George W. Bush is politically dead, cremated and buried. American presidents are always sidelined in the long period between the November election and the inauguration at the end of January. But this time he is totally sidelined.
But Bush is in power for another 52 days. He can cause a lot of damage in that time. His Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice sent a shock through America's European allies when she aired the thought of rush NATO membership for Ukraine and Georgia without following the careful process known has the Membership Action Plan. Obviously [this was] after [she received] instructions from the White House. The negative reactions were so strong that this week Rice had to ensure that the two countries must fulfill a series of demands before membership is accepted.
If anyone should doubt how mad it would be to let Georgia into NATO, another confirmation came yesterday, when it was learned that it was Georgian troops who fired into the air close to President Mikhail Saakashvili and his Polish guest Lech Kaczynski last weekend during a visit to the border with South Ossetia. According to Polish intelligence the troops fired under orders to create headlines of Russian aggression.
It is unknown whether Barack Obama will assume a different attitude than George W. Bush towards Georgian NATO membership. Obama, too, will first and foremost care for America's own security. The significance of having a good relationship with Russia is different in Washington than it is in Paris, Berlin or Oslo.
But Obama should also question the prudence of letting NATO move closer to Moscow. The lesson from the Cold War, that security can only be achieved communally, still applies. Total security for one side means total insecurity for the other � with dangerous instability as a result.
The period of a power vacuum in America could not come at a worse time. The economic crisis requires leadership America does not currently have. Bush is president, but no one listens to what he says. No one takes him seriously. He can move neither the national nor international economy, which requires confidence and a stable future to recover.
It is comforting to see that Obama has confidence enough to choose strong leaders with the courage to stand for their own opinions. That means that political discourse can once again take place in the White House, after the period of Bush, who prioritized loyalty to such a degree that objections never surfaced. That has contributed to his many disastrous decisions.
Rarely, if ever, has a president-elect been the subject of this level of attention. He hardly takes a step and does not choose any staff members without it being reported on all TV networks and on the front page of every newspaper. That tells us how strongly America awaits this transition. The expectations are enormous. That could be Obama's biggest problem.
George W. Bush er politisk d�d, kremert og bisatt. Avtroppende presidenter i USA havner alltid p� sidelinja i den temmelig lange perioden mellom valget i november og innsettelsen i slutten av januar. Men ikke s� totalt parkert som i �r.
Men Bush sitter fortsatt med all makt i enda 52 dager. Han kan gj�re mye galt p� den tida. Hans utenriksminister Condoleezza Rice satte en st�kk i USAs europeiske allierte da hun luftet tanken om � tilby Ukraina og Georgia snarlig medlemskap i NATO uten � g� veien om den m�ysommelige prosessen som foreskrives i den s�kalte Membership Action Plan. �penbart etter streng instruks fra det hvite hus. De negative reaksjonene var s� sterke at Rice denne uken forsikret at de to landene m� oppfylle en rekke krav f�r medlemskap kan komme p� tale.
Skulle noen v�re i tvil om galskapen ved � slippe Georgia inn i NATO, kom det en ytterligere bekreftelse i g�r. Da ble det kjent at det var georgiske soldater som skj�t i luften i umiddelbar n�rhet da presidentene Mikhail Saakasjvili og hans polske gjest Lech Kaczynski sist helg ville bes�ke grenseomr�det ved S�r-Ossetia. Dette ble if�lge polsk etterretning gjort etter ordre for � skape overskrifter om russisk aggresjon.
Det er usikkert om Barack Obama vil innta en annen holdning enn George W. Bush til georgisk medlemskap i NATO. Ogs� Obama vil f�rst og fremst ivareta USAs egne sikkerhetspolitiske interesser. Betydningen av et godt og tillitsfullt forhold til Russland fortoner seg annerledes i Washington enn det gj�r i Paris, Berlin og Oslo.
Men klokskapen i � la NATO rykke stadig n�rmere Moskva, b�r ogs� Obama stille sp�rsm�l ved. Den kalde krigens l�rdom, at sikkerhet bare kan oppn�s i fellesskap, gjelder fortsatt. Total sikkerhet for en part inneb�rer total usikkerhet for den andre � med en farlig ustabilitet som resultat.
Perioden med maktvakuum i USA kunne knapt kommet p� et verre tidspunkt. Den �konomiske krisen krever et lederskap som for tida ikke finnes i USA. Bush er president, men ingen lytter til hva han sier. Ingen tar ham alvorlig. Han beveger verken nasjonal eller internasjonal �konomi, som krever tillit og framtidstro for � komme p� beina igjen.
Det er en betryggelse � se at Obama har selvtillit nok til � velge sterke ledere med mot til � st� for egne meninger. Det betyr at politisk diskusjon kan gjenoppst� i Det hvite hus etter perioden med Bush, som prioriterte lojalitet i den grad at motforestillinger ikke kom p� bordet. Det har bidratt til hans mange, katastrofale beslutninger.
Sjelden, om noen gang, har en p�troppende president v�rt gjenstand for s� stor oppmerksomhet som Obama. Han tar knapt et skritt og foretar slett ikke en eneste utnevnelse uten at det blir rapportert utf�rlig p� alle TV-kanaler og avisenes f�rstesider. Det forteller hvor sterkt USA venter p� maktskiftet. Forventningene er enorme. Det kan bli Obamas aller st�rste problem.
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Since Latin America has been extremely dependent on the U.S., a change in the power relations between the U.S. and China will also be felt strongest there.
Hall and the actors have perhaps chosen an unassuming format in order to tell such an intense story. But they turn this limitation into an artistic triumph.