Distinguishing between US Strategic Goals and Tactical Motivations toward China

Published in Takungpao
(Hong Kong) on 03 February 2023
by Zhou Bajun (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew McKay. Edited by Wes Vanderburgh.

 

 

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He held in-depth talks during the 2023 Word Economic Forum meeting in Davos. At a University of Chicago event on Jan. 20, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who is due to visit China, said that tensions between the U.S. and China had eased.*

At present and for the foreseeable future, the U.S.' main task is to direct and collaborate with NATO and other allies to defeat Russia. Therefore, American strategy regarding China is one of emphasizing fierce competition and avoiding confrontation. The U.S. strategic objective regarding China remains unchanged, namely, to spare no effort to comprehensively contain the rise of our country so American can maintain worldwide hegemony. All the U.S. has done is to adjust its tactical motivations.

In concrete terms, American tactical motivations regarding China are threefold.

The first aspect of America's tactics is the wholesale suppression of China in the military and high-tech fields while retaining a certain degree of interaction with China in the areas of economic, cultural and people-to-people exchange.

The three cornerstones of global American hegemony are military, financial and high-tech. As the U.S. has not yet made any attempt to decouple from China in terms of general trade, and because our U.S. dollar reserves need to buy the American government's ever-growing debt, the U.S. has so far maintained financial ties with China. In contrast, in the military and high-tech sectors, the U.S. wants not only to decouple from us but also to suppress us. Therefore, even if in the financial sector, the U.S. has restricted or banned outright the listing of our state-owned enterprises on its stock markets, especially those involved in the military and advanced technology, it is not in any way seeking to bring about a China-U.S. economic decoupling.

Don't Be Misled by US Rhetoric

The second aspect of America's tactics is that of suppressing our economic development on all fronts while simultaneously expecting our economy to remain stable and not adversely affect the American economy.

Our country is the second-largest economy in the world and has been the largest contributor to global economic growth in recent times, and the economic ties between China and the U.S. are deeply ingrained in the fabric of both economies. Washington has no tolerance for our economy's catching up with its own in scale, yet it wants us to help the U.S. overcome its economic difficulties. In 2022, the Biden administration's Treasury and Commerce secretaries said that the U.S. should lift in part the special tariffs imposed by Donald Trump on Chinese imports to the U.S. to help alleviate high inflation in the U.S., and Joe Biden himself publicly endorsed this recommendation. However, the Biden administration has thus far maintained all the tariffs that the Trump administration imposed on our imports to the U.S., and this is incontrovertible proof that the United States' strategic goals with respect to China far outweigh its tactical motivations.

The third aspect of America's tactics is the emphasis on avoiding confrontation with China while simultaneously making every effort to encourage U.S. allies to step up their confrontations with us.

The most recent and prominent example of this took place when Biden received Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on his visit to the U.S. Biden publicly defended Japan's intention to revise its post-war "peace constitution" and expand its military preparations, pointing the finger instead at China.

On Jan. 20, Blinken claimed that China-U.S. relations had eased while at the same time attacking China's so-called attempts to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait. On the Taiwan issue, Washington's strategic goal is to engineer infighting between the people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait because "when two people quarrel, the third rejoices."

Once we understand the difference between the United States' strategic objectives and its tactics with regard to our nation, the implications of the Biden administration's control over China-U.S. relations become clear: The U.S. only adopts measures in its own interest to achieve its strategic goals with China.

China has led the China-U.S. trial of strength to a place of strategic stalemate; we are hoisting the U.S. by its own petard. The U.S. is willing to maintain communication with us; we are going along with that. It wishes to engage with us in the general areas of trade and investment; we are willing to oblige. It wants our economy to remain stable so that it does not negatively affect the U.S. economy; we have no objections. However, China is neither afraid of American suppression and containment nor will it be fooled by American rhetoric. That is why in this article I refer to American tactics as nothing more than "motivations."

The author is a senior commentator, Ph.D.

*Editor's Note: Blinken canceled his trip to China on Feb. 3 following publication of this article and after the U.S. detected what it determined was a Chinese surveillance balloon in U.S. airspace.


美国财政部长耶伦与中国国务院副总理刘鹤,在达沃斯世界经济论坛2023年年会期间进行了深入会谈。即将访华的美国国务卿布林肯1月20日出席芝加哥大学一个活动时称,中美紧张关系有所缓和。

当前和今后一段时间,美国的主要任务,是指挥和协同北约及其他盟国共同打败俄罗斯。因此,美国在对华策略上强调激烈竞争避免对抗。美国对华战略目标没有变,这就是全力全方位遏制我国崛起,以维护美国在全球的霸权。美国调整的只是战术动机。

具体而言,美国对华的战术动机包括三方面。

第一方面,是在军事和高科技领域全面压制我国,但在经济文化和民间交流领域与我国保持一定程度的来往。

美国全球霸权的基石,一是军事,二是金融,三是高科技。由于美国还没有树立与我国在一般贸易上脱鈎的企图,而美国政府愈益膨胀的债务需要我国的美元储备购买,至今,美国与我国仍保持金融联系。相比较,在军事和高科技领域,美国与我国不仅要脱鈎而且要打压。于是,即使在金融领域,美方已限制甚至禁止我国国有企业尤其涉军工和高科技企业在美国证券市场上市,但不寻求以任何方式使中美两国经济脱鈎。

勿被美国花言巧语迷惑

第二方面,是在全面遏制我国经济发展的同时,希望我国经济仍保持稳定而不至于带给美国经济负面影响。

我国是全球第二大经济体,近些年对全球经济增长贡献一直居首位。中美经济联系已深入两国经济的肌理。华府容不得我国经济规模追近美国,却又要我国帮助美国克服经济困难。2022年,拜登政府的财政部长和商务部长分别表示,应部分撤销特朗普对我国输美商品施加的特别关税,以利于纾缓美国高通胀。拜登本人曾公开表示认同这一判断。但是,至今,拜登政府仍维持特朗普政府对我国输美商品加徵的全部关税。这一件事胜于雄辩地证明,美国对华的战略目标远高于战术动机。

第三方面,是强调避免与我国对抗的同时,不遗余力地鼓动盟国加强与我国对抗。

最近突出的事例,是拜登在接待访美的日本首相岸田文雄时,公开为日本准备修改战后和平宪法、肆意扩军备战作辩护,并把矛头直指中国。

1月20日,布林肯一方面称中美关系有所缓和,一方面继续攻击中国所谓“试图改变台海现状”。在台湾问题上,华府的战略目标是以逼迫两岸人民自相残杀来坐收渔翁之利。

理解了美国对我国的战略目标与战术动机的区别,就明白拜登政府管控中美关系的涵义,只服从美国的利益,是美国为实现其对华战略目标而采取的权宜之计。

中国引领中美较量进入了战略相持阶段。我们以子之矛攻子之盾。美方愿意与我方保持沟通,我方奉陪。美方愿意在一般经贸投资领域与我方保持交往,我方愿意。美方希望我国经济保持稳定以免对美国经济产生负面影响,我方何乐而不为。但是,中国既不怕美国打压遏制,也不会被美方花言巧语所迷惑。所以,我在本文称美方战术不过是“动机”。

资深评论员、博士
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