What Kishida’s Speech Got Wrong about Nuclear Deterrence

Published in Sankei News
(Japan) on 3 August 2022
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Joseph Santiago. Edited by Wes Vanderburgh.
This past Monday at the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Review Conference in New York, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida gave a speech describing his "Hiroshima Action Plan," which advocates the following: increased transparency regarding nuclear capabilities; a reduction of arms by the U.S., Russia and China; and leaders from each country paying a visit to Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

This is the first time a Japanese prime minister has attended this conference, which reviews the NPT's success or failure regarding the peaceful use of atomic energy. Kishida criticized Russia's threats of a nuclear attack in its invasion of Ukraine and sought a way to deal with issues concerning Iran and North Korea's own nuclear programs.

Kishida's action plan has been envisioned as the roadmap toward the ideal of a nuclear-weapon-free planet from the reality of maintaining national security. We can only hope this plan will be steadily and successfully implemented.

However, it will take more than these requests to protect the Japanese people from the dangers of nuclear weapons. The prime minister himself must surely know this, as evidenced by Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi's July 29 visit with American Secretary of State Antony Blinken. During their meeting, Hayashi talked not only about the nuclear efforts of China and North Korea and the Russian invasion of Ukraine but also requested an increase in the reliability and toughness of America's strategy of nuclear deterrence, with which Blinken agreed.

Emphasizing his roots in Hiroshima, the prime minister said, "We must ensure that Nagasaki remains the last place to suffer an atomic bombing." If so, all measures must be taken so that our people never face the horrors of nuclear weapons again.

Is America's "nuclear umbrella" really protecting us from the likes of China, North Korea and Russia? These three countries have been whole-heartedly devoted to strengthening their missile and nuclear capabilities despite the international community's misgivings. China, in particular, has approximately 2,200 ground-launched intermediate-range ballistic and cruise missiles, neither of which kind the U.S. nor Japan possesses. With its increase in nuclear warhead production, China is projected to produce at least 1,000 warheads within eight years.

Advocating a world without nuclear weapons and moving forward with this action plan would not eliminate, but rather increase, the nuclear threat facing Japan. As the prime minister of Japan, Kishida must actively stress the importance of nuclear deterrence to his people while working together with the U.S. to strengthen our countries against any who may threaten us.


首相のNPT演説 核軍縮だけで国民守れぬ

岸田文雄首相が、米ニューヨークで開かれた核拡散防止条約(NPT)再検討会議で演説した。「核兵器のない世界」の実現へ、核戦力の透明性向上や米露、米中間の核軍縮対話、各国指導者の被爆地訪問などを求める行動計画を提唱した。

核軍縮や不拡散、原子力の平和利用を定めたNPTの運用を検証する会議への日本の首相の出席は初めてだ。

岸田首相は演説で、ウクライナを侵略中のロシアによる核の威嚇を批判し、北朝鮮やイランの核問題に取り組む考えも示した。

行動計画は、「核兵器のない世界」という理想と、「厳しい安全保障環境」という現実を結びつける「現実的なロードマップの第一歩」との位置付けだ。行動計画を着実に推進してもらいたい。

だが、今回の行動計画だけでは、現実の核の脅威から日本国民を守れない。それは岸田首相も認識しているはずだ。

林芳正外相の行動がそれを示している。林氏は7月29日、米ワシントンでブリンケン米国務長官と会談し、中国の核戦力増強や北朝鮮の核問題、ロシアのウクライナ侵略に言及した上で、米国の核兵力などで日本を守る「拡大抑止」の信頼性、強靱(きょうじん)性の向上を訴えた。ブリンケン氏も同意した。

岸田首相は演説で「被爆地広島出身」だと強調しつつ、「長崎を最後の被爆地にしなければなりません」と訴えた。そうであるならば、国民が再び核兵器の惨禍に見舞われないようあらゆる手立てを講じなければならない。

日本防衛に資する米国の「核の傘」が、中国や北朝鮮、ロシアに対してきちんと機能しているのかどうか。不断の検証と説明が欠かせない。

これら3カ国は国際社会の懸念をよそに核やミサイル戦力の増強に余念がない。特に中国は日米両国が持っていない地上発射型の中距離弾道・巡航ミサイルを約2200発も保有している。核弾頭を増産し、8年後には少なくとも1000発をそろえる見通しだ。

「核兵器のない世界」の理想を唱え、行動計画を進めるだけでは日本国民に向けられた核兵器の脅威はなくならず、むしろ危険度は増していく。


岸田首相は日本国の首相として、核抑止の重要性を国民に積極的に説明し、米国と協力して態勢強化を急ぐ必要がある。
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