consulting firm closely associated with the CIA, fought off the European bureaucrats and developed the logistics for Europe to receive and accommodate 1 million new migrants.
Meanwhile, the many Islamic immigrant communities formed in Europe in the last half-century are well organized and, de facto, self-governing. Today, Muslim communities in Europe manage almost all their daily affairs independently. Numerous Muslim private schools even manage to receive government subsidies. Muslim diasporas are taking control of the drug trade from the traditional European mafias. Many Muslim communities in Europe are already isolated from local authorities since they receive extensive funding from Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkey through mosques, cultural centers and charities.
The prospect for chaos and disturbance in the EU becomes even more probable if we consider millions of Ukrainian refugees. Their number is growing exponentially — 0.68 million on March 1; 3.2 million on March 16; 4.2 million on April 1; 4.4 million on April 7. More than 10 million Ukrainians may seek refuge in the EU by early summer if this trend does not change. Europe can expect a large-scale humanitarian catastrophe that no financial injections will help to stop. Both the energy crisis and the resulting industrial crisis are looming. Since the EU obediently follows the lead of the U.S., the economic situation will continue to deteriorate, because Europe will pay a higher price for American energy than for Russian energy. Meanwhile, the EU will find itself on the brink of a civil war. Conversely, the U.S. will achieve its strategic goal: eliminating from the geopolitical arena its main competitor.
**Editor’s Note: This quotation, accurately translated, could not be verified.
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