Obama Will Have to Restore Relations Latin America

Published in Analitica
(Venezuela) on 16 November, 2008
by Adolfo R. Taylhardat (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Cirocco. Edited by .
Barack Obama has turned out to be a political phenomenon from every viewpoint. A senator that, until recently, had gone unnoticed and was practically unknown outside of Washington D.C. has won the presidency of his country - the leading world power - issuing an extraordinary electoral campaign that even the strategists and planners of Obama's rival, John McCain, as well as various analysts consider exceptional. Barack Obama is the first African-American president of his country and, what's more, of recent African descent. He is the first president who, since 1976, has won over 50% of the popular vote, defeating his opponent in many districts that have historically been claimed by the opposing party and capturing the support of the majority of young voters, the majority (67%) of "hispanics" and "latinos" (as they call Latin Americans in the United States) and the majority of African-Americans. Additionally, Obama is coming into the presidency with the sympathy and the admiration not only of his fellow countrymen but of the rest of the world. His message of "change" has given rise to great expectations both within and without the borders of his country.

In our region there is a lot of hope that the "change" the new North American President advocates will positively affect his policy in regards to Latin America. Venezuelans trust that the new North American President will assume a different behavior than that of his predecessor in the handling of North America's relationship with our country.

However, I think there is no reason to get our hopes up. The priorities of the North American government's foreign policy will remain the same and will continue to be determined by the more important national interests of security and defense of the country. In Latin America the priorities are and will continue to be the fight against drug trafficking, the struggle against terrorism and the strengthening of democracy.

As far as Venezuela is concerned, it is of course possible that the North American administration will try to build bridges to placate the hostility of the Venezuelan President. During his electoral campaign, Obama said that he would meet the Venezuelan President without preconditions. Certainly, the Lieutenant Colonel President also plans to meet with the new North American president. In his congratulatory message he offered to "restore relationships" with the United States and relaunch "a bilaterally constructive agenda".

What does "restore relationships" mean? Is it that maybe those relationships have at some point been interrupted? What the Lieutenant Colonel President has had is a personal attitude toward President Bush, characterized by absolutely unjustified insults, wrongs, and offenses that can only be explained by resent, also strictly personal, but that in action has affected the normal development of economic relationships, as well as business and other types of relations between the two nations. The attacks and insults are received with approval and acquiescence by many people - and many governments - because to be anti-American or anti-yankee is the norm and because President Bush has not earned much world sympathy.

In any case, I hope it is true that the intention to strengthen ties with the new North American President exists, and that the personal relationships between the two presidents can maintain an air of mutual respect that corresponds between civilized governments and between two traditionally friendly countries.

However, we must not forget that more than the personal ill will and hate that the Lieutenant Colonel President exerts on the actual North American head of state, in his determination for "21st century socialism" the Lieutenant Colonel President will continue working toward his highly improbable goal of destroying the empire and liquidating neoliberalism, in attempts to end the reign of the leading world power. So behind any relationship building, the Lieutenant Colonel President will continue to be under the permanent scrutiny of the new North American administration. The dictatorial military regime that has planted itself in Venezuela, its populist international conduct and demagogy and the "strategic alliances" which it has supposedly established with countries like Bolivia, Nicaragua, Ecuador, Iran, Belarus, Korea, and Russia make it an unpredictable figure, with a chance of disrupting regional stability. These are things that the new North American president will certainly have in mind as he tries to soften the tone of anti-North American rhetoric of the Lieutenant Colonel President.


