Katsutoshi Kawano Speech: ‘US-Japan Deterrence, Pressing Issues’ in the Taiwan Strait Crisis

Published in Sankei Shimbun
(Japan) on 22 March 2023
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Dorothy Phoenix. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
On March 22, the 61st lecture meeting of the Gunma “Seiron” Konwakai discussion forum was held at the Maebashi Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Hiyoshi, Maebashi City. Former Chief of Staff, Joint Staff Katsutoshi Kawano gave a lecture titled “The Reality of the Taiwan Strait Crisis.”

Regarding the U.S.-China antagonism, Kawano pointed out that it “intensified after the second half of the Trump administration." Moreover, he noted that in view of China’s military strategy, Taiwan is within the first archipelago that connects to the Philippines from the Nansei Islands. Kawano stressed that “From China’s perspective, the issue of Taiwan, a critical way station, must be resolved, and discussions must not be taken lightly.”

Speaking about the possibility of a Taiwan crisis, the “most dangerous period” will be from Taiwan’s presidential election in 2024 until Chinese President Xi Jinping’s third presidential term expires in 2027. “In order to prevent Xi’s administration from invading Taiwan, the pressing issues are that Japan must strengthen its defensive capabilities, and a fortified system to increase U.S.-Japan deterrence ability must be built,” Kawano stated, among other points that he raised.


台湾有事「日米で抑止力、喫緊の課題」河野克俊氏が講演

群馬「正論」懇話会の第61回講演会が22日、前橋市日吉町の前橋商工会議所会館で開かれ、前統合幕僚長の河野克俊氏が「台湾有事のリアル」と題して講演した。

河野氏は米中の対立について、「米中対立が激しくなったのはトランプ政権の後半になってから」との認識を示した。さらに、中国の軍事戦略上、南西諸島からフィリピンを結ぶ第1列島線内に台湾があると指摘。「中国にとって、台湾問題は解決しないといけない通過点であり、悠長に構えられる話ではない」と強調した。

台湾有事の可能性については、台湾総統選が行われる2024年から、中国の習近平指導部が3期目の任期満了を迎える2027年までが「一番危険な期間」と述べた。「習政権に台湾侵攻をさせないためにも、日本の防衛力を強化し、日米で抑止力を高める体制の構築が喫緊の課題だ」などと訴えた。

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