A Decisive War between Putin and Biden

Published in Milenio
(Mexico) on 2 May 2022
by Ricardo Raphael (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tom Walker. Edited by Patricia Simoni.
Sixty-six days later*, the struggle is no longer for Kyiv but rather for the future of Washington and Moscow.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is on the verge of crossing the point of no return in a confrontation between two countries with the ability to destroy the world. This is why the political survival of Vladimir Putin and Joe Biden now depend on the decisive defeat of the opponent.

[On May 1], Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives and one of Biden’s most important allies, paid a visit to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the Ukrainian capital.

From there, she sent a succinct message: “We are here until victory is won. ... Our commitment is to be there for you until the fight is over.”

Pelosi would have assured Zelenskyy that the weapons necessary for that victory to actually occur will be provided. She was speaking for Biden, who has decided to tie his political future, as well as the future of his party, to the outcome of this war.

The situation in Moscow is very similar. Faced with the tortuous advance of Russian troops, the “special operation” conceived by the Kremlin as a “surgical strike” has become a total war. The outcome will determine whether Putin maintains political control of Russia.

So, as the Russian president calls for a massive mobilization and the U.S. president moves toward supporting the Ukrainian cause without reservation, they are both getting closer to crossing this perilous threshold.

The problem is, if Biden and Putin don’t fight it out along these lines, the political outlook for them both, at the head of their respective governments, is predicted to be bleak.

The victory to which Pelosi is referring has to happen before Nov. 8; otherwise, the Democrats will pay dearly in this year’s midterm elections. Something similar is happening in Russia: If Putin’s war is not finished by the end of 2022, the Russian leader’s mandate will come to an abrupt end.

Going forward, whoever wins the Ukrainian capital for himself will succeed in holding onto his office, whether in Moscow or in Washington. What is significant is that only one of the two, Biden or Putin, will survive the attempt.

*Editor's note: As of May 18, it has been 84 days since Russia invaded Ukraine.



Una guerra definitiva entre Putin y Biden

Sesenta y seis días después, la disputa ya no es por Kiev sino por el futuro de Washington y Moscú.

La invasión de Rusia sobre Ucrania está a punto de cruzar el punto de no retorno de una confrontación entre dos naciones con capacidad para destruir el mundo. Es así porque la sobrevivencia política de Vladímir Putin y Joe Biden depende ahora de la derrota definitiva del contrario.

Este fin de semana, Nancy Pelosi, presidenta de la Cámara de Representantes de Estados Unidos y aliada política, entre las más importantes de Joe Biden, visitó al presidente Volodímir Zelenski en la capital ucraniana.

Ahí envió un mensaje preciso: “estaremos aquí hasta la victoria (…), nuestro compromiso es estar (…) hasta que termine la pelea”.

Pelosi habría asegurado a Zelenski la provisión del armamento necesario para que ese triunfo realmente ocurra. Ella llevó la voz de la Casa Blanca, cuyo habitante ha decidido encadenar su futuro político, y también el de su partido, a los resultados que se obtengan en esta guerra.

La situación en Moscú es muy similar. Ante el avance tortuoso de las tropas rusas, la “operación especial” concebida desde el Kremlin como una intervención quirúrgica, se ha convertido en una guerra de proporciones totales cuyo desenlace determinará si Putin mantiene el control político de Rusia.

Así, mientras el presidente ruso llama a una movilización masiva y el estadunidense procede a apoyar a fondo la victoria ucraniana, ambos se aproximan a cruzar las líneas del umbral más peligroso.

El problema es que, si Biden o Putin no proceden de esa forma, el pronóstico político de los dos, al frente de sus respectivos gobiernos, será visitado por el fracaso.

La victoria a la que se refiere Pelosi debe ocurrir antes del 8 de noviembre, o de lo contrario los demócratas pagarán caro en las elecciones intermedias de este año. Parecido sucede en Rusia: si la guerra de Putin no ha concluido antes de que termine 2022, se extinguirá irremediablemente el mandato del líder ruso.

Zoom: a partir de ahora quien gane para sí la capital ucraniana logrará conservar su puesto, sea en Moscú o en Washington. Lo grave es que solo uno de los dos, Biden o Putin, sobrevivirá en el intento.

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Topics

Poland: Meloni in the White House. Has Trump Forgotten Poland?*

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

Japan: US Administration Losing Credibility 3 Months into Policy of Threats

Mauritius: Could Trump Be Leading the World into Recession?

India: World in Flux: India Must See Bigger Trade Picture

Palestine: US vs. Ansarallah: Will Trump Launch a Ground War in Yemen for Israel?

Ukraine: Trump Faces Uneasy Choices on Russia’s War as His ‘Compromise Strategy’ Is Failing

Related Articles

Ukraine: Trump Faces Uneasy Choices on Russia’s War as His ‘Compromise Strategy’ Is Failing

Germany: Trump’s False Impatience

Ukraine: Nearly 100 Days of Trump, and Putin Is Still Calling the Shots

Afghanistan: Defeat? Strategic Withdrawal? Maneuver?

France: Trump Yet To Make Progress on Ukraine