Trump’s Silence

Published in UDN
(Taiwan) on 12 December 2024
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jennifer Sampson. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
Always one looking to surprise people with his words, Donald Trump also has moments when he is silent. When he was asked by the U.S. press whether he would send troops to protect Taiwan if the Chinese Communist Party invades, he responded, “I never say.” When the reporter asked again, he still refused to comment, saying, “I have to negotiate things, right?”

Trump has two reasons for not wanting to comment on sending troops to protect Taiwan. First, he has always opposed getting involved in other people’s wars, which obviously includes a war in the Taiwan Strait. Second, he is determined to end the Russia-Ukraine war, and is currently asking Xi Jinping for help. Since this matter has yet to be resolved, there is no need to provoke hostilities with the CCP right now.

Due to his mercurial nature, after Trump takes office, the world’s political and economic order unfortunately might undergo a massive change, something countries are bracing for. Trump’s “silence” reflects his pragmatism and also reveals a certain kind of honesty. Instead of coming up with nonsense about how he would send troops to oppose the CCP and protect the people of Taiwan, he only said, “I’d prefer that they don’t [invade].”

The question is, how should Lai Ching-te’s administration, which always blindly follows America’s lead, face the great changes that are coming in the Trump era? Unlike Joe Biden, Trump does not want to be the world’s policeman and get involved in other countries’ affairs. However, he will use extreme economic tariffs to fight for U.S. interests. In contrast, while Biden has been unable to resolve the wars between Russia and Ukraine and Hamas and Israel, he has been busy building alliances, such as an Indo-Pacific alliance, an alliance with Japan and South Korea, and an alliance with the U.K. and Australia. Once he steps down, these alliances unfortunately might dissolve. Lai must think clearly about this.

Entrusting the country’s safety to another country’s “protection” is often a fantasy. In the face of Trump’s silence, Lai should wake up!


聯合報黑白集/川普「不言」

一向「語不驚人死不休」的川普,竟也有「不言」的時候。他被美媒問到如果中共犯台,他是否會「出兵護台」;他答「我不會說」。記者又問了一次,他仍拒絕承諾;他說,「我得協商事情,對吧!」

川普不想對「出兵護台」作出承諾,有兩大原因。第一,他一向反對捲入「別人的戰爭」,顯然也包括台海戰爭在內。第二,他一心要讓俄烏戰爭落幕,此刻正求於習近平的協助。事情尚未成,現在當然沒必要惹毛中共翻臉。

以川普之善變,他上任後,世界政經秩序恐將大幅改寫,各國皆嚴陣以待。但川普的「不言」,除反映其現實作風,倒也顯示了某種誠實。否則,他大可胡謅亂吹一通,稱將如何出兵反制中共、保護民主台灣云云;但他只說,「我偏好他們不要入侵」。

問題在,一向唯美國馬首是瞻的賴政府,現在應如何面對川普時代的鉅變?川普和拜登不同,他不想扮演世界警察,不想干預他國事務,但他會用激烈的經濟制裁手段爭取美國的利益。相對而言,拜登無力解決俄烏和以哈戰爭,卻忙著合縱連橫,又是印太同盟,又是美日韓同盟、美英澳同盟。他下台後,這些同盟恐怕也都隨之散夥。這也是賴清德要想清楚的。

把國家的安危寄託於他國的「保護」,往往會心存幻想。面對川普的不語,賴清德也該醒醒!

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