Barack Obama ha resultado un fenómeno político desde todo punto de vista. Un senador que hasta hace poco había pasado desapercibido y era prácticamente desconocido mas allá de Washington D.C. ha conquistado la presidencia de su país, la primera potencia mundial, librando una contienda electoral extraordinaria que hasta los estrategas y planificadores de la campaña de su rival John McCain y muchos analistas consideran excepcional. Es el primer presidente afro-americano de su país, pero, además, de ascendencia africana reciente; es el primer presidente que, desde 1976, logra superar el 50% del voto popular venciendo a su contrincante en muchas de las circunscripciones que históricamente se consideraban coto reservado del partido opositor y captando el apoyo de la mayoría de los votantes jóvenes, de la mayoría (67%) de los "hispanos" o "latinos" como le dicen en Estados Unidos a los latinoamericanos y de la mayoría de la población de color.Adicionalmente, Obama llega a la presidencia con la simpatía, la admiración no solamente de sus compatriotas sino también del resto del mundo. Su consigna de "cambio" ha hecho surgir grandes expectativas dentro y fuera de las fronteras de su país.
En nuestra región hay mucha esperanza de que ese "cambio" que preconiza el nuevo presidente norteamericano favorezca su política con respecto de América Latina. Los venezolanos confían en que el nuevo presidente norteamericano asumirá un comportamiento diferente al de su predecesor en el manejo de la relación con nuestro país.

Sin embargo, pienso que no hay que hacerse muchas ilusiones. Las prioridades de la política exterior del gobierno norteamericano seguirán siendo las mismas y seguirán estando determinadas por los intereses nacionales superiores de la seguridad y la defensa de ese país. En América Latina las prioridades son y seguirán siendo el combate al narcotráfico, la lucha contra el terrorismo y el afianzamiento de la democracia.

Por lo que respecta a Venezuela es posible que efectivamente la nueva administración norteamericana trate de tender puentes para aplacar la hostilidad del teniente coronel presidente. Durante su campaña electoral Obama dijo que no tendría inconvenientes en encontrarse con él. Con toda seguridad el teniente coronel presidente también buscará reunirse con el nuevo presidente norteamericano. Para comenzar, en su mensaje de felicitación ofreció "restablecer nuevas relaciones" con Estados Unidos y relanzar "una agenda bilateral constructiva".

Uno se pregunta, que significa ¿"restablecer nuevas relaciones"? ¿Es que acaso esas relaciones han estado interrumpidas en algún momento? Lo que ha habido es una actitud personal del teniente coronel presidente hacia el presidente Bush, caracterizada por insultos, agravios y ofensas, absolutamente injustificados que sólo encuentran explicación en una condición de resentimiento, también estrictamente personal, pero que en modo alguno han afectado el normal desarrollo de las relaciones económicas, comerciales y de otra índole entre los dos países. Esos ataques e insultos son recibidos con beneplácito y aquiescencia por mucha gente -y muchos gobiernos- porque ser antinorteamericano o antiyanqui "da nota" y porque el presidente Bush no goza de mucha simpatía en el mundo.

En todo caso, ojalá sea verdad que existe el propósito de buscar un acercamiento con el nuevo presidente norteamericano y que las relaciones personales entre los dos presidentes puedan mantenerse dentro del clima de respeto recíproco que corresponde entre gobernantes civilizados y entre dos países tradicionalmente amigos.

Sin embargo, no hay que olvidar que más allá de la animadversión y el odio personal que el teniente coronel presidente experimenta hacia el actual mandatario norteamericano, dentro de su entelequia del "socialismo del siglo XXI" el teniente coronel presidente seguirá empeñado en su quimérica meta de destruir el imperio y liquidar el neoliberalismo, o lo que es lo mismo acabar con la primera potencia mundial. De manera que por encima de cualquier acercamiento, el teniente coronel presidente seguirá estando bajo el permanente escrutinio de la nueva administración norteamericana. El régimen militarista dictatorial que ha implantado en Venezuela, su conducta internacional populista y demagógica y las "alianzas estratégicas" que supuestamente ha establecido con países tan disímiles como Bolivia, Nicaragua, Ecuador, Irán, Belarús, Corea y Rusia hacen de él un personaje impredecible, susceptible de perturbar la estabilidad regional. Estos son aspectos que seguramente tendrá muy en cuenta el nuevo presidente norteamericano al intentar bajar el tono de la retórica antinorteamericana del teniente coronel presidente.
